NFL Eliminator Challenge: Week 8

Welcome to the eighth week of our NFL Eliminator Challenge series. Last week was a tough week as our streak officially ended at seven. The Colts just couldn’t take care of business at home against a 2-4 team, but in the NFL anything can happen on any given Sunday. Hopefully you went with one of my secondary options since both St. Louis and Miami easily took care of business in front of their respective home crowds. That being said, even though we only got seven in a row, it won both of my eliminator leagues, and hopefully it did the same for you! For those of you still alive or in a second chance bracket, our series will still go on and we will get back on track this week!

Step 1 – Avoid Division Matchups

Outside of the Raiders continuing Phillip Rivers and the Charger’s disappointing season, there weren’t a ton of surprises in divisional games last week. Seattle easily took care of San Fran, while Detroit continued their losing ways at home. The Jets tried the best they could to upset the Patriots, but in the end Tom Brady continued his undefeated season. Even the Giants v. Cowboys matchup lost some of its lure with the continued absence of Romo and Bryant. However, we have another great slate of division games this week and I would continue to stay away. Follow my number one rule: avoid the below division games:

  • Miami at New England
  • Minnesota at Chicago
  • Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
  • Tennessee at Houston
  • San Francisco at St. Louis
  • Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Step 2 – Avoid Marquee Matchups

Similarly to the division matchups, our prime time matchups weren’t very surprising either. All three games were decided by an average of 12 points, and only one was less than a two score difference when the whistle blew. Hopefully this week we get better bang for our buck on these prime time channels. Unless you want to take a chance I would still avoid the below marquee games:

  • Miami at New England
  • Green Bay at Denver
  • Indianapolis at Carolina

Step 3 – Avoid Picking Against Home Field Advantage

One trend that did continue last week was the success of teams playing at home. Nine of fourteen games were won by the home team including victories by Washington, Kansas City, and the Jags (who may one day call London home). Be aware and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Arizona at Cleveland
  • Seattle at Dallas
  • NY Jets at Oakland
  • San Diego at Baltimore

Step 4 – Make your pick!

My pick of the week is:

Kansas City over Detroit

This pick isn’t so much picking Kansas City to win, but more so picking Detroit to lose. Somehow this team has so much offensive talent but can’t seem to score points. That combined with Kansas City’s potentially dangerous defense and this one could get lopsided quickly. I would feel much better once Maclin is cleared from his concussion, but even without Charles and Maclin I think Kansas City should be able to win this one.

Other options I like this week:

New Orleans over NY Giants

There aren’t a lot of options left this week, but New Orleans is starting to get hot, and they continue to be a very good team playing at home. The Giants are, and have often been, a very inconsistent team, and with them coming off a division win, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them overlook this game and fall short at the end. I expect Drew Brees will a very good game in this one.

Thanks for reading!
Feel free to follow me for great fantasy football advice on twitter @DE_aaron

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