Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda – Week 5

cws week 5Thank you for returning (or joining us for the first time)! I will keep it short this week, and let you get right into the players. Partly because this is meant for those sports fans, like myself, with short attention spans. The rest being due to my sadness of learning the news of Julio Jones potential season ending foot injury. I filled in for the Week 6 Waiver Wire Grab’s (click here for article), so please find that helpful as the bye weeks and injuries begin to mount. Make sure you check out all of the articles on www.FakePigskin.com, as each of us authors strive to assist you in making great decisions. I hope you are all having successful seasons to this point, and if you need any specific advice pertaining to your team, please do not hesitate to contact me. As always, Twitter is my preferred method, so if you are not yet following me, please do so now. Without further ado…the Week 5 edition:

The concept of this column is to highlight the past weeks most notable Fantasy performances from the most influential positions (Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End). I will identify a player whom you would generally rely on as one of your starters that you Coulda started, but due to their lackluster performance should not have. Next will be a player who more than likely is on your bench or waiver wire that you Woulda started, and had you done so would have been rewarded with Starter-like numbers. And finally, I will list a player that if you could have had your pick of the entire NFL you Shoulda started, essentially the top performer at his position.

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Quarterbacks

Coulda pulled the plug on Matt Schaub, HOU Texans. (173 Yards, 0 TD’s/3 INT’s) A Super Bowl contending team generally has a solid Quarterback, and as his track record shows Schaub has been pretty reliable. However, he now has thrown more interceptions (9) than touchdown passes (8) through his team’s first five games. It is no wonder the Texans are off to a 2-3 start, as Schaub has been dreadful in 2013. If you have still been starting him, call your doctor. His horrid play should get you at least one day out of work for suffering a traumatic experience.

Woulda believed Mark Sanchez lost to Geno Smith, NY Jets. (199 Yards, 3 TD’s) When Rex Ryan tabbed the rookie as the Jets starting Quarterback entering the season, many felt it was pressure from new GM John Idzik. A shoulder injury suffered from Sanchez quieted that debate, but it is becoming clear that the kid from West Virginia, who was passed up on Draft Day, may just have a future in this league. Facing a Falcons team at home on Monday Night Football, that was desperate for a win, Smith was un-rattled. A QB rating of 147.7 is no accident, but extremely rare for a Jet player. Take notice, he is a viable starter in this league.

Shoulda just stuck with Tony Romo, DAL Cowboys. (506 Yards, 5 TD’s/1 INT) You were the guy who took Romo, knowing despite all the criticism he is a very good fantasy relevant QB. You were probably shocked that thru the teams first four games he had only thrown one interception. The problem was, he also was not throwing for that many yards or touchdowns. Squaring off against a tough Denver team, you may have cringed at the thought of what this game would produce. When it was all said and done, he was the best QB on the field. For that matter, he finished as the best QB in all of the league this week. Is he back? I’m not sure he ever left.

Running Backs

Coulda thought the corner was turned by Lamar Miller, MIA Dolphins. (15 Rush yds, 0 TD’s) Last week, on Monday Night, you watched Miller scamper for a 5.6 yards per carry average. Had the Dolphins not been playing catch up most of the game, you figured that his rushing total could have been even greater than the 62 yards he finished with. Taking on the Ravens you probably thought he was a decent start, and felt comfortable plugging him into your lineup. Well decent does not win games, and Miller was not even that. A miserable 15 yards was all he could muster, and now the questions will again surface. I still believe he has a lot to offer, but do not view him as one of your top backs at this moment.

Woulda saw the rise of Pierre Thomas, NO Saints. (36 Rush yds; 9-55 Rec 2 TD’s) It feels like Thomas has been in the NFL for a very long time, during which he has always shown flashes. With Mark Ingram clearly out of the way, and Chris Ivory in New York, Thomas and Darren Sproles are the only RB’s in New Orleans. While he is not amassing record setting rushing yards, he has emerged as a superior receiver out of the backfield. Sunday’s 9 receptions brings him to 28 on the year, which puts him on pace for 90 catches this season. I do not think that number will be achieved, but his 19 rushing attempts this week is encouraging that he will remain on the field for a lot of plays. He is a solid start as your RB2 in standard formats, and is making a strong push for RB1 honors in PPR leagues.

Shoulda not worried about the health of Jamal Charles, KC Chiefs. (108 Rush, 1 TD; 5-37 Rec) Injury concerns be damned, there is a new regime in town. The Andy Reid/Alex Smith led Chiefs have already more than doubled last seasons win total (2) by racing out to a 5-0 start. At the center of that is the consistency of the running game anchored by Jamal Charles. Although this was his first game of 2013 surpassing 100 yards rushing in a game, he has been scoring touchdowns and providing positive results in every contest. Charles is now the top producing fantasy Running Back, and should be viewed as such the remainder of the season.

Wide Receivers

Coulda knew there would be one for Marquis Colston, NO Saints. (2 catches for 15 yards) It is hard to not start every player running routes for Drew Brees, and so far his top target (not named Graham) has been great. But with so many options there is bound to be at least one week where someone gets left off of the leader board. Week 5 was Marquis Colston’s turn to take a seat, as he was only able to manage 2 receptions for a grand total of 15 yards. Do not worry though, he will be just fine.

Woulda been confused about TY Hilton, IND Colts. (5-140, 2 TD’s) A top pre-season sleeper, who is this guy really? He has become the lone deep threat in a very capable Colts offense, displacing Darrius Heyward-Bey in the pecking order. His Week 2 breakout of 124 receiving yards was supposed to be what should be the norm, yet back to back poor performances left many wondering. After this weeks re-emergence you would not be wrong to question how he should be viewed. My hunch is this latest is closer to the truth. Keep in mind, it was against the vaunted Seahawks secondary. Also keep in mind, the team is still getting acclimated to the mid-season arrival of Trent Richardson. I view Hilton as a must start moving forward as there will be more days like this.

