PGA DFS Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview

If you need a distraction from COVID-19 fear mongering, let PGA DFS be your weekly vaccine to cure sports boredom until NCAA tournament betting begins. That’s right! It’s that time of year where we transition from trying to predict who scores touchdowns, to guessing who will be rolling in a higher percentage of 15-20 foot birdie putts.

Is it mostly a ridiculous exercise in futility? Pretty much. But, that certainly won’t be stopping me. And, whether my suggestions work out or flame out, it will always be an honor going into every PGA DFS battle with you each week. That, and I have nothing better to do.

First and foremost, in PGA DFS it’s all about getting your guys to the weekend. Generally, I will fill out my roster with guys in the $7,100-$9,000 range. The factors I consider are event history, course layout versus player strengths, recent form, and prime bounce back candidates who are playing well, but happened to miss the cut the prior week.

One factor does not necessarily outweigh another. And, like any good speculative decision-making process, instinct always play a role.

Event Information

Course: Bay Hill Club and Lodge, par-72, 7,381 yards, Orlando Gardens, Florida

The Arnold Palmer Invitational (API) is one of the PGA Tour’s signature events that is not a major championship. With last season’s schedule shift, it now plays as a perfect annual precursor for next week’s PLAYERS Championship.

The event has been played at Bay Hill every year since 1979. And, with one of golf’s iconic names attached to it, there is always a field that includes a vast majority of the game’s best players looking to shoulder that umbrella embroidered, fire engine red cardigan, on the 18th green Sunday afternoon.

Unfortunately, that will no longer include one Eldrick Woods, who has won the event an asinine eight times in his career. He will be missing out on a ball striker’s dream compared to last week’s Honda Classic. Unlike the defensive PGA National course, Bay Hill is set up for scoring.

After 2009, course renovations altered the layout to play at a par 72. Since then, the course features four Par 5s that players must score on in order to keep pace. This includes hole 16 which begins one of the most iconic three-hole finishing stretches in golf.

The massive par 3 and 4 that come after on 17 and 18 typically play as the toughest holes on the course so scoring on 16 will be a significant factor Sunday, if scores are close. Depending on conditions, you can expect a final winning score of 12-15 under par.

Key Metrics and Odds

Week to week, I put an emphasis on ball striking (BS), and strokes gained: approach (SGA) the green. They are the best golf statistics that reflect a player’s ability to consistently put themselves in position to have favorable scoring chances, regardless of course setup. I would even argue that high rankings in other stats like putting, birdies, and Par-4 scoring average are directly correlated and a byproduct of strong ball striking and a precise approach performance.

To help sift through the field regarding just these stats, I put the table below together every week using all data from the official PGA Tour website. It is listed in order of each players’ composite ranking, an average of each players’ ranking in these two stats. Sort as you wish.

