PGA DFS Travelers Championship Targets

PGA DFS continues to provide my weekly addiction of convincing myself that I have the perfect lineup combination to win the top prize on my way to world domination. That’s right! It’s that time of year where we attempt to guess who will be rolling in a higher percentage of 15-20 foot birdie putts.

Is it mostly a ridiculous exercise in futility? Pretty much. But, that certainly won’t be stopping me. And, whether my suggestions work out or flame out, it will always be an honor going into every PGA DFS battle with you each week. That, and I have nothing better to do.

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First and foremost, in PGA DFS it’s all about getting your guys to the weekend. The factors I consider are event history, course layout versus player strengths, recent form, and prime bounce back candidates who are playing well, but happened to miss the cut the prior week. One factor does not necessarily outweigh another. And, like any good speculative decision-making process, instinct always plays a role.

Key Metrics and Odds

Week-to-week, I put an emphasis on ball striking (BS), and strokes gained: approach (SGA) the green. They are the best golf statistics that reflect a player’s ability to consistently put themselves in position to have favorable scoring chances, regardless of course setup. I would even argue that high rankings in other stats like putting, birdies, and Par-4 scoring average are directly correlated and a byproduct of strong ball striking and/or a precise approach performance. I’ve added strokes gained: putting (SGP) and applied a weighted average (WA) calculation with the following percentages:

  • BS–50%
  • SGA–40%
  • SGP–10%

The WA metric is meant to serve as a high level illustration on how each player’s all-around form has been up to this point in the season, based on my opinion of how each stat contributes to golf performance results. To help sift through the field regarding just these stats, I put the table below together every week using all data from the official PGA Tour website. It is listed in order of each players’ WA metric ranking. Sort as you wish.

NameSalaryVegas OddsWABSSGASGP
Emiliano Grillo730095/113.73698
Paul Casey990016/119.3143111
Sam Burns770070/121.7232022
Matthew NeSmith6900190/12258163
Keegan Bradley790065/123.146187
Joaquin Niemann900044/124.8133831
Abraham Ancer910032/126.3193048
Patrick Cantlay1040017/127212853
Stewart Cink730085/127.3252356
Charley Hoffman860044/129.2391057
Brooks Koepka1070015/130.7421441
Kevin Streelman940032/131.82227100
Dustin Johnson1140012/133.8263280
Doug Ghim7000250/135.22317169
Russell Henley830050/14059489
Henrik Norlander6800250/142.41736195
Cameron Tringale760080/143.3435018
Russell Knox7000170/146.23928155
Bryson DeChambeau1110011/148.2534537
Kyle Stanley7000170/150.93633197
Harris English820038/153.8318927
Scottie Scheffler960023/154.5199666
Doc Redman760075/159.1555596
Roger Sloan6500360/160.15449135
Aaron Wise740085/160.25041188
Matthew Wolff930035/162.3982245
Scott Stallings6800190/162.97439103
Harold Varner III7500100/163.86354107
Talor Gooch7000170/164824262
Tony Finau920029/164.28721123
Chez Reavie7000170/164.56926196
Patton Kizzire7100170/165756611
Carlos Ortiz7100100/167.83011472
Hank Lebioda6700250/168.1795374
Sam Ryder6200360/169.23887154
Cameron Percy6300470/1708525175
Chase Seiffert6700250/172.28447114
Si Woo Kim850065/172.96869113
Luke List7000190/1765275200
Joseph Bramlett6800200/176.326107205
Chris Kirk7300120/177.6945682
Will Gordon6900170/178.834121134
Max Homa780075/179.11114460
Brendan Steele7200170/181.547115120
Lanto Griffin7400120/181.61273733
Adam Scott800070/181.61046824
Adam Schenk6300310/183.155108124
Sebastián Muñoz7100190/183.5769191
Jason Day750075/183.946122121
Bubba Watson890037/186.751111168
Brian Harman880031/187.29110017
Joel Dahmen7000190/187.97286175
C.T. Pan7200170/189.210859116
Brice Garnett6400310/190.13716940
Cameron Smith870060/191.21197613
Satoshi Kodaira6500310/192.69784105
Sepp Straka6500360/193.46512993
Danny Lee6900190/196.58683203
Kramer Hickok6500360/196.643145171
Pat Perez7000170/196.81178063
Patrick Reed1000027/197.2159435
Hudson Swafford6700250/1100.433178127
Tyler McCumber6200360/1104.178111207
Luke Donald6400360/1104.613358149
Justin Rose840070/1107.310313326
Michael Thompson6700250/1108.69313485
Tom Hoge6600310/1108.916435129
Kevin Chappell6400360/111012295110
Andrew Putnam6600310/1110.61409334
Scott Piercy6600250/111112771191
Bronson Burgoon6500250/1111.361166144
Marc Leishman810075/1112.91547271
Brian Stuard6400360/1113.1106117133
Zach Johnson7100190/1113.31301203
J.J. Spaun6700310/1114.481139183
Kevin Kisner7100140/1115.110814723
Nick Taylor6600310/1115.38716270
Tyler Duncan6300460/1115.413274198
Francesco Molinari770080/1115.517147112
Rickie Fowler730075/1116.780156143
Erik Van Rooyen7200140/1119.113610399
Sean O'Hair6100470/1120.366175173
Ryan Armour6700250/1122.211615330
Jason Dufner6300310/1123.614879180
Michael Gligic6200470/1123.98318968
Kris Ventura6300360/11259219510
Denny McCarthy6500310/1125.510018227
Troy Merritt6800310/1127.11709061
Matt Jones7100170/1127.212015936
Rob Oppenheim6600360/1127.21589794
Austin Cook6100460/1127.49819120
Phil Mickelson780085/1127.616085136
Ryan Moore6800190/1128120124184
Nate Lashley6400360/1128.4130126130
Harry Higgs6500310/1131.315412255
Tom Lewis6400310/1131.4118143152
Brandt Snedeker7200140/1133.117310450
K.H. Lee6700190/1134.4135128157
Scott Brown6100460/1137.2140141108
Vaughn Taylor6600310/1137.615713839
Brendon Todd730095/1141.31391792
Patrick Rodgers6900170/1141.510420383
Kevin Tway6200470/1143.5129161146
Jim Herman6100360/114495194189
Mark Hubbard6600310/1145.716814057
Scott Harrington60001000/1145.7106190167
David Hearn6200750/1145.812420038
Keith Mitchell6900190/1146.8138159142
Beau Hossler6800210/1147.1126185101
Kevin Na750085/1147.4148144158
Richy Werenski6900210/1147.6166132118
Vincent Whaley6400310/1148.914416897
Peter Malnati6100470/1151.119711854
Dylan Frittelli6700310/1151.6122181182
Rory Sabbatini6500360/1152.116615859
Maverick McNealy7200170/1152.5146173103
Wyndham Clark6600250/1153.3124199117
Rafa Cabrera Bello7400310/1153.417315549
Bo Van Pelt6300360/1153.8161152125
Ian Poulter740085/1157.51831638
Adam Hadwin6900170/1159.517617227
Chesson Hadley7100170/1160.61881656
Adam Long6800210/1162.115119778
Rafael Campos6000360/1168.8153201119
Robert Streb6400360/116918217676
Ted Potter, Jr.6200750/1169.9201125194
Anirban Lahiri6500360/1171.4179170139
Mackenzie Hughes7100120/1173.419018832
Byeong Hun An6700310/1174.2186151208
Michael Kim6000700/1175207146131
Brandon Hagy6300360/1176.9162202151
Robby Shelton6200460/1178.7205150162
J.B. Holmes6200360/1183.9190177181
Nick Watney6100750/1185.9186184193
Hunter Mahan6000700/1187.920421019
Brian Gay6000700/1192.920920564
Martin Trainer61001000/1194.6199209115
Sung Kang6300460/1203.8210206164
Garrick Higgo790070/10000
Guido Migliozzi720095/10000
David Lipsky6900210/10000
Steve Stricker6800310/10000
Austin Eckroat6600310/10000
John Pak6400360/10000
Davis Thompson6300320/10000
Chase Koepka6200700/10000
Kevin Stadler61001000/10000
J.J. Henry6100750/10000
William McGirt6000750/10000
Brian Keiser6000700/10000
Jonas Blixt6000700/10000
Alex Beach60001000/10000