Shoulda bought low on Alshon Jeffrey, CHI Bears. (10-218 Receiving, 1 TD) Sometimes it takes little while for a player to adjust to the professional level. When the Bears spent a second round draft pick on Jeffrey they envisioned a clone of All-Pro Brandon Marshall. Two imposing WR’s who would cause match up nightmares for their opposition. Two straight impressive performances has allowed Alshon to leapfrog past Marshall for the team lead in receiving yards (429), and the confidence is booming. Expect more of this scary production because it seems as though he is finally putting it all together.

Tight Ends

Coulda ignored my advice on Mychal Rivera, OAK Raiders. (1 reception for 5 Yards) Ok, so I can admit I may have jumped the gun on Rivera. This is not to say I do not believe everything I have said about his future, it just may have been premature. I still think Rivera is a great add, and pretty soon will not be available, but the rookie still has some stumbling blocks to get over. One catch for five yards is a droppable offense, but I would not read too much into it. Not a reliable starter yet…and I emphasize YET.

Woulda stayed with ‘Ole Reliable Jason Witten, DAL Cowboys. (7 receptions for 121 yards, 1 TD) Another Cowboy who has reached the point of flying under the radar for being a bland name. Witten continues to turn in reliable contributions to fantasy rosters. He may lack the upside of some other Tight Ends, but his floor is among the best at his position. Continue to start him, he is the type of player that wins you Championships.

Shoulda been patient with Julius Thomas, DEN Broncos. (9-122, 2 TD’s) Where did you disappear to Julius? That opening week display was worthy of a standing ovation, and left us wanting more…oh there you are! You came back. And not only that, you outdid yourself. If you have been disappointed since you added Thomas off of waivers following Week 1, then this should be a lesson to you: Keep him in your lineup on a weekly basis. He is as good as advertised and is very capable of doing this again. Maybe even better than this.

Part Two, the section where I jinx guys based on my liking their matchup for the upcoming week. I call it the Play ‘Em/Pass ‘Em segment: one guy I like, and one I do not. If there are anymore results like what we got in Week 5, I may rename this the Mash Unit. Last week I suggested Brian Hoyer and David Wilson as strong plays. To the Hoyer family, I apologize and wish Brian a speedy and successful recovery. To the Wilson’s, you seem to have gotten off a little better, and I hope it is nothing more than a neck stinger (although he will be OUT in Week 6). Needless to say, I have become a little trepid to make any further selections. But if I did not, this article would be cut in half, and I am not in the business of giving refunds. So the show must go on! Do not forget: It is always easier for me, and more beneficial for you, to be asked to choose between specific players. You can do this by leaving your question in the comment section, emailing me at , or asking on Twitter. Week 6 Byes for Atlanta, and Miami.

Quarterback

Play ‘Em: Cam Newton CAR (@ MIN) The Vikings have been awful against the pass. The rust from the Week 5 Bye is gone, and Newton has been polished back to a shining star.
Pass ‘Em: Matthew Stafford, DET (@ CLE) A sketchy knee for top WR Megatron, and a feisty Browns secondary will be too much for Stafford to handle this weekend.

Running Back

Play ‘Em: Trent Richardson, IND (@ SD) The Colts offense is beginning to take shape. Look for T-Rich to improve on last weeks 56 yard effort.
Pass ‘Em: Ray Rice, BAL (vs GB) The Packers have been surprisingly good against the run. A re-emergence was nice for Rice owners, but I do not expect it to continue.

Wide Receiver

Play ‘Em: Terrence Williams, DAL (vs WAS) Getting a chance to play with Miles Austin out has given the rookie a chance to show his skills. The Cowboys air attack will continue Sunday Night.
Pass ‘Em: Austin Pettis, STL (@ HOU) Although he has been great so far in becoming Sam Bradford’s top target, the Texans are in a must win situation. That does not mean good things for the Rams.

Tight End

Play ‘Em: Vernon Davis, SF (vs ARI) Arizona’s strength against the run will open up holes in the passing game for the 49′ers. I like Davis to capitalize on those opportunities.
Pass ‘Em: Antonio Gates, SD (vs IND) Gates and Rivers have been vintage so far this season. But the new look Colts roll into town and the defense is better than advertised.

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Thanks for the continued and growing support! If you like the column, please refer a friend – it will make the world a better place. Have a great week and good luck in your games!

Week 6 Waiver Wire Grabs

Filling in this week for the column makes me feel like I am the #1 Waiver Add amongst the www.FakePigskin.com staff. All kidding aside, these are some guys you should be paying extra attention to. Do not forgot Atlanta and Miami have byes for Week 6 – be sure to adjust your rosters accordingly.

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Quarterbacks

MUST ADD

Geno Smith, New York Jets

Owned in 5.0% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 199 Passing Yards, 3 TD’s/0 INT’s

Two of the last three weeks have produced 24 and 21 point efforts, for the rapidly improving rookie. A 147.7 QB Rating on Monday Night Football, on the road no less, is not a fluke.

Brandon Weeden, Cleveland Browns

Owned in 1.1% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 197 Passing Yards, 1 TD/0 INT’s

With Brian Hoyer out for the season after suffering a knee injury, Weeden regains the starters role in Cleveland. Do not forget: he is only 1 year removed from being a First Round pick, and he has Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron to throw to.

AVOID

Mike Glennon, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Things are a mess in Florida right now, and Glennon has been thrown into the fire. Will learn on the job the rest of the way, but you do not need to be around for the growing pains.

Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles

The only way Foles will be on the field is if Michael Vick gets hurt. While that may be a good possibility, it is not worth a roster spot for someone who will not start.

Running Backs

MUST ADD

Andre Ellington, Arizona Cardinals

Owned in 4.0% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 52 Rushing Yards, 4 Receptions for 31 Yards

The tide is turning in the desert. Ellington had the same number of snaps (30) as incumbent starter Rashard Mendenhall. Look for that trend to continue to increase in Ellington’s favor.

