NFL Eliminator Challenge – WEEK 2

Last week had slim pickings when it came to divisions matchups.  We had Miami traveling to New England as slight underdogs, as well as Jacksonville traveling to Houston, where the Jaguars were favored by three.  The result?  Two division upsets. 

In one game, Miami barely beat the Patriots in New England; a place where Belichick very rarely loses, especially in home openers.  In another stunner, the Texans crushed the Jaguars, resulting in a very disappointing premiere for both Trevor Lawrence and Urban Meyer.  This could be a great preview of the division games to come this season.

Every single year, one of the top teams gets upset by an underdog division rival.  The problem is, you never know when it is going to happen.  Unless you can predict the future, I recommend avoiding these division matchups:

  • New York Giants @ Washington Football Team
  • Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots @ New York Jets
  • New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
  • Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

How about that Thursday night game kicking off the season with a bang?  The Cowboys and Buccaneers went back and forth all night, with both quarterbacks combining for almost 800 yards!  The result was a game decided by only two points that could have gone either way. 

Then, the week only got better on Monday night where the Raiders took the Ravens into overtime to complete the upset victory on a walk-off touchdown pass.  When two of the three prime time games of the week are this good, you can’t complain!

For whatever reason, when prime time hits, some teams rise to the occasion, while others shrink in the bright lights (looking at you Dalton!). Unless you want to take a chance, I would avoid the below marquee games:

  • New York Giants @ Washington Football Team
  • Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens
  • Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

Last week, eight teams won in front of their home crowd, while eight teams won on the road.  Definitely not what we were expecting in our first game of the season with stadiums once again at capacity. 

That being said, we did see some decent surprises including the Raiders prime time upset, Houston blowing out the Jaguars, and the Bengals winning in overtime over the Vikings.  While home field advantage wasn’t overwhelming last week, I still wouldn’t ignore it.

Home field advantage may not be what it used to be, the stress behind travel and being out of your comfort zone is still a real thing and something you should be careful with.  Be aware and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Los Angeles Rams @ Indianapolis Colts
  • Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots @ New York Jets
  • San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles
  • New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
  • Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens

My pick of the week is:

Cleveland Browns over the Houston Texans

The Cleveland Browns marched into Kansas City last weekend and came very close to upsetting the team that owned the AFC in 2020. 

Now they get to return home to play a team that did well last week, but who also would do their franchise more good by losing than winning.  I expect both scripts to flip this week as Cleveland gets their first win and Houston gets their first loss on Sunday.

An alternate option I like this week: 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Atlanta Falcons

How could you not like the Buccaneers after what they showed on Thursday night?  They now get extended rest and they will be hosting a Falcons team that looked absolutely lost against an Eagles team that isn’t exactly a popular Super Bowl pick this season.  This game could get out of hand quickly.

Rule breaker pick of the week:

Green Bay Packers over the Detroit Lions

Thanks for reading!


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