*players without data have not played in enough PGA events for stats to qualify

Core Four

Each week, I identify four players that I want to build around in my DK lineups. These selections are players that I believe potentially have top-25 floors with top 10 upside, and a reasonable case to contend/win. They will be used in all my lineups. This week’s selections:

Ryan Moore $6,800

The combination of his price and track record here enters this UNLV alum into my core this week as a building block type target. He doesn’t have any high place finishes this season, but is making enough weekends to warrant consideration in PGA DFS this week.

Another player I would target in this range is Chez Reavie. After missing six consecutive cuts he quietly finished T-14 at the Palmetto Championship, and followed that up with a modest T-40 finish at last week’s US Open. Playing at the venue of his biggest career win should assist him in continuing to trend in the right direction.

Keegan Bradley $7,900

Bradley’s outstanding ball striking and iron play has helped him put together a rock solid 2021 season. He missed the weekend at the Memorial his last time out for the first time in his last nine starts. I love him as a mid-range target to bounce back here in a place where he finished T-2 behind Reavie in 2019. Overall, Bradley is 9/10 in career cuts made in this event.

Abraham Ancer (

Abraham Ancer $9,100

Copy and paste everything under Bradley’s name here. Ancer is arguably the top bounce back candidate of the week. This tournament is a great spot for him to contend and potentially earn that elusive first PGA Tour win. He’s finished T-11 and T-9 the last two seasons here.

Paul Casey $9,900

I discussed Casey’s impressive Travelers Championship track record here. Beyond that, there really isn’t anything to suggest why he wouldn’t keep his high level play going this week. If the winner doesn’t come from the five figure range, this Englishman and Bubba Watson are definitely a couple of the top dark horse candidates to take it down Sunday.

Good luck in Connecticut! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed.


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