NameSalaryOddsCompositeBSSGA
Tommy Fleetwood1100014/17113
Xander Schauffele1000025/19108
Hideki Matsuyama1060020/110146
Rory McIlroy118005/111193
Collin Morikawa840040/114235
Doc Redman6300250/117628
Corey Conners6900125/118333
Emiliano Grillo7100100/1191721
Harris English7400100/123.5542
Brendan Steele750080/1241335
Russell Knox7200125/1253515
Sungjae Im950025/1262824
Abraham Ancer780060/129.53029
Matthew NeSmith6800150/1312141
Tony Finau890030/132.54916
Adam Long6700150/134.54425
Adam Scott970025/1364923
Scottie Scheffler770060/138.51562
Ryan Moore740080/1425232
Harold Varner III7100150/1481878
Viktor Hovland800050/1501981
Bryson DeChambeau1040020/151.5994
Sebastián Muñoz6900150/1566250
Sung Kang6800150/157.54768
Scott Piercy7300100/1648543
Carlos Ortiz7100125/165.57655
Rickie Fowler930030/167.56273
Bubba Watson830050/167.57758
Nick Taylor6700125/167.58127
Robby Shelton6300250/172.54699
Joaquin Niemann750080/17311333
Xinjun Zhang6200250/1739551
Danny Lee6500200/1745890
Pat Perez6400200/1746880
Lanto Griffin6800125/175.57972
Alex Noren7300125/176.512330
Joel Dahmen7300100/176.511538
Jason Kokrak7200100/176.540113
Sam Ryder6400200/1778767
Cameron Champ6900125/178.532125
Stewart Cink6400300/17911345
Keegan Bradley7000100/18051109
Marc Leishman860040/1831624
Harry Higgs6700150/183.535132
Lucas Glover7300125/18425143
Rafa Cabrera Bello760080/18513040
Mark Hubbard6500200/1867993
Byeong Hun An870040/187.510075
Billy Horschel800060/187.525150
Talor Gooch7000150/1888195
Charles Howell III7200100/188.542135
Kevin Streelman7000125/190.543138
Brian Harman7000125/190.510081
Henrik Norlander6400250/192.538147
Scott Harrington6000500/196.572121
Tom Hoge7000150/198.517522
Kevin Tway6200250/110218519
Bud Cauley7400100/1109.518336
Tyler Duncan6300500/1112.5123102
Zach Johnson6600200/1113.514087
Graeme McDowell6900125/1115.517457
Max Homa790060/1118102134
Brendon Todd6900125/1119.594145
Matthew Fitzpatrick850050/1120127113
Ian Poulter760080/1120.521031
Rob Oppenheim6100300/1120.517566
Patrick Reed940025/112120537
Maverick McNealy7400100/1122.5109136
Kevin Na730080/112318264
Charley Hoffman6500200/1123128118
Kevin Kisner780080/1125149101
Andrew Putnam6700150/1126146106
Denny McCarthy6500150/1127.574181
J.T. Poston7600100/1128153103
Jimmy Walker6400200/112920454
Matt Jones6700150/1129.5105154
Matthew Wolff7100125/113389177
Troy Merritt6200250/1135103167
Brian Stuard6500300/1138154122
Nate Lashley6400250/1142167117
Jason Day910030/1143140146
Vaughn Taylor7200150/1150160140
Beau Hossler6600200/1150116184
Brian Gay6200300/1150.5194107
Jazz Janewattananond6600150/115283221
Anirban Lahiri6100500/1152112192
Scott Brown6300300/1154121187
Keith Mitchell6600150/1154.5137172
Phil Mickelson790080/1162.5166159
Danny Willett6800150/1163.5108219
Rory Sabbatini6700125/1167.5158177
Patrick Rodgers6600125/1167.5133202
J.B. Holmes7400100/1173.5167180
Dylan Frittelli6500200/1175.5199152
C.T. Pan6100300/1176192160
Wyndham Clark770080/1176.5171182
Hank Lebioda6000500/1177172182
Matt Every6300300/1182.5203162
Jim Herman6000500/1185.5161210
Sam Burns6600200/1189185193
Kevin Chappell6200200/1189191187
Francesco Molinari7200100/1196199193
Zac Blair6100300/1204.5211198
Si Woo Kim6200300/1209214204

*players excluded have not played in enough PGA events for stats to qualify

Course History (Since 2009)

The table below is a quick way to search any player’s past performance in this event. The simplest way to use it is to search the player’s name. This will execute a quick filter of just that one player’s historical appearances at this event. Below the table, I list the notable players that standout strictly in terms of their course history.

