Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13

By John Bush

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game DAPs

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 has my Risk and Reward Analysis will include:

  • Game Script
  • Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
  • Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
  • My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 report has my constructed data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

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I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.


Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 

  • Predicted Total Game Points

  • 2017 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face. (Find the Positional Advantages)

  • Complete Week Thumbnail Overview including Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide1


Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide23


Figure 3/4 Team Player Counts By Risk Levels (Graph and Table)

 Count Risk Players

Count Risk Players Graph

PHI has more High-Risk Players Going than SEA Tonight



PHI vs SEA Sunday NightPHI vs SEA


SEA is the undog even at home. The loss of Defensive Power Players has tipped this game to PHI! I think that SEA will score more than thought and can win. The game is closer than Vegas thinks!

Wilson fights a -6 overall DAP (minus a score on average). Score 2X to 3X for Him then in passing! I have him at a nice low risk 96 because of his running ability. If he can scramble and get a score that way then the game gets closer and SEA can win!

The SEA WRs get a nice opportunity to score tonight vs a +4 WR DAP! Baldwin is low risk 93, Richardson at a mid risk 75 and Lockett is at a mid risk 58! All can score and might surprise the PHI D! 2 to 3X possible

Graham the TE battles a -0.9. He can score for SEA and is alow risk 94! Expect production!

The weakness for SEA has been the RBs. McKissic is a low risk 58 and needs to give do enough to get Wilson’s play-action rolling! The RB fight a -7 RB DAP!

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 sea4.png


Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 PHI vs SEA


Wentz battles into a tough -8 DAP (minus a score) and -2 QB DAP! He is still at 93 low risk! He gets 3X scores tonight!

The PHI WRs contend with a -2 WR DAP and should collect 2X scores from Wentz. Jeffery is mid risk 90, Agholor at high risk 67 and long pass T Smith at mid risk 39! They should keep the mojo going for PHI tonight!

Ertz has been the best weapon for Wentz (PHI Strength) and gets a +0.8 TE DAP (SEA D Weakness) He scores 1 to 3X. Depends on the need. Expect big game and is a low risk 97! Bam DFS play!

The RRBC from PHI mimics the NE RRBC show! They go against a -3.4 RB DAP and need to keep the SEA D on their heels for Wentz to pass! Ajayi is low risk 50, Blount (Red Zone) mid risk 40 and Clement (Red Zone Threat) at high risk 34! Maybe a score between them. U-Pickem!

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 13 phi2.png


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