By John Bush

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 2 Edition: 

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game’s DAPs

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 2 will include:

• Game Script
• Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
• Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
• My Risk Assessments for Players
• (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

I have constructed these data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.

 

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Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 

• Predicted Total Game Points
• 2016 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face.
• Find the Positional Advantages
• Complete Week Thumbnail Overview
• Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent                      
• (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green

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Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis

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NYG vs DET

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This seems to be a worthy game to watch on Monday night!. Various stories will play out this night!

When NYG has the ball, does OBJ play? DET has provided a nice DAP to WR from +1.3 to +3.2. Excellent expects multiple scores tonight for the WRs. If OBJ plays is he a decoy? I have heard that this weekend. If he plays and I can play him I would. Marshall also should get well but a Mid Risk! Shepard could collect score as well but he is High-Risk High Reward is OBJ does not play!

The mysterious NYG backfield does baffle but, I support Sugar Shane Vereen for his pass catching. He can give you needed PPR points. He is on some Wavier Wires. As long as he is healthy, he is a threat in PPR leagues. Good one to grab this week only!  Perkins will have to battle for rushing yards vs a -2.2 (2016) to +2.2 (2017). Let’s call it average? I would decline to use him. He and Shane are Mid-Risk.

The NYG TE does face a nice 2016 DAP of +2.2. Maybe the Evan “double EE” gram scores? I believe he is who you think he is but is low risk but lower ranked. He is low risk to collect 5 or 6 catches. The TD will depend on the NYG’s trips to the red zone!

Eli should have the script control on this game vs +1.9 (2016) DAP.  He is still a Mid-Risk and ranked in the week’s middle for QBs. There are others in DFS to play!

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When DET has the ball, they face a once tough NYG Defense (2016 DAPs). Last week, however, that was not the case. What seems clear is the NYG are tough on RB and WRs having -3 DAP for RBs and a -2 DAP to WRs. Thus, the expectation is a tough game for DET.Monday Night Risk Reward Week 2

Abdullah is ranked ok but a Mid-Risk. Riddick actually has a better opportunity using his passing catching skill set but still a Mid-level risk!

Golden Tate should score but will fight for it and is rated at a low risk. The wildcard is Golladay! He could beat the NYG corners and deliver the goods! It’s a High-Risk Reward. I am playing Tate as a safe play and Golladay as a worthy risk. DFS player take note!

The DET TE Ebron should rebound and has the gate open for scoring as he is facing a +0.5 (2016)  to +5.4 (2017). If you need a one-week play he is Mid Risk but seems to have a favorable game script. I would not bet the house but a teaser bet in DFS is not out of the question!

I think the NYG can lose this game for themselves. DET is there in case Eli is Eli this week.

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