Zac Stacy, St. Louis Rams

Owned in 1.2% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 78 Rushing Yards

While it may be a four man running back committee in St. Louis, Stacy might get the Rams share of the load moving forward. In his first extensive playing time, the rookie showed he can move the chains. I expect he will get more opportunities to test his consistency.

AVOID

Chris Ogbonnaya, Cleveland Browns

As long as Willis McGahee is healthy and active, Ogbon’s role will continue to be diminished. Cleveland will continue to pass, but the Browns back has limited value at this point.

Chris Polk, Philadelphia Eagles

Garbage time can be deceiving, and do not be fooled by his minutes from Week 5. He remains as the third RB on the Eagles depth chart, and should remain off your roster.

Wide Receivers

MUST ADD

Austin Pettis, St. Louis Rams

Owned in 1.2% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 4 Receptions for 49 Yards, 2 TD’s

While the bigger names (Tavon Austin, Chris Givens, and Jared Cook) get your attention, Pettis continues to get Sam Bradford’s. He is quickly becoming the QB’s favorite target for a team capable of moving the ball and scoring.

Jerome Simpson, Minnesota Vikings

Owned in 4.3% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: Bye

Out of 4 games played this season, Simpson has twice gone for 7 receptions in a game. Once for 140 yards receiving, and the other for 124 yards. That kind of production should not be available on Waivers. Not to mention, he has done it with two different QB’s.

AVOID

Brandon LaFell, Carolina Panthers

Currently losing out to veteran Ted Ginn for targets, and losing some of the appeal that made him a sleeper in recent years.

Austin Collie, New England Patriots

The wily veteran was brought into New England because every WR on the roster has an injury. However, they are not serious enough to limit playing time and Collie will not do much for you.

Tight Ends

MUST ADD

Garrett Graham, Houston Texans

Owned in 3.4% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 3 Receptions for 15 Yards

Matt Schaub is having all kinds of problems this season, but one thing remains: He likes to find his Tight Ends. With the news of Owen Daniels being out ‘several’ weeks with a fibula injury, Graham has tremendous appeal from this point forward.

Mychal Rivera, Oakland Raiders

Owned in 0.6% of ESPN Leagues

Week 5 Stats: 1 Reception for 5 Yards

No, this past week did not produce the kind of results I believe Rivera is capable of. He is however a breakout waiting to happen. He should continue to develop with QB Terrell Pryor and it is only a matter of time before it becomes consistent.

AVOID

Rob Housler, Arizona Cardinals

A pre-season favorite of many, Housler got off to a slow start with an ankle injury. Now healthier, and back on the field, he has remained cold due to the poor performance of Carson Palmer. Do not expect that to change anytime soon.

Zach Sudfeld, New York Jets

As much as I would love to see the Patriots get a taste of their own medicine (former Jets having success with Patriots), I do not think Sudfeld will amount to much in New York. Currently 4th on the teams TE depth chart, he has a big hill to climb to get onto the field.

Streamin’ Defenses

New York Jets (vs PIT)

Philadelphia Eagles (@ TB)

Oakland Raiders (@ KC)

Detroit Lions (@ CLE)

* While writing this, news of Julio Jones was learned. Harry Douglas is a good pick up, but not may available in your league. Drew Davis is a name to check out from the other Atlanta Wide Receivers.

* David Wilson will also miss the Thursday night game for the Giants.  Although no starter has been named yet, look for newly re-signed Da’Rell Scott to get the call.

If you have any players you think should be mentioned, feel free to leave them in the comment section. Also, be sure to check out my weekly column “Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda” every Wednesday on the www.FakePigskin.com. If you are on Twitter, add me @PeoplezPen. Good Luck in your leagues this week!

Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda: Week 4

cws week 4Welcome back to the latest installment of my recurring column (every Wednesday). With four games already played the season is now a quarter of the way over, and players’ characteristics are starting to show. Bye weeks, injuries, and available waiver options are enough to keep any owner guessing even after the lineups lock. It is my civic duty to make sure you are as stress free as possible come kickoff. Actually, it is my civic duty to keep the public safe from fires, and it is my moral obligation to keep you from “Ruxin” every Sunday. If you already follow me on Twitter, thanks, and you know the majority of my advice is amazingly accurate. If you do not follow me and you have Twitter, shame on you, and click the button to follow me now. It is there you can ask for up to the minute advice, and learn that my sarcasm is as amazing as my fantasy accuracy. Since this is short attention span reading material, I’m on the verge of losing you…so on to Week 4! The concept of this column is to highlight the past weeks most notable Fantasy performances from the most influential positions (Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End). I will identify a player whom you would generally rely on as one of your starters that you Coulda started, but due to their lackluster performance should not have. Next will be a player who more than likely is on your bench or waiver wire that you Woulda started, and had you done so would have been rewarded with Starter-like numbers. And finally, I will list a player that if you could have had your pick of the entire NFL you Shoulda started, essentially the top performer at his position.

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Quarterbacks

Coulda acted gingerly with Andy Dalton, CIN Bengals. (23-42 206 yards, 0 TD’s, 1 INT)
Forget Hard Knocks, and forget my impartialness to the Bengals (mainly due to my appreciation of Marvin Lewis). I have been a believer of Dalton’s since he came out of TCU as a second round pick, and I will continue to push his bandwagon. However, it is alarming that with all the talent surrounding him he managed to throw for only 206 yards on 42 attempts. I doubt he has a worse performance the rest of this season. Strike that, I hope he does not have a worse one.

Woulda really bought into Phillip Rivers, SD Chargers. (35-42 401 yards, 3 TD’s, 1 INT’s)
I mean really bought in. What has this guy done so far to make you think he isn’t putting together what could be his finest professional season. If it were not for Peyton’s prolific start to the year, his 11 TD’s with only 2 Interceptions would be getting a lot more attention. In fact, if you took Peyton away, Rivers’ 118.8 QB Rating would make him the leagues best signal caller thru the first four games. While he may be labeled a whiner, it is opposing defenses he leaves crying. Outside of P.Manning and Brees, he is a must start every week.

