DETROIT LIONS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

NFC NORTH_DETROIT LIONS

DETROIT LIONS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. This article focuses on 3 tables and their analysis.

  1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels
  2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages
  3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs. the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below.

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This table includes:

  • Team
  • Bye Week
  • Position Rankings
  • Position
  • Overall Name
  • Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
  • Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

The DST is expected to be weak at DST28th. I, therefore, would think DET is passing much of the time. A bonus for the pass-catchers and QB. The Kicker is useful at K6th and will be on some of my teams in 2020.

QBs and RBs

Stafford is ranked at QB13 and is a viable late QB selection in leagues where you use that drafting approach. He should have plenty of passing stats for collection in 2020.

The RBs are interesting as DET has never had a strong rushing team in a while. DET went out and drafted a flashy RB in D Swift. I rank him at RB24th. The concern is the need for all DET RBs to pass-catch as that seems to be the path in 2020. I think it’s an RBBC situation, and Swift may be a later RB in the season type! I rate K Johnson at RB41, but that could be too low for the early season usages. My expectations are for a shift to Swift and lesser use of Scarborough and Johnson at RB96 and 108. Look for roles in those last two to be established, and maybe they gain value with a definite role. Murky balance here with these 4 RBs. I lean KJ with his low uncertainty but ranked him low due to the RBBC.

TE and WRs

The TEs in DET have not been essential in a while. TJ was drafted last year and had an excellent rookie TE season. He has more experience, and I rank him as TE13 and is a useful TE for 2020 redrafts and best ball. A great TE2 but not sure of a TE1 upside given his maturity.

WRs should lead the team in targeting and generate numerous Fantasy Points. Golladay is a strong WR7 and a clear WR1 type for DET, while Jones is viable at WR34 and the WR2 for DET.  These WRs present a threat in passing for any defense. I am drafting both as much as possible. I have Amendola as WR81, as he has high uncertainty. He will have boom-bust games and is an essential late best-ball play. Allison is at WR122, but it is hard to see him breaking into the top 2 spots. Maybe he is a best-ball play as well. Not so sure, though.

DETROIT LIONS- Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs. last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

DETROIT LIONS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. In 2019, DET did well with the QB/WR groups vs Fantasy Points. The QB was used at a +4.2%. The WRs were slightly lower in usages at -0.7% but were tops in FP over the last 4-years with 2019 seeing a WR1, WR3, and WR5 (9. Kenny Golladay 28. Marvin Jones  51. Danny Amendola).

In 2020 I expect Jones to move up close to WR2 nearer to Golladay. Note Matthew Stafford was the top in providing yards per target. He can launch the ball, which is always suitable for most WRs. QB Chase Daniel added, and WR Danny Amendola kept.

The TEs were used slightly lower at -0.3% but expect a higher usage as the TE in 2019 was a rookie TE at 31. T.J. Hockenson. Finally, the RBs dropped by -3.2% in utilization, and FP were a bottom in the last 4-years ( 54. Kerryon Johnson ) KJ has an RB2 possibility in 2020 FYI with McKissic gone. Double Tops QB/WR with an RB bottom.

DETROIT LIONS- Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

This table contains:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2015 to 2019 Targets Per Game
  • 5 Year Average of Targets Per Game
  • %2019 Usages in Targeting
  • % 5-Year Positional Usage Average
  • DIFF 2019 vs. 5-Year Average of Team Positional Usages

DETROIT LIONS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. Overall Comments: 2019 DET got a lot of Targets/Games out of its TEs by 4.4% They drafted T.J. Hockenson as a rookie, and he gave life to the TE position. He enters in season 2, and I predict improvement. He is a late TE1 pick currently. Not sure the upside but seems a safe later pick.

The DET RBs had a decline of -3.3% T/G and hit their lowest T/G in 5 years. 2020 sees an excellent rookie RB brought in, but he will start as the number 2 RB in 2020. The RBs are Kerryon Johnson RB 41, D’Andre Swift  RB24, Bo Scarbrough RB96, and Ty Johnson RB108. Swift may have some upside but not as much as others. Having him at 24th is a reflection of thinking he takes over as the season moves on. KJ starts out on top though and it will be interesting to see if he can stay relevant.

Finally, the WR also had a last-place season in 2019 vs the 5 years.  Given the dynamics, it’s hard to see a significant improvement for 2020. Steady seems the WR potential. Note the current WRs are Kenny Golladay WR7, Marvin JonesWR34, Danny Amendola WR81, and Geronimo Allison WR109. Jones had room for upside. Wild-card gamble is Allison.

DET TDETROIT LIONS- Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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