IDP Stock Market: Buy or Sell

BUY LOW, SELL HIGH, AND DON’T PANIC

BUY:

Matt Milano: Milano is exactly what I look for when acquiring a linebacker. He’s young, good at stopping the run, decent in coverage, and has no competition for playing time. On top of all that he plays for a team with one of the worst offenses in the NFL, so I expect him to be on the field a lot. Milano looked to be the leader of the Bills’ linebacker corps in week 1 while playing in 95% of the Bills defensive plays and collecting a team high of 8 total tackles and 2 tackles for loss (TFL).

Raekwon McMillan: McMillan had a rather unimpressive offseason and a lack luster week 1. He often looked lost and slow to read plays. On the bright side McMillan played 88% of the defensive snaps and it appears the Dolphins coaching staff have a lot of confidence in him. With Kiko Alonso settled into his spot on the weak side, and Jerome Baker and Chase Allen on the strong side, I don’t see much competition for McMillan.  Take my advice, buy low, and reap the rewards as McMillan learns the position and becomes more comfortable.

Kentrell Brice: I’ve been banging the Kentrell Brice drum all offseason. He was able to hold off Josh Jones for the starting strong safety spot and he certainly didn’t disappoint in week 1. Brice played 100% of the defensive snaps for the Packers and led the team in tackles. Brice is still a free agent in many leagues and free for the taking. BUY NOW!

Others I’m buying: Jaquiski Tartt, Kyzir White

SELL:

T.J. Watt: Holy smokes! Watt was able to manhandle the Browns’ offensive line and tight ends all day. Watt racked up 11 total tackles, 4 sacks, and 5.5 TFL. Now you may be asking yourself, “why would I sell a 2nd year LB who put up one of the most dominating performances in recent history?” It’s simple, outside linebackers (OLB) are a boom or bust position and Watt went boom on Sunday. Keep in mind Watt had a similar performance last year in week 1 and then followed that up with a 2 assisted tackle, 1 pass defensed performance. If any league mates are valuing Watt as a LB1, it’s time to sell now!

Kevin Byard: Byard was one of the highest scoring defensive backs (DBs) last season, but if you look deeper into his numbers it’s obvious that his production relies heavily on the number of interceptions he accumulates. With interceptions being nearly impossible to predict, I’m more comfortable with DBs that rack up the tackles. I will typically roster those DBs that spend a good amount of time lining up in the box (think Harrison Smith and Landon Collins). Byard will still sneak up into the box from time to time, but it’s already obvious from week 1 that he will now split that role with SS Kenny Vaccaro. I’m betting on a regression in Byard’s fantasy production, so I’m selling now while many in the IDP community still have him ranked among the top-tier DBs.

Others I’m selling: Khalil Mack, Von Miller, B.J. Goodson

 

 

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