Shoulda opened the ESPN parking lot gate for Drew Brees, NO Saints. (30-39 413 yds, 4/0)
Who dat? Those are the black and gold streaks sprinting by you on their way to the end zone for six. Those streaks belong to New Orleans, and the Saints belong to Brees. If you have never seen a pep talk led by Drew, do yourself a favor and click this link (Pre-Game). Warning: goose bumps will ensue. Monday Night Football? Magnify the impact times ten. Who dat? ‘Nuff said!

Running Backs

Coulda listened to me and sat Chris Johnson, TEN Titans. (21 rush yds, 2-10 receiving, 0 TD’s)
I keep mentioning the young and quickly improving Jets Defense, and as such warned against starting CJ2K against them. This should now be the general rule for any running back not named Adrian Peterson. I get it, you drafted him as your #1 RB and have been less than pleased with the results. For what it is worth, outside of his 2009 2K season, this is who he is. The TD’s will start to come, but it is the lack of receptions that alarm me most. With Jake Locker out a few weeks, I expect those numbers to go up with Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center. Be patient, but realize CJ1K is a much more appropriate nickname.

Woulda not listened to me and played Reggie Bush, DET Lions. (139 rush yds, 1 TD’s; 4-34 rec)
I am not sure what I was more frightened of: the Bears defense, his injured knee, or Joique Bell. Needless to say, in most cases I recommended to keep Bush on fantasy benches and I could not have been more wrong. The 18 carries he got were way more than I anticipated, but at nearly 8 (7.7) yards per carry they were well justified. It is that kind of explosiveness that made him such a trendy draft day pick, and that talent that should keep him as a must start.

Shoulda been chuffed to start Adrian Peterson, MIN Vikings. (140 rush yds, 2 TD; 0 receiving)
If you are scratching your head, chuffed apparently means to be pleased by something in British slang. It really did not matter if the game was in London, Minnesota, or Pittsburgh even, as “All Day” chafed the Steelers defense (nice transition back to American slang?). I have been lucky to see some pretty great running backs play (Payton, Sanders, Emmit, etc), but I would have to cast my vote for Peterson as the greatest of all time. And he is still in his prime. #RememberTheMoments

Wide Receivers

Coulda bought the hype on Donnie Avery, KC Chiefs. (2 catches for 23 yards, 0 TD’s)
I said last week that Avery’s Week 3 performance would open things up for the much maligned Dwayne Bowe. Sure enough, it only took one week to prove that true. Alex Smith is the exact opposite of a gunslinger, almost painstakingly so. I do not think Donnie Avery overnight became the receiver he has never been in his career. He is worth a roster spot if you have room, but then again so was Kevin Ogletree at one point.

Woulda bought the hype on Nate Washington, TEN Titans. (4-105, 2 TD’s)
Another veteran Wide Receiver loitering on the waiver wire, he may even still be available in your league. I think this is another case of the Donnie Avery syndrome, only Washington is in a tier slightly higher than the Chief and is a little more reliable. Is he worth keeping on your roster: definitely. Is he worth starting: yes, depending on who else you have. Overall I see him as the lowest WR2/highest WR3. The Titans quarterback should not change how you view him.

Shoulda took dancing lessons with Victor Cruz, NY Giants. (10-164, 1 TD)
Before you call me biased for cohabitating with a Puerto Rican, or for being born and raised in Nueva York, let the numbers speak for themselves: Receptions T-8th (26), Yards 3rd (425), TD’s T-3rd (4), Targets 6th (43). It is becoming a weekly tradition to see a bomb from Eli to Cruz connect for 6 points. Heck if you just watched Giants games alone you would already be a phenomenal dancer, now at 23 Salsa lessons and counting. (anybody get the Wedding Crashers reference there?) Regardless of the teams struggles, Victor Cruz is a legit WR1 and NFL stud.

Tight Ends

Coulda cut ties already with Kyle Rudolph, MIN Vikings. (2 receptions for 6 yds, 0 TD’s)
For the second time in four games, Rudolph earns the distinct recognition as the worst Tight End of the week. Where is the guy who caught 53 balls and hauled in 9 TD’s just a year ago? If you are still are stashing him on your roster, hoping he reemerges, do yourself the favor now and cut ties. There are too many options available to continue wasting a spot on him. One name I advise to add: Mychal Rivera from the Oakland Raiders.

Woulda known Luck favors Coby Fleener, IND Colts. (5 receptions for 77 yards, 1 TD)
Speaking of Mychal Rivera, whom I added and started in Week 3 myself, guess who got benched. Yes, the guy I recommended in “Play ‘Em/Pass ‘Em” who bunked with his quarterback in college. Rivera (2-44, 1 TD) did shine, but Fleener was even better on the road in Jacksonville. For some reason he still seems to be flying under the radar, but he is a legitimate starting TE for any fantasy squad.

Shoulda drank from the same fountain as Tony Gonzalez, ATL Falcons. (12-149, 2 TD’s)
This section was very nearly renamed after Jimmy Graham (4-100, 2 TD’s), but the 17 year veteran Tony G has resurfaced. Pedestrian at best thru the first 3 games, Gonzo flashed his Hall of Fame talent on Sunday Night in front of all of America. Is this what we should be expecting from the Falcons offense going forward (421 passing yards): probably not. But in his Super Bowl or bust final season, this is closer to where the Tight End should remain week to week.

