Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14

By John Bush

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game DAPs

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 has my Risk and Reward Analysis will include:

  • Game Script
  • Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
  • Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
  • My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 report has my constructed data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.


Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 

  • Predicted Total Game Points

  • 2017 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face. (Find the Positional Advantages)

  • Complete Week Thumbnail Overview including Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide1


Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide23


Figure 3/4 Team Player Counts By Risk Levels (Graph and Table)


 PIT has more risky players going vs BAL tonight



Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 Sunday Night DAP_ PIT vs BALSunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 PIT vs BAL


Two tougher defenses battle. Low game points expected.

Big Ben sees a tough -14 DAl (minus 2 scores). He gets 2 scores as a ceiling. High-risk play at 63.

The PIT team will need to rush tonight to attack the BAL D vs +0.1 RB DAP. Should be a Bell night. Low risk 100 ranked. 2 scores possible

Brown the WR fights a -6 WR DAP. One score with check-down catches for 100 yards. Bryant might get some love but very high risk 70 ranked. Caution on him!

The outlaw sees -1.4 TE DAP and might get involved.

I expect the expected in here from PIT tonight. Win by 10 points

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 pit.png



Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 PIT vs BAL

Flaco sees a -5 DAP (minus 1 score). Bal will try to be balanced in passing and rushing at home. They may rush early to slow the game down. I suspect they pass crazy by the 4th quarter.

Flaco is ranked low risk 2!

The BAL WR do get a break vs a +4 WR DAP. Wallace at low risk 71 and Maclin in he plays is mid risk 73! They can both score!

Watson is another player for Flaco to target vs a -3 TE DAP! He is a low risk 70 TE this week!

The mystery is the RBBC. Collins should get his rushes vs -2.8 RB DAP. He is still a mid risk 80. Woodhead needs to step up both is a high risk 62 based on here recent production!

BAL stays game for the 4 quaters!

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 14 bal.png

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