By John Bush

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 13

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game DAPs

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 13 has my Risk and Reward Analysis will include:

• Game Script
• Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
• Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
• My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 report has my constructed data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.

——————————————————————–

---

Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 

---

• Predicted Total Game Points

• 2017 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face. (Find the Positional Advantages)

• Complete Week Thumbnail Overview including Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green

---

---

——————————————————————–

Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis

---

---

——————————————————————–

Figure 3/4 Team Player Counts By Risk Levels (Graph and Table)

---

 

CIN has more High-Risk Players Going than  PIT Tonight

  ———————————————————————————–

 PIT VS CIN

——————————————————————–

PIT

PIT gets a nice away game. Big Ben has been weaker away from home. They are favored by 2 scores assuming AB plays! If Brown out then I expect a closer game!

Big Ben fights into a + 8 DAP and +1.6 QB DAP. I expect 3 scores as the floor! Subtract one if AB out!  He is High Risk 65 this week away game and AB injury?

The WRs go against a -0.7 WR DAP. Sightly below average for Brown Low risk 100, JuJu high risk 71 and Bryant High Risk 68! Seems all can score. AB figures for lots of yards as well! Play them all if needed!

James the TE can be a sharp play vs +3.8 TE DAP and can Score! AB out increases his importance! He is mid risk 63!

Bell is low risk 100 and should collect a few more points in an away game! He gets to fight a +1.4 RB DAP. Key Game

——————————————————————–

CIN

Dalton contends tonight with a tough D of -5 DAP and -1.7 QB DAP! I have him as a low risk 30! 2 scores expected! Game Key!

The WRs get a +0.7 WR DAP! Greeb at low risk 96 gets his tonight! Maybe 2 scores? LaFell is a solid PPR play at mid risk 57. Others are a gamble!

Kroft is going to get his targets vs a -3 TE DAP. He can score at a low risk 69!

Mixon gets to continue his rise vs +0.8 RB DAP. I expect a solid game with yards and maybe a score. If he runs wild CIN can upset! Bernasr is just a deep PPR play if at all at mid risk 26!

Related Posts

• 
  NASCAR DFS: Monkey Knife Fight Picks for the Ally 400
• 
  Key Analysis of FFPC ADPs Part 2
• 
  PGA DFS and Monkey Knife Fight Picks: US Open