Now for the second part of this column, the one that will help you for the upcoming week, it is the Play ‘Em/Pass ‘Em segment: one guy I like, and one I do not. Week 4 got me back on track as I was right on 6 of 8 from the list, with the 2 guys I missed on being Andre Johnson and Jordan Cameron. They both were recommended Passes, but they both produced, so I do not feel entirely bad. It is always easier for me, and more beneficial for you, to be asked to choose between specific players. You can do this by leaving your question in the comment section, emailing me at , or asking on Twitter. Week 3′s notables: start Nate Washington over DeAndre Hopkins (@Matthew_Nutter), start Martellus Bennett over Jason Witten (@ShawnAndrew92), start Dwayne Bowe and Reggie Bush over Knowshown Moreno (@DavidWoodward82 and @mellimel18), start Phillip Rivers over Russell Wilson (@xxmcmikiexx). Where I was wrong: start Jason Snelling over Danny Woodhead (@The_KP_Show), start Bernard Pierce over Stevan Ridley (@JKillinger), start Hakeem Nicks over Nate Washington (@BlakeECU). Like I said, the majority are right on, and apologies where I am wrong. Submit your questions and maybe you will be mentioned in a future article. Week 5 Byes for Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, and Washington. Here are some that will play, whom you might want to pay a little more attention to:

Quarterback
Play ‘Em: Brian Hoyer, CLE (vs BUF) The Bills may have picked off Flacco five times, but they give up a ton thru the air. The air around Hoyer has a special feel to it. That’s a lot of air.
Pass ‘Em: Andy Dalton, CIN (vs NE) I know I said I’ll remain pushing his bandwagon, but the Patriots Defense has been playing better than they get credit for. Average numbers for the “Red Rifle”.

Running Back
Play ‘Em: David Wilson, NYG (vs PHI) For those of you who have been patiently waiting on the Giants RB, this is your week. You will be glad you held on after he runs all over the Eagles.
Pass ‘Em: DeMarco Murray (vs DEN) I think we may be looking at the first ever 19-0 team in NFL history. The Defense is aggressive and has enough to keep the Cowboys guns holstered.

Wide Receiver
Play ‘Em: Hakeem Nicks, NYG (vs PHI) This week I sung the praises of Cruz, and predict a big day from Wilson. Why stop now? Nicks is too good to remain subpar, and will emerge this week.
Pass ‘Em: Nate Washington, TEN (vs KC) This is more about tempering the expectations he is creating, than thinking he will be awful. Decent does not mean over 100 yards with multiple scores.

Tight End
Play ‘Em: Mychal Rivera, OAK (vs SD) Get him while you can, because it is only a matter of time before he becomes a household name. Young, raw talent who is learning on the job.
Pass ‘Em: Charles Clay, MIA (vs BAL) Yes, the Ravens have given up huge games to Julius Thomas and Jordan Cameron. While a rising player, Clay is not at that level yet. See the stats from the Ravens other 2 games (Owen Daniels, Scott Chandler) as a guideline.

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Thanks for the continued and growing support! If you like the column, please refer a friend – it will make the world a better place. Have a great week and good luck in your games!

Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda: Week 3

cws week 3

Three weeks in the books and all that is certain is that the NFL is uncertain. Breakouts from Wide Receivers (Gordon, Brown), let downs from Quarterbacks (Kaepernick, Manning), and surprises from unknowns (Hoyer, Franklin) have opened up the fantasy landscape. The waiver wire will be abuzz this week, and some owners will face some major questions about their perceived studs going forward. Luckily for you, I am here to try and help you make some sense of all of this by recapping the past week, and projecting the upcoming one. Welcome to another week my column (every Wednesday throughout the season) where we play a little game of Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda. To recap the rules: the concept of this column is to highlight the past weeks most notable Fantasy performances from the most influential positions (Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End). I will identify a player whom you would generally rely on as one of your starters that you Coulda started, but due to their lackluster performance should not have. Next will be a player who more than likely is on your bench or waiver wire that you Woulda started, and had you done so would have been rewarded with Starter-like numbers. And finally, I will list a player that if you could have had your pick of the entire NFL you Shoulda started, essentially the top performer at his position. Week 3 provided another offensive explosion, and there were several players who could have easily qualified for this list. Conversely, there were also many flops by some high profile guys you would normally count on. If you have any players you seek advice for, feel free to ask me on Twitter. Even if you do not have a question to ask, why not just click the follow button below anyways. You may pick up some other good information throughout the week. Comments on the article are always welcome, and encouraged. Now on to the show…

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Quarterbacks

Coulda relied on Eli Manning, New York Giants. (12-23 119 yards, 0 TD’s, 1 INT)
With all due respect to Peyton’s little brother, it could have very easily been Colin Kaepernick’s second straight week in this position. However, Eli was slightly worse. The combination of strong play by the Carolina defense, and the ineffectiveness of the Giants offensive line, was enough to bury Manning early and often. It appeared as though New York gave up at halftime, and if you were looking for the maligned QB to air it out this week, you probably gave up too. It is hard to see all the talent around him go to waste, but until he can straighten out it is tough to validate starting him.

Woulda dared to trust Brian Hoyer, Cleveland Browns. (30-54 321 yards, 3 TD’s, 3 INT’s)
Is Browns management smarter than us all, or is this just beginner’s luck? In a week in which they traded their franchise star, running back Trent Richardson, they also handed over the reigns of the organization to Brian Hoyer. Who?!? Yes, Brian Hoyer. A journeyman so far in his career, he looked confident and poised in leading the Browns to a road win at Minnesota. Regardless of if they trade any wide receivers, he will still have Jordan Cameron as a target. And that is worth keeping an eye on.

Shoulda had a beignet with Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints. (29-46 342 yards, 3 TD’s, 1 INT)
First week it was Peyton, not to be outdone by Aaron Rodgers in week two. Now, the third of the upper level quarterbacks makes his first appearance on the best in show list. Brees had it going all day at home, spreading it out to eight separate receivers, en route to leading the team to a 3-0 start. He has been anything but erratic, tossing for over 300 yards in every game so far this season. Having him on your roster makes choosing which QB to start a Brees (I know, I know…just awful).

Running Backs

Coulda hoped redemption for CJ Spiller, Buffalo Bills. (9 rush yds, 0 TD’s; 1-1 rec, 0 TD’s)
You thought the new Doug Marrone offense was going to propel Spiller to elite levels. You thought the Jets defense was overrated and would get torched again by CJ, as he did last year for 169 yards rushing in week one. Well, you guessed wrong on both and are now scrambling to replace the guy you spent a high draft pick on. What has gone wrong in Buffalo? Whatever the issues are, do not expect things to change anytime soon. You might be selling low, but anything would be an improvement at this point.

