NFL Eliminator Challenge: Week 7

Welcome to the seventh week of our NFL Eliminator Challenge series. I would like to start this week’s article with an apology to Panther nation. Last week I doubted the Panthers, expecting the Seahawks to dominate, and I was wrong. The Carolina Panthers are for real, and go-forward are viable picks for your eliminator challenge. That being said, last Sunday our pick of the week, the Green Bay Packers, had a very exciting goal line stand to extend our streak to six, while our other supplemental pick, the NY Jets, also took care of business at home. Time to go for seven!

Step 1 – Avoid Division Matchups

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These games just keep on giving. After a stunning upset on Thursday night where the undefeated Falcons took their first loss of the season, we got another surprise Sunday as the winless Lions captured their first victory of the season. While the Giants may have decided to not show up for their division matchup, most teams do. Follow my number one rule: avoid the below division games:

  • Seattle at San Francisco
  • Minnesota at Detroit
  • NY Jets at New England
  • Oakland at San Diego
  • Dallas at NY Giants

Step 2 – Avoid Marquee Matchups

While we didn’t get the most exciting prime-time games last weekend, we did get some interesting ones. As stated above, on Thursday we saw the Falcons get their first loss, and Sunday night we saw what was supposed to be a New England blow out, turn into a much closer game than expected. That being said, historically these games are much closer than we saw this past weekend, and don’t let one weekend make you forget earlier in the season. Unless you want to take a chance I would avoid the below marquee games:

  • Seattle at San Francisco
  • Philadelphia at Carolina
  • Baltimore at Arizona

Step 3 – Avoid Picking Against Home Field Advantage

Last week we saw the scale tilt back to home field advantage as eight of fourteen games were won by the home team, including a Landry Jones led Steelers squad. It’s also worth noting New Orleans upset the undefeated Falcons at home, as well as the winless Lions got their first victory in front of their home crowd. Be aware and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Buffalo at Jacksonville
  • Atlanta at Tennessee
  • Pittsburgh at Kansas City

Step 4 – Make your pick!

My pick of the week is:

Indianapolis over New Orleans

This is a tough week for picks because after going through our normal round of eliminating games, there aren’t many left to choose from. That being said, in my honest opinion, the best remaining option is going with Andrew Luck and the Colts. While both of these teams have had ups and downs this season, I think the Colts will be looking to prove something after some of the blunders they had against the Patriots. As for the other side of the ball, the Saints haven’t looked good when they are away from the Superdome, and I’m hoping home field advantage is what decides the winner in this one. It’s not a sure thing, but our strategy has held strong so far this season so I’m crossing my fingers and hoping for a little Luck on Sunday!

Other options I like this week:

St. Louis over Cleveland

The Cleveland Browns may truthfully be the better team between these two, but if you have watched Cleveland play this season, they know how to lose games they should win. Add that to the fact that this is in St. Louis against a team that just got a lot of rest and this should tip towards a Rams victory.

Miami over Houston

I’ll admit this a bit of a homer pick, but the Dolphins have to eventually beat the Texans in the history of the franchise, right? This is all banking on them keeping the intensity levels that they showed against the Titans just one week prior. Also, after their embarrassing home opener, the Dolphins need to prove to their fans that they can rebound in only their second home game of the season.

Thanks for reading!

Feel free to follow me for great fantasy football advice on twitter @DE_aaron

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