YearPlayerFinish
2018A.J. McInerneyCUT
2019Aaron BaddeleyT17
2017Aaron BaddeleyT41
2016Aaron BaddeleyCUT
2014Aaron BaddeleyT35
2013Aaron BaddeleyCUT
2011Aaron BaddeleyT12
2019Aaron WiseT40
2018Aaron WiseT41
2019Abraham AncerCUT
2019Adam HadwinT33
2017Adam Hadwin6
2016Adam HadwinT36
2019Adam LongT10
2019Adam SchenkT29
2018Adam ScottT41
2016Adam ScottT12
2015Adam ScottT35
2014Adam Scott3
2011Alex CarpenterCUT
2018Alex CejkaCUT
2011Alex CejkaCUT
2018Alex NorenT36
2017Alex NorenT49
2015Alex PrughT62
2011Alex PrughCUT
2010Alex PrughCUT
2015Alexander LevyCUT
2019Anders AlbertsonCUT
2010Anders HansenCUT
2015Andres GonzalesCUT
2012Andres RomeroT42
2019Andrew LandryCUT
2016Andrew LoupeCUT
2012Andrew MageeW/D
2011Andrew MageeCUT
2010Andrew MageeCUT
2015Andrew SvobodaCUT
2011Andy BeanCUT
2016Andy SullivanT27
2016Angel CabreraT68
2015Angel CabreraCUT
2014Angel CabreraCUT
2013Angel CabreraCUT
2019Anirban LahiriT69
2018Anirban LahiriT75
2017Anirban LahiriCUT
2012Anthony KimT66
2011Arjun AtwalT62
2019Austin CookCUT
2018Austin CookT36
2019Beau HosslerT58
2018Beau HosslerT66
2015Ben CraneCUT
2013Ben CraneT65
2012Ben CraneCUT
2010Ben CraneT25
2016Ben CurtisCUT
2015Ben CurtisCUT
2013Ben CurtisT21
2011Ben CurtisCUT
2010Ben Curtis6
2013Ben KohlesT14
2018Ben MartinCUT
2017Ben MartinT41
2016Ben MartinT12
2015Ben Martin5
2014Ben MartinCUT
2011Ben MartinCUT
2015Bernd WiesbergerCUT
2019Bill HaasCUT
2013Bill HaasT8
2012Bill HaasT29
2011Bill HaasCUT
2010Bill HaasT17
2011Bill LundeT56
2019Billy HorschelT50
2018Billy HorschelT54
2017Billy HorschelT13
2016Billy HorschelT20
2015Billy HorschelT43
2014Billy HorschelT43
2013Billy Horschel75
2018Billy Hurley IIICUT
2017Billy Hurley IIICUT
2016Billy Hurley IIIT57
2015Billy Hurley IIICUT
2014Billy Hurley IIICUT
2012Billy Hurley IIIT66
2011Billy Hurley IIIT62
2010Billy MayfairCUT
2017Blayne BarberT62
2016Blayne BarberCUT
2015Blayne BarberT49
2013Bo Van PeltCUT
2011Bo Van PeltT30
2010Bo Van PeltT14
2013Bob EstesT40
2012Bobby GatesT63
2017Boo WeekleyT66
2016Boo WeekleyCUT
2015Boo WeekleyCUT
2014Boo WeekleyCUT
2013Boo WeekleyT69
2012Boo WeekleyT53
2011Boo WeekleyCUT
2010Boo WeekleyT25
2011Brad FaxonCUT
2013Brad FritschT34
2019Braden ThornberryCUT
2017Branden GraceCUT
2015Branden GraceT62
2013Branden GraceCUT
2017Brandon HagyT28
2015Brandon HagyCUT
2018Brandon HarkinsT36
2012Brandt JobeCUT
2011Brandt JobeCUT
2019Brandt SnedekerT50
2018Brandt SnedekerCUT
2017Brandt SnedekerT28
2016Brandt SnedekerT36
2015Brandt SnedekerT13
2014Brandt SnedekerT8
2013Brandt SnedekerCUT
2012Brandt SnedekerT63
2011Brandt SnedekerCUT
2010Brandt SnedekerT30
2019Brendan SteeleT17
2016Brendan SteeleT46
2015Brendan SteeleT35
2014Brendan SteeleT20