Woulda sung like Bilal Powell, New York Jets. (149 rush yds, 0 TD’s; 2-9 receiving, 0 TD’s)
Joell Ortiz references aside (“Sing Like Bilal”), Jets fans (I included) finally had something to cheer about. And I mean for years we have been waiting. The young offense in New York exploded Sunday at home against the Bills, and Powell set the pace by owning the ground game. I had him listed as a draft day bargain, and had you listened you would either have a legitimate starter or solid trade bait. Coach Rex Ryan clearly prefers him over Chris Ivory, and he is the one Jet running back you should own.

Shoulda trusted the health of DeMarco Murray, Dallas Cowboys. (175 rush yds, 1 TD; 3-28-0)
Although I own him in one of the two leagues I play in, I have never been too high on DeMarco Murray. Injuries are not predictable but yet something about him just leads you to believe at some point he will miss time. Now that he exploded against the Rams, I expect the time to come soon. Hopefully I am wrong, but this is what he is capable of. If he can remain healthy and stay in games, more days like this should be expected.

Wide Receivers

Coulda believed in Dwayne Bowe, KC Chiefs. (1 catch for 4 yards, 0 TD’s)
I was so high on Bowe coming into this year for the same reason as so many others – Andy Reid running the show; Alex Smith and his competence; a healthy Jamal Charles. Needless to say, the early results have been anything but stellar. In front of a Thursday night national audience they may have hit rock bottom, as Bowe drew just 3 targets the entire game. My personal belief is that he was doubled all night, which allowed for Donnie Avery’s explosion. Now that Avery is in the mix, Dwayne should get some better matchups and some better looks. It is way too soon to sell him, but it is getting close.

Woulda dared to play Josh Gordon, Cleveland Browns. (10-146, 2 TD’s; 1 rush for 22 yds)
No T-Rich, no Brandon Weeden, on the road, no problem. If you were one of the owners who drafted Gordon, and waited through his two game suspension to start the season, you were probably frustrated wondering how he could be successful. On Sunday it did not seem to matter as he was unstoppable. News now that the Browns are shopping him may make you an even happier owner, depending on where he potential may land. I was a doubter given the turmoil in Cleveland this week, but there is no way he should remain on your bench going forward. He is that dynamic.

Shoulda complained like Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers. (9-196, 2 TD’s)
There is a growing trend with NFL receivers – yell at your offensive coordinator for a lack of targets. Ok, so it only happened twice so far this year, but both times it has worked. Mike Wallace broke out in Week 2 after yelling at Miami OC Mike Sherman, and now it was Brown who went off for Pittsburgh. The numbers are staggering and speak for themselves. Did you really think the Steelers would be that bad all year? Brown is as solid a WR2 as there is, and can potentially do this again.

Tight Ends

Coulda knew the real Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears. (2 receptions for 10 yds, 0 TD’s)
If you had seen Bennett in Dallas, or New York, you knew the talent was there and the potential is tremendous. However, you also know that he is capable of taking games off. New Head Coach Marc Trestman has Jay Cutler playing with confidence again, and he will need Bennett to show up more regularly. He is definitely someone you should start week to week at Tight End, but do not be alarmed if there are more games like this sprinkled in with the good ones.

Woulda waited on Scott Chandler, Buffalo Bills. (5 receptions for 79 yards, 1 TD)
If you waited on drafting a Tight End and selected Chandler to be your starter based on last years success, the logic was sound. The problem is he has yet to get in sync with rookie QB EJ Manuel. He has maintained exactly 6 targets in each of the first three weeks this season, but Sunday was the first time they went for big yardage (15.8 ypr). I expect the confidence in him will continue to grow for Manuel, and he could once again be a viable source of fantasy points as he was in 2012. At 6’7″ he is a very large Red Zone target who will continue to get targets.

Shoulda wrote a separate column for Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints. (9-134, 2 TD’s)
This is the second week in a row that Graham tops all Tight Ends for fantasy success, and I suspect it will continue. He is clearly the best at his position, and he has arguably the best QB throwing his way. “It’s just ‘Run, jump and get it’” said Graham of the play Brees calls for him. That pretty much sums it up.

Part two of this column brings us to the Play ‘Em/Pass ‘Em segment: one guy I like, and one I do not, for the upcoming week. Week 3 was one of my worst in a very long time. In retrospect, you probably should have just reversed all of my picks (outside of the QB’s). In my defense, with the article released on Wednesdays I had no knowledge of the Trent Richardson trade and did not adjust my selection. That is about all you can defend of my atrocious advice last week. It does however support why you should follow me on Twitter. That will give us a chance to address your specific roster and dilemmas you may be faced with. It also is more forgiving of time as you can ask all of your questions right up until rosters lock. In short, my Twitter success rate for Play vs Pass was much greater than this column was in Week 3. This is the first week of Bye’s in the 2013 NFL season as Green Bay and Carolina get the week off. This will further limit your options eliminating several star players from your lineups. These are some eligible players you should be aware of in Week 4 :

Quarterback
Play ‘Em: Tony Romo, DAL (@ SD) The Chargers have been giving up a ton through the air. Romo has experience and weapons around him to continue taking advantage of the SD secondary.
Pass ‘Em: Geno Smith, NYJ (@ TEN) Before you get all giddy about the potential he has flashed, he now goes on the road to take on a tough Titans secondary led by Jason McCourty.

Running Back
Play ‘Em: LaMar Miller, MIA (@ NO) The Superdome will be rocking Monday night, but the Dolphins will be ready to prove the record is real. Miller controls the line of scrimmage on big stage.
Pass ‘Em: Chris Johnson, TEN (vs NYJ) If the Jets defense does not intimidate you, ask Doug Martin, Stevan Ridley, and CJ Spiller what they think. Add CJ2K to that list come Sunday.

