Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 2

 

By John Bush

Sunday Night Risk Reward

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I wished to give my take on the Sunday Night Risk Reward**

**Monday Game Sold Separately 🙂


See my Weekly Rankings Articles:

snaps-per-minute-week-1-2018

targets-per-minute-week-1-2018

nonppr-ranks-risk-rewards-week-2

ppr-ranks-risk-and-rewards-week-2

rb-attempts-and-touches-week-1


The analysis will include:

  • Game Script
  • Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
  • Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
  • My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

I have constructed these data charts below to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more? I will hit the highlights but will not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

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Game Script and DAPs

How to Read Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position (DAP) Figures.

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Sunday Night Risk Reward Slide2

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Short Discussion of Risk

Use the Risk Discussion for a deeper understanding of player risk levels are shown below. See the Detail Game Risk and Ranking Data for each team and player following the game scripts and DAP data.

Sunday Night Risk Reward Slide23

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DAL vs NYG

Sunday Night Risk Reward DAL NYG SNG


DAL

The Cowboys are favored by 3 so it’s a toss-up. Dak gets to redeem from last week and faces into an NYG DEF of 36 and an Easy 28 QB DAP. He runs one in and should collect 2x scores. I have him at a high-risk 36 ranking. DFS fade.

The WRs were asleep last week. They contest a 56 WR DAP. That limits the already suspect WRs. Hurns is a 64 mid-risk, Beasley low risk 61 and Gallup a low risk 49.2. I envision that Beasley is the PPR Guy and maybe a check-down score. Hurns and or Gallup can collect a few catches as well. I might play Beasley as an extreme DFS gamble. Fade the others. 

The TEs are also of suspect nature. They face an easy 18 TE DAP. If Swaim can score this could be the week. I rank him at 61 high-risk. Jarwin is a mid risk 43. DFS fades.

Elliott should be able to score and collect PPR points. He faces an easy 33 RB DAP. I rank him a mid-risk 94. He needs Dak to keep the NYG defense from box stacking! DFS gamble in tournaments only. You assume a Dak risk with an Elliot bet in DFS! 

Kicker and Defense ok DFS play. 

Sunday Night Risk Reward Slide35

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Sunday Night Risk Reward DAL NYG SNG


NYG

Manning has to go on the road against a tougher than average Def ranked at 57. He is going against a 47 QB DAP. He should collect 3X. I have him high-risk 29. He must get the ball to OBJ and Engram to upset the Cowboys. DFS fade.

OBJ should collect a score and PPR points vs a 37 WR DAP. He can even get 2X scores. I rank him a nice low-risk 98 ranking. DFS play in all formats. Shepard might pop open and collect a score. He is ranked low-risk 75. 

Engram was a 2017 wonder TE! He must step up here being low-risk 89! He does face a tough 89 TE DAP and may not score. DFS fade. 

Barkley must keep the DAL defense guessing. I rank him a low-risk 94 vs an average 50 RB DAP. He should get 100 yards and a score or 2. I think a big game is here if OBJ can occupy the DAL defense! DFS all formats! 

Fade the NYG Kicker but play the NYG defense. 

Sunday Night Risk Reward Slide49

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