2013Brendan SteeleCUT
2012Brendan SteeleCUT
2011Brendan SteeleT38
2016Brendon de JongeCUT
2013Brendon de JongeCUT
2012Brendon de JongeCUT
2011Brendon de JongeT38
2010Brendon de JongeCUT
2016Brendon ToddCUT
2014Brendon ToddCUT
2012Brendon ToddCUT
2010Brett QuigleyCUT
2016Brett StegmaierCUT
2015Brian DavisCUT
2014Brian DavisT20
2013Brian DavisCUT
2012Brian DavisT4
2011Brian DavisT12
2010Brian Davis24
2019Brian GayCUT
2018Brian GayT22
2014Brian GayCUT
2013Brian GayCUT
2012Brian GayT42
2011Brian GayT24
2010Brian GayCUT
2019Brian HarmanCUT
2018Brian HarmanT54
2017Brian HarmanT13
2016Brian HarmanT17
2015Brian HarmanCUT
2014Brian HarmanCUT
2013Brian HarmanCUT
2012Brian HarmanT15
2018Brian StuardT36
2017Brian StuardCUT
2015Brian StuardCUT
2014Brian StuardT60
2013Brian StuardT16
2010Brian StuardCUT
2019Brice GarnettCUT
2014Brice GarnettCUT
2014Briny BairdT60
2010Briny BairdT17
2019Bronson BurgoonCUT
2019Brooks KoepkaCUT
2017Brooks KoepkaCUT
2015Brooks KoepkaW/D
2014Brooks KoepkaT26
2016Bryce MolderT27
2014Bryce MolderT35
2010Bryce MolderT40
2019Bryson DeChambeauT46
2018Bryson DeChambeau2
2016Bryson DeChambeauT27
2019Bubba WatsonT17
2018Bubba WatsonT66
2017Bubba WatsonT34
2014Bubba WatsonW/D
2013Bubba WatsonT14
2012Bubba WatsonT4
2011Bubba WatsonT24
2010Bubba WatsonCUT
2019Bud CauleyCUT
2018Bud CauleyT14
2017Bud CauleyCUT
2013Bud CauleyCUT
2012Bud CauleyT4
2019Byeong Hun AnT10
2018Byeong Hun AnT14
2017Byeong Hun AnT49
2016Byeong-Hun AnT36
2010Byeong-Hun AnCUT
2018C.T. PanT41
2017C.T. PanT56
2011Cameron BeckmanCUT
2019Cameron ChampCUT
2018Cameron SmithCUT
2017Cameron SmithT34
2016Cameron TringaleT27
2014Cameron TringaleT56
2013Cameron TringaleT27
2012Cameron TringaleCUT
2018Camilo VillegasCUT
2017Camilo VillegasCUT
2016Camilo VillegasT55
2015Camilo VillegasT21
2014Camilo VillegasT20
2013Camilo VillegasT16
2012Camilo VillegasT42
2011Camilo VillegasCUT
2010Camilo VillegasCUT
2015Carl PetterssonT35
2013Carl PetterssonT21
2012Carl PetterssonCUT
2011Carl PetterssonT60
2010Carl PetterssonT59
2019Carlos OrtizT29
2015Carlos OrtizT21
2013Casey WittenbergCUT
2017Chad CampbellCUT
2016Chad CampbellT20
2015Chad CampbellCUT
2014Chad CampbellT74
2013Chad CampbellT50
2012Chad CampbellT42
2011Chad CampbellT54
2015Chad CollinsCUT
2014Chad CollinsCUT
2010Chad CollinsCUT
2018Charl SchwartzelCUT
2017Charl SchwartzelT45
2011Charl SchwartzelT47
2010Charl SchwartzelT52
2019Charles Howell IIIT15
2018Charles Howell IIIT14
2017Charles Howell IIIT56
2016Charles Howell IIIT46
2015Charles Howell IIIT21
2014Charles Howell IIIT35
2013Charles Howell IIIT45
2012Charles Howell IIIT20
2011Charles Howell IIIT38
2010Charles Howell IIIT21
2019Charley HoffmanCUT