Wide Receiver
Play ‘Em: Josh Gordon, CLE (vs CIN) I thought the odds were stacked against him last week and he proved me wrong. Some regression, but that is a tough act to repeat. Ride the hot hand.
Pass ‘Em: Andre Johnson, HOU (vs SEA) After a drubbing by the Ravens on ‘Ray Lewis Day’, the Texans are a little demoralized. Seattle is not the team to try to rebound against.

Tight End
Play ‘Em: Coby Fleener, IND (@ JAC) A full week of practice with the new starters will get the Colts offense back on track. I expect them to beat up on the Jags and have a solid fantasy day.
Pass ‘Em: Jordan Cameron, CLE (vs CIN) I love J.Cam but the Bengals have been tough against TE’s so far this year. The Cleveland regression will affect his numbers this week from what they have been.

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Thanks for stopping by again this week. The column continues to gain traction and I appreciate your support. Do not forget to add the Twitter handle if you are into that sort of thing. Have a great week and good luck in your games!

Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda: Week 2

cws week 2

Back again, after another exciting week of National Football League action. For those of you who read my debut last week, I will assume you enjoyed the article and have returned for more. I also would like to thank you tremendously, as many of you have spread the word and the buzz is beginning to grow. To those of you stopping by for the first time, welcome aboard! This is my weekly column (every Wednesday throughout the season) where we play a little game of Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda. To recap the rules: the concept of this column is to highlight the past weeks most notable Fantasy performances from the most influential positions (Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End). I will identify a player whom you would generally rely on as one of your starters that you Coulda started, but due to their lackluster performance should not have. Next will be a player who more than likely is on your bench or waiver wire that you Woulda started, and had you done so would have been rewarded with Starter-like numbers. And finally, I will list a player that if you could have had your pick of the entire NFL you Shoulda started, essentially the top performer at his position. Week 2 provided another offensive explosion, and there were several players who could have easily qualified for this list. Conversely, there were also many flops by some high profile guys you would normally count on. If you have any players you seek advice for, feel free to ask me on Twitter. Even if you do not have a question to ask, why not just click the follow button below anyways. You may pick up some other good information throughout the week. Comments on the article are always welcome, and encouraged. Now on to the show…

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Quarterbacks

Coulda went with Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49’ers. As I advised people wondering whether or not to play him against the Seahawks stingy defense, “You have to go with Kaep until someone can stop him.” For the first time in his short career as a starter, Kaepernick was befuddled. Seattle on their home field made things impossible for the young 49’er, limiting him to 13 of 28 for a paltry 127 yards passing with no touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He was able to gain some positive fantasy points when he scrambled 9 times for 87 yards and again no scores, but the overall totals were not that of a QB1. Do I think he has been figured out? No, I just think the Seattle Seahawk Defense is that good.

Woulda played Phillip Rivers, San Diego Chargers. Maybe the Chargers opening game on Monday night was too late, or perhaps you had already overdosed on Football for the week. But if you thought Rivers performance against the Texans that night was a fluke, he sure let you know you were wrong. Had you been able to stomach starting him on the road against Philly, you would have been rewarded quite handsomely. All Rivers did was lead his team to a victory, while amassing 419 yards through the air on 36-47 passing with 3 Touchdowns. He still is hard to buy in to, but after two solid weeks to start the season it is becoming harder and harder to ignore.

Shoulda started Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers. The consensus number one quarterback reclaimed his title on Sunday when he set a team record for passing yards. Washington looked more like the Generals than the Redskins in what amounted to essentially a day of practice for the All State salesman. If you are one of the lucky ones to own Rodgers on your team, you were more than thrilled with his 34-42 for 480 yards and 4 Touchdowns. He could have had an even better day had it not been such a blowout in the first half.

Running Backs

Coulda relied on Frank Gore, San Francisco 49’ers. It is hard to penalize both Stephen Jackson and Eddie Lacy, as they suffered injuries early in their respective games. It is not hard to say that Gore was stymied by Seattle on Sunday night in front of a national audience. Often passed by on draft day as getting older, he was still considered to be on the cusp of remaining an RB1. 9 carries for 16 yards and no scores is not the kind of production you can count on to win games. He added 1 catch for 14 yards, which did little to boost his numbers. I still think this was a product more of the opponent than his skill, so if you can buy low on him there might not be a better time than now.

Woulda rolled the dice with Knowshown Moreno, Denver Broncos. Last year, Ronnie Hillman was supposed to be the surprise stud running back. This year, the Bronco’s drafted Monte Ball and he was perceived to be the one. Even with both on the team, Moreno has continued to be the only one you can sometimes count on. I would not expect many more games like he had in Week 2, but he was wildly successful running all over the Giants. He racked up 93 yards and 2 Touchdowns on just 13 carries, and added 3 receptions for 14 yards. Not bad for an RB3 who sat on most peoples bench.

Shoulda had a crystal ball that told you to start James Starks, Green Bay Packers. With the game all but over, and starter Eddie Lacy out with a concussion, Green Bay went to ‘ole reliable James Starks to run some clock. He proceeded to do more than just eat time, as he gobbled up yards like ‘Pack Man’ (if it sticks I want credit). Starks finished the game with 20 carries for 132 yards and 1 touchdown, while adding 4 catches for 36 yards. He more than likely is available on your leagues waivers, and will be a hot commodity. In addition to confusing me, and other #DepressedLacyOwners (mine as well), he presents a problem for when Lacy does come back. What was thought to be an empty backfield in Lambeau, has just become crowded.

Wide Receivers

Coulda closed your eyes and penciled in Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals. That is what you are supposed to be able to do when he is on your roster. Add that to an improved receiving corps, a competent Quarterback, an offensive minded coach, and you bank on Fitz to play 16 games for you. News of an ankle sprain was alarming but he did play, and on second thought maybe he should not have. A total of 2 catches for 33 yards and no scores was more than likely surpassed by multiple receivers on your bench. It did not pay dividends this week, but starting Fitz is a chance you have to take. Do not be too hard on yourself for doing so.

