College Football Playoff Picks Against the Spread

Baker Mayfield

College Football Playoff Picks Against the Spread takes a look at the College Football Playoff games. It also looks at big games over the New Years weekend including the Fiesta Bowl, Sugar Bowl, and the grand daddy of them all, the Rose Bowl. These games feature dynamic teams that have impressed all season. Will all these teams be motivated? Will they have their players healthy and ready to go? Lets take a look and pick some winners along the way.

>Season Total 37-37-0
>Upset Alert 2-11

Orange Bowl

Oklahoma Sooners -3 vs Clemson Tigers

The Clemson Tigers are a team that I have loved since the preseason and were the one final four team i predicted correctly. They have a leader in Deshaun Watson, a talented running back in Wayne Gallman to provide balance and an impressive defense. All that said the Oklahoma Sooners can say the same things and may do it better. They have Baker Mayfield who was arguably the best quarterback in the nation this season. They have not one but two stud running backs in Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon. Sterling Shepard is the icing on the cake for the Sooners.

Clemson this season has failed to cover 4 of their last 5 games and only covered 6 of 13 games this season. Meanwhile Oklahoma has covered 6 of their last 7 games and 9 of 12 overall. This game should provide a fantastic watch with the over on 64.5 very much in play but the Sooners will prove to be too much in the end and not only win but cover the 3 point spread.

Cotton Bowl

Derrick Henry

(Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Alabama Crimson Tide -10 vs Michigan State Spartans

10 points seems like a big total for the Crimson Tide to cover against Michigan State. The Spartans have been impressive against teams like Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa. However the style they are going to employ plays right into the hands of Alabama. Sparty will let Connor Cook do his thing but leans on L.J. Scott, Madre London and Gerald Holmes. If Michigan State wants to win this game they will have to spread things out and utilize Aaron Burbridge. I expect the Crimson Tide defense to slow the offense down. On offense Alabama will face a strong defense but one that can be moved on. Jake Coker will look at Calvin Ridley and Ardarian Stewart to attack the Michigan State defense with the vertical passing attack. Derrick Henry will get plenty of work as well. Despite 65% of the bets coming in on Michigan State the spread has only risen. Meaning the big bets are coming in on the tide. Let’s go with the smart money and the football They should look how Ohio State should have against Michigan State. It may take a late score but Alabama will cover the 10 point spread.

Fiesta Bowl

NCAA Football: Ohio State at Maryland

Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Ohio State seemed to play tight and conservative for much of the season. A ton of expectations were on this team coming into the year and they fell short. A week after they lost to Michigan State the Buckeyes played their best game of the season. It wasn’t a coincidence after they were able to play open and free. They should much the same against Notre Dame in this game. Deshone Kizer has been impressive taking over for Malik Zaire early in the season. It sounds like C.J. Prosise will return for this game which would be big for the Irish. This still feels like a game where Ezekiel Elliot will be too much for a talented Irish front seven. Expect the Buckeye offense to run like a well oiled machine even in the desert. Ohio State will win this game by double digits.

Rose Bowl

Christian McCaffery


Iowa +6.5 vs Stanford

This game faces two teams that want to do very similar things on both sides of the ball. Both teams are going to run the ball early and often. Both teams have talent on the defensive side of the ball. C.J. Bethard and Kevin Hogan do enough to help their teams win games. Christian McCaffery will be a problem for the Hawkeyes. David Shaw will find ways to get him the ball in a variety of ways. This will be a game where Stanford gets up and sits on the ball. While I think they will win, Iowa should keep it close enough to keep it inside the 6.5 points.

Citrus Bowl

Kelvin taylor

(Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Florida Gators +4 vs Michigan Wolverines

This will not be a pretty game to watch overall unless you love anemic offenses against talented defenses. The Florida secondary is very talented and will cause issues for Jake Rudock and the Wolverine passing game. The Florida offense is the running game. Treon Harris doesn’t do much to strike fear into the heart of opposing defenses particularly with his arm. Kelvin Taylor can make plays but will face a very stout Michigan front seven. This game has an over/under that started at 43 and has gone to 39.5. It still feels like this game will stay under. A special teams play will probably be the difference but the Gators should keep it to a field goal game either way. The money line is also worth a look in this game too!

Sugar Bowl

(Michael Chang/Getty Images)

(Michael Chang/Getty Images)

Ole Miss Rebels -7 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

Name your favorite Nkemdiche that is not playing in this game? Thats right. If you named either you’re the big winner. Even with both missing this game, I expect this to be a game the Rebels dominate. On offense Chad “Swag” Kelly and Laquon Treadwell should connect early and often. The Cowboys have a strong defense especially in the front seven. Ole Miss finished the season with a fury winning 4 of their last 5 games. Oklahoma State started crazy hot and were making a run at an undefeated season. They lost their final two games of the year as the wind seemed to come out of their sails. I expect a similar feel in this game. Expect Ole Miss to control this game and cover the touchdown.

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