2017 QB Rankings and Projections

The 2017 fantasy football season is upon us and that means it is time to prep for drafts. Below are not only my 2017 QB rankings for 4 point and 6 point passing touchdown leagues but my full season numbers. I took the production of each QB over the past few seasons, baked in some injury risk and compiled my expectations. Those numbers also take the style of offense, playmakers surrounding the QB and other factors into consideration.

QB | RB | WR |TE

PLAYER	Team	Attempts	YDS	TD	Turnovers	Rush YDS	TD	4 PT TD	6 PT TD
Aaron Rodgers	Green Bay	567	4404	37	14	330	2	341.16	415.16
Tom Brady	New England	615	4712	35	8	50	0	317.48	387.48
Drew Brees	New Orleans	650	5073	35	20	10	0	303.92	373.92
Russell Wilson	Seattle	545	4385	27	19	275	2	284.89	338.9
Jameis Winston	Tampa Bay	551	4215	30	24	180	3	276.60	336.6
Kirk Cousins	Washington	574	4841	26	20	75	3	283.14	335.14
Andy Dalton	Cincinatti	545	3875	29	15	175	3	276.5	334.5
Marcus Mariota	Tennessee	525	3950	28	20	350	2	277	333
Cam Newton	Carolina	484	3463	26	14	394	4	277.92	329.92
Andrew Luck	Indianappolis	483	4105	28	18	228	1	269	325
Matthew Stafford	Detroit	596	4282	27	20	186	2	269.88	323.88
Matt Ryan	Atlanta	610	4680	27	18	85	0	267.7	321.7
Philip Rivers	LA Chargers	570	4485	30	22	30	0	258.39	318.39
Carson Wentz	Philadelphia	590	4125	27	15	120	1	261	315
Ben Roethlisberger	Pittsburgh	483	4106	28	12	17	0	253.94	309.94
Derek Carr	Oakland	575	3945	30	18	80	0	249.8	309.8
Eli Manning	NY Giants	592	4272	30	23	12	0	246.08	306.08
Carson Palmer	Arizona	569	4392	28	22	15	0	245.18	301.18
Dak Prescott	Dallas	485	3625	23	14	275	3	254.5	300.5
Jay Cutler	Miami	492	3655	25	14	208	1	245	295
Tyrod Taylor	Buffalo	485	3025	18	13	574	3	242.4	278.39
Sam Bradford	Minnesota	550	3950	23	17	43	0	220.3	266.3
Joe Flacco	Baltimore	554	3704	20	15	78	2	217.96	257.95
Trevor Siemian	Denver	475	3575	20	9	63	0	211.3	251.3
Blake Bortles	Jacksonville	565	3653	17	17	262	1	212.32	246.32
Alex Smith	Kansas City	393	3041	17	8	165	2	202.14	236.14
Deshaun Watson	Houston	410	2875	15	20	240	4	183	213
Brian Hoyer	San Francisco	330	2766	16	12	35	0	154.13	186.14
Deshone Kizer	Cleveland	379	2568	9	6	237	2	162.41	180.42
Mitchell Trubisky	Chicago	375	2730	15	22	82	2	145.4	175.4
Josh McCown	NY Jets	332	2256	14	16	90	1	129.24	157.24
Matt Barkley	San Francisco	222	1456	12	18	7	0	70.94	94.94
Mike Glennon	Chicago	210	1820	4	3	12	0	84	92
Cody Kessler	Cleveland	163	1125	5	2	13	0	62.3	72.3
Bryce Petty	NY Jets	208	1509	4	9	17	0	60.06	68.06
Patrick Mahomes	Kansas City	81	703	5	4	105	1	56.62	66.62
Tom Savage	Houston	176	661	2	2	12	0	31.64	35.64
Paxton Lynch	Denver	78	437	3	3	19	0	25.38	31.38

Andrew Luck

Andrew Luck was one of the hardest QBs to project for. He is among the elite options when he is healthy but he has had issues staying injury-free as of late. He is currently nursing an injury and is not practicing or playing. The assumption is Luck will be under center for Week 1 but its still a question mark at this point. He is in a tier by himself after the big three but before Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota and the other QBs with upside.

Andy Dalton

You will find Bengals QB Andy Dalton much higher in my rankings than most. He not only has a healthy A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert (for now) but the Bengals added John Ross and Joe Mixon in the draft. Ross is a legit speedster that will help the offense expand. It should give Dalton a few more deep ball opportunities and open up the underneath for everyone else. I expect Dalton to not only be in the top 10 at the position but have the opportunity to challenge for top 5.

Ben Roethlisberger

Big Ben may be lower in my rankings than many expect but the home vs road splits are just too much to ignore. In home games Big Ben can be the guy that carries you with incredible performances. However when he takes his show on the road he will put up mediocre fantasy production at best.

Draft Sharks’ Jared Smola shared some interesting nuggets with me regarding Roethlisberger. In his 6 home starts in 2016 he averaged 319 yards, 3.33 TDs, and .83 INT. For some perspective, that would be 5,104 yards and 53 TDs over 16 games. He would have been the QB1 if he could play all 16 games at home.

I know he will likely have Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant all season which should help his consistency. For more on Roethlisberger’s splits and who you could pair him with to enjoy the big home games check out this article.

Carson Palmer

There is a lot to evaluate when it comes to the 37 year old QB. He has the ability to be in the top 5 discussion at the position but tends to fall out of the top 12 due to injuries and inconsistency. John Brown is currently dealing with a sickle cell issue that limits how often he can practice and play. Brown means a ton for this offense with his speed and deep ball skills. If Brown cant get on the field or gets cut (something that is in the cards) Palmers upside is limited. His early schedule makes him a guy I am happy to leave the draft with but be ready to attack the waiver wire and stream the position if he is your guy.

Follow @notoriouskro

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