Woulda trusted more in DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles. We have heard all about Chip Kelly’s high paced college offense, but we also know about the immaturity Jackson has displayed in the past. Even with Philly’s new up tempo style, last season was probably enough to make you think his best days were behind him. A little more belief in Kelly, and Vick as well, would have prompted you to start Jackson in your lineup which equated to 9 receptions for 193 yards and 1 score. Did the real DeSean Jackson just stand up?

Shoulda known a Top 5 receiver is Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons. When I projected Jones to be the #2 Wide Receiver in the pre-season, many thought I was nuts. What happened on Sunday is more the norm than the exception that I envisioned. He missed a practice on Wednesday, and there were concerns about his knee leading up to the Falcons home game against the Rams. None of that was a problem come kick off, and by the time the game was over he had collected 11 receptions for 182 yards and 1 touchdown. If that is in fact closer to what we should expect on a weekly basis, those pre-season rankings are not looking too bad.

Tight Ends

Coulda been on board the hype train of Jared Cook, Saint Louis Rams. After last week’s opening performance, if I told you Sam Bradford had over 350 passing yards and 3 Touchdowns you would think Cook lit it up again, right? The correct answer is an emphatic No. Cook was targeted 6 times but only came up with 1 catch for 10 yards. Talk of the Rams needing an extra blocker in pass protection is generous, extremely generous. He is easily one of the team’s top 3 targets, and he was not signed as a free agent for his pass blocking skills. The talent is definitely there, but the expectations should be tempered for at least another week.

Woulda had the gumption to play Charles Clay, Miami Dolphins. When Dustin Keller suffered a horrific season ending injury during the preseason, the Dolphins decided to shift Clay from Fullback to Tight End. If you missed this news you are not alone. I do not even think my friend Alex Mena at the Miami Herald knew this, or Clay’s parents for that matter. On Sunday he went for 5 catches totaling 109 yards, but produced no scores. It is the second week in a row he has caught 5 balls, so perhaps it is time to give him some real attention. While the yardage in week two was a bit inflated, the targets are there. And for a quickly improving quarterback at that.

Shoulda been the owner to draft Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints. Remember on draft day, when you passed on Graham in the first round, and you wondered was he really head and shoulders above the rest at his position. Then in Week 1 when he caught 4 for 45 and seemed very pedestrian, you were glad you passed him over. Well, Week 2 arrived and Jimmy showed us all again why he is indeed the best amongst the Tight Ends. A monster day of 10 receptions for 179 yards and 1 Touchdown proves it to be true.

Part two of this column brings us to the Play ‘Em/Pass ‘Em segment: one guy I like, and one I do not, for the upcoming week. If you followed my advice for Week 2 I was right on 5½ of 7 predictions. How did I get that number? Despite throwing only 1 Touchdown and 4 Interceptions, Eli Manning still had 362 yards passing. Not tremendous, but far from awful. Also, injuries are not something you can easily predict. Had Brandon Merriweather not been headhunting, Eddie Lacy may very well have produced what James Starks did. The only player I will openly admit I was wrong on was Sam Bradford, who put up pretty lofty numbers in Atlanta. My picks for Week 3 of the 2013 NFL Season are as follows:

Quarterback
Play ‘Em: Matt Stafford, DET (@ WAS) Until the Redskins secondary can prove they can stop someone, all QB’s look good against them. Especially ones who have Megatron.
Pass ‘Em: Andrew Luck, IND (@ SF) One of my favorites returns home to Palo Alto, but the 49’ers are hungry for blood and Luck is the sacrificial lamb.

Running Back
Play ‘Em: Trent Richardson, CLE (@ MIN) The Vikings have been giving up at least 90 yards to opposing rushers. The Browns have to correct their approach. This is the game T-Rich breaks out.
Pass ‘Em: Doug Martin, TB (@NE) Despite the body language of Tom Brady, the Patriot D has been outstanding. Look for them to keep Martin at bay.

Wide Receiver
Play ‘Em: Dwayne Bowe, KC (@ PHI) Andy Reid returns to Philly with the spotlight on him Thursday night. He definitely has a trick up his sleeve, and Bowe is his accomplice.
Pass ‘Em: Cecil Shorts, JAC (@ SEA) Could there currently be any more talent with worse luck? Shorts had a nice game against Oak last week. Seattle is not Oakland.

Tight End
Play ‘Em: Tony Gonzalez, ATL (@MIA) While the Fish have been tough to start the season, they have not done well to stop TE’s. Gonzo is experienced and elite.
Pass ‘Em: Antonio Gates, SD (@ TEN) The Titans have done fairly well limiting TE’s so far this year. Two straight games on the road for the Chargers is too tall of a task to maintain their current pace.

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There you have it, two weeks in the books. Let us hope that Week 3 gives as much excitement as the first two weeks have. I thank you for taking the time in reading this, and look forward to you returning back for the next article. Have a great week and good luck in your games!

Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda: Week 1

cws week 1

I am pleased to present you with the first installment of a new weekly column here on the www.FakePigskin.com. My name is Andy Singleton, and as a NYC Firefighter it is a strange coincidence that my debut just happens to fall on September 11th. As such, I wish to dedicate this article to the memory of all those lost on 9/11, and I hope you take your own moment of silence at some point today to honor them as well. The concept of this column is to recap the past weeks most notable Fantasy performances from the most influential positions (Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End). I will identify a player whom you would generally rely on as one of your starters that you Coulda started, but due to their lackluster performance should not have. Next will be a player who more than likely is on your bench or waiver wire that you Woulda started, and had you done so would have been rewarded with Starter-like numbers. And finally, I will list a player that if you could have had your pick of the entire NFL you Shoulda started, essentially the top performer at his position. Easy enough to follow, I hope. The second part of the column gets a little trickier though. It is where I will attempt to advise you on one player I think will have a big week, and one who will leave a lot to be desired. That is the formula, so on to the results for Week 1 of the 2013 NFL Season. If you are on Twitter do not be afraid to add me to your timeline. I have been accused of occasionally being entertaining.

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