2018Charley HoffmanT14
2017Charley HoffmanT2
2013Charley HoffmanCUT
2012Charley HoffmanT59
2015Charlie BeljanCUT
2014Charlie BeljanT43
2013Charlie BeljanT69
2013Charlie WiCUT
2012Charlie WiT29
2011Charlie WiT24
2010Charlie WiCUT
2019Cheng Tsung PanCUT
2019Chesson HadleyT17
2018Chesson HadleyT49
2015Chesson HadleyT67
2014Chesson HadleyT26
2017Chez ReavieCUT
2016Chez ReavieT60
2012Chez ReavieT70
2011Chris CouchT60
2010Chris CouchT4
2011Chris DiMarcoCUT
2010Chris DiMarcoT62
2019Chris KirkT15
2018Chris Kirk13
2017Chris KirkCUT
2016Chris KirkT12
2015Chris KirkCUT
2014Chris KirkT60
2013Chris KirkT16
2011Chris KirkCUT
2019Chris StroudCUT
2015Chris StroudCUT
2014Chris StroudT31
2013Chris StroudT34
2012Chris StroudT15
2016Chris WoodT20
2018Cody GribbleCUT
2017Cody GribbleCUT
2010Colin MontgomerieT52
2018Collin MorikawaT64
2016Colt KnostT57
2015Colt KnostCUT
2012Colt KnostT66
2011Colt Knost69
2019Corey ConnersCUT
2018Curtis LuckT58
2017Curtis LuckDQ
2019D.A. PointsT58
2018D.A. PointsCUT
2015D.A. PointsT17
2014D.A. PointsCUT
2013D.A. PointsCUT
2012D.A. PointsCUT
2011D.A. PointsT56
2010D.A. PointsT17
2012D.J. TrahanT53
2011D.J. TrahanT12
2010D.J. TrahanT7
2019Daniel BergerCUT
2015Daniel BergerT13
2014Daniel ChopraCUT
2012Daniel ChopraCUT
2011Daniel ChopraT47
2010Daniel ChopraT66
2017Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2016Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2015Daniel SummerhaysT55
2014Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2012Daniel SummerhaysT33
2011Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2019Danny LeeCUT
2018Danny LeeCUT
2017Danny LeeT17
2016Danny LeeCUT
2015Danny LeeT17
2014Danny LeeT31
2010Danny LeeCUT
2019Danny WillettCUT
2018Danny WillettW/D
2015Danny WillettT29
2014Darren ClarkeCUT
2012David DamesworthCUT
2014David DuvalCUT
2012David DuvalCUT
2011David DuvalCUT
2010David DuvalCUT
2017David HearnT34
2016David HearnT20
2015David HearnT43
2014David HearnT52
2013David HearnT45
2017David HronekCUT
2016David HronekCUT
2018David LingmerthT64
2017David Lingmerth72
2016David LingmerthT63
2015David LingmerthT13
2014David LingmerthT52
2013David LingmerthT50
2014David LynnCUT
2013David LynnCUT
2013David TomsT57
2012David TomsCUT
2011David TomsT3
2010David TomsCUT
2018Davis Love IIIT58
2016Davis Love IIIT68
2015Davis Love IIIT65
2014Davis Love IIIT26
2012Davis Love IIIW/D
2010Davis Love IIIT14
2014Derek ErnstCUT
2017Derek Fathauer71
2016Derek FathauerT12
2010Derek LamelyT11
2016Dicky PrideCUT
2014Dicky PrideCUT
2013Dicky PrideCUT
2012Dicky PrideT48
2011Dicky PrideT30
2018Doc Redman71
2019Dominic BozzelliCUT
2018Donny LeeCUT
2013Doug LaBelle II74
2011Dustin JohnsonCUT
2010Dustin JohnsonT40
