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NFL 6 Pack: Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Bengals Andy Dalton

It Week 5 of the NFL season and once against its time to make NFL picks against the spread. Aaron and I are seeing the board well, going 4-1-1 in our Week 4 picks.

Kyle’s Reaction: For me it was another strong week going 2-0-1. It probably should have been a loss with the Vikings in LA but there were some questionable calls on Minnesota that offset the missed FGs for the Rams making the push not seem miraculous. That said, I’m 5-0-1 in my last 6 picks and heading in the right direction. I’m looking to stay on my winning ways and continue to stack paper.

Aaron’s Reaction: Another 2-1 week for this guy! That’s 3 money-winning weeks out of 4 so far. The Lions almost gave me a heart attack getting as close to that line as possible. The Jags easily rolled the Jets for the cover. But Philly let the game slip out of their hands and ended up losing in OT. Lets keep the streak rolling this week and win some more $:

Week 4 results:

Aaron: 2-1-0
Kyle: 2-0-1

On the season:

Aaron : 7-4-1
Kyle : 6-4-2

Kyle’s Picks:

Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 vs Miami Dolphins

I love the Bengals this week. They are returning home after an impressive win in Atlanta. Losing Tyler Eifert isn’t ideal but Tyler Boyd has been a revelation thus far and should provide help opposite A.J. Green. Joe Mixon is practicing as of Wednesday and looks to have a decent shot at playing this week. Even if he can’t go, Giovani Bernard has done a great job in his absence.

The Dolphins are on the road again this week after a shellacking in New England. It got so bad that HC Adam Gase thought bringing in Brock Osweiler was a good idea. The defense has issues as well. We are going to look back midway through the season and wonder how Miami was ever 3-0.

Andy Dalton and company roll at home this week and cover the TD with ease.

Pick: Bengals -6.5

New Orleans Saints vs Washington Redskins Under 52.5

This game screams under to me. Obviously Drew Brees and company can put up points with the best of them averaging just over 34 points per game. That said, they are getting Mark Ingram back this week from suspension and I expect Sean Payton to get him involved.

Washington comes into this game off a bye week. Their defense while not a world beater has been solid this season allowing less than 15 PPG. They held Aaron Rodgers and company to 17 points before their bye.

Offensively they want to control the clock, lean on Adrian Peterson and utilize the short to intermediate passing game of Alex Smith. The Saints have show to be most vulnerable in their secondary. I don’t expect Smith to take advantage of that like other QBs might.

You may have to sweat a little bit and hope Alvin Kamara doesn’t have a monster performance but this is simply too many points.

Pick: Under 52.5

Cleveland Browns +3 vs Baltimore Ravens

Betting on the Cleveland Browns is never fun and you’re relying HC Hue Jackson not doing multiple stupid things but for me this game is an overreaction. This game opened at the Ravens -1 and has ballooned up to Ravens -3. Everyone saw what Baltimore did to Pittsburgh in the prime time game this past week. The Steelers have issues on both sides of the ball and Baltimore exposed them.

The Ravens are on the road for a second straight week while the Browns return home after giving away the game in Oakland. Had the Browns pulled that game out they are probably favored. The Browns could easily be 4-0 instead of 1-2-1. Thanks Hue!

I expect the defense to rebound after a very poor performance and slow down a Ravens offense that has Joe Flacco playing like the above average QB that we all know he is not. This game will be ugly and the Browns may blow it late but they will cover and take their ATS record to 4-1 on the season.

Pick: Browns +3

Justin Edmonds – Getty Images

Aarons Picks:

Denver Broncos +1 @ New York Jets

How? Why? The line scares me a bit because I’ve watched a lot of football with my eyes and brain… and this doesn’t make sense. The Broncos were 2-1 going into last week’s showdown on Monday night against the red-hot Chiefs and should have won the game. Not only did they blow the lead, but Keenum missed a wide-open Thomas which could have sealed the game.

I get the whole storyline of coming off a tough loss and traveling to the East Coast, but the Jets stink. Their offense is anemic, and the world is still reeling off that week 1 blowout of the Lions.

Take the Broncos and collect your winnings.

Pick: Broncos +1

Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins are 3-1 but have played one 1 good offense: New England. They cannot hang with high-powered offenses, and while it pains me to say this, Cincy has a high-powered offense this year. They are clicking on all cylinders and will continue to click even without Eifert.

I’m always a little hesitant to bet against a team after they have been blown out, but I think it happens to Miami again. The run game isn’t good enough to dominate the game and Tannehill isn’t a shootout type quarterback. As long as Cincy can minimize the big plays from Grant and Wilson, the Bengals should roll by double digits.

Pick: Bengals -6.5

Tennessee Titans -3 @ Buffalo Bills

I could almost repeat what I said about the Broncos here. The Bills have looked awful (outside of one game) and they are only 3 point dogs to a 3-1 Titans team? The Titans started Blaine Gabbert for 2 of those games! Marcus Mariota came back fully last week and led them to a win over the defending Super Bowl champs.

They’ve beaten the Jags and the Texans, showing that they are a force to be reckoned with in the AFC South. Sure, they’ve only won their last three games by 3 points each, but that’s the line here! It seems like a guaranteed push as the worst-case scenario.

I won’t be surprise if the Titans walk into Buffalo, while the weather is still decent, and run them off the field. Easy money.

Pick: Titans -3

Let us know who you like this week in the comment section and good luck in Week 5!

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