2019Eddie Pepperell57
2011Edoardo MolinariT12
2010Edoardo MolinariT2
2018Emiliano GrilloT26
2017Emiliano GrilloT7
2016Emiliano GrilloT17
2015Erik ComptonT43
2014Erik ComptonT5
2013Erik ComptonT16
2012Erik ComptonCUT
2011Erik ComptonT56
2010Erik ComptonT30
2019Ernie ElsCUT
2018Ernie ElsT49
2017Ernie ElsCUT
2016Ernie ElsT74
2015Ernie ElsT13
2013Ernie ElsCUT
2012Ernie ElsT4
2011Ernie ElsT70
2010Ernie Els1
2017Fabian GomezT62
2016Fabian GomezCUT
2013Fabian GomezCUT
2019Francesco Molinari1
2018Francesco MolinariT26
2017Francesco MolinariT7
2016Francesco MolinariT9
2015Francesco MolinariT17
2014Francesco MolinariT5
2013Francesco MolinariT34
2010Fred FunkCUT
2016Freddie JacobsonT46
2015Freddie Jacobson69
2014Freddie JacobsonT10
2012Freddie JacobsonT53
2011Freddie JacobsonT9
2010Garrett Willis73
2012Gary ChristianCUT
2016Gary WoodlandCUT
2015Gary WoodlandT21
2014Gary WoodlandT20
2013Gary WoodlandT27
2012Gary WoodlandT48
2011Gary WoodlandCUT
2017Geoff OgilvyCUT
2013Geoff OgilvyCUT
2013George CoetzeeT57
2016George McNeillCUT
2015George McNeillT35
2014George McNeillT14
2012George McNeillT33
2010George McNeillT40
2015Gonzalo Fdez-CastanoCUT
2014Gonzalo Fdez-CastanoT35
2013Gonzalo Fdez-CastanoT3
2019Graeme McDowellT54
2018Graeme McDowellT22
2017Graeme McDowellT28
2016Graeme McDowellCUT
2015Graeme McDowellCUT
2014Graeme McDowellT10
2013Graeme McDowellT45
2012Graeme McDowell2
2011Graeme McDowellCUT
2010Graeme McDowellCUT
2017Graham DeLaetCUT
2015Graham DeLaetCUT
2013Graham DeLaetT50
2018Grayson MurrayT14
2017Grayson MurrayCUT
2017Greg ChalmersT17
2014Greg ChalmersCUT
2013Greg ChalmersCUT
2012Greg ChalmersCUT
2017Greg OwenCUT
2016Greg OwenT46
2014Greg OwenT72
2013Greg OwenT50
2012Greg OwenT20
2010Greg OwenCUT
2010Gregor MainCUT
2015Gunn YangCUT
2019Haotong LiCUT
2018HaoTong LiT54
2019Harold Varner IIICUT
2017Harold Varner IIIT34
2016Harold Varner IIICUT
2019Harris English68
2018Harris EnglishT22
2017Harris EnglishCUT
2016Harris EnglishCUT
2015Harris EnglishT29
2014Harris EnglishT14
2013Harris EnglishT57
2012Harris EnglishCUT
2012Harrison FrazarCUT
2011Heath SlocumT12
2010Heath SlocumT66
2019Henrik StensonT17
2018Henrik Stenson4
2017Henrik StensonCUT
2016Henrik StensonT3
2015Henrik Stenson2
2014Henrik StensonT5
2013Henrik StensonT8
2012Henrik StensonT15
2011Henrik StensonT47
2010Henrik StensonT52
2019Hideki MatsuyamaT33
2018Hideki MatsuyamaT49
2017Hideki MatsuyamaT45
2016Hideki MatsuyamaT6
2015Hideki MatsuyamaT21
2019Hudson SwaffordT29
2018Hudson SwaffordT75
2017Hudson SwaffordT10
2016Hudson SwaffordT36
2015Hudson SwaffordT11
2014Hudson SwaffordCUT
2011Hunter HaasT62
2019Hunter MahanT40
2018Hunter MahanCUT
2016Hunter MahanT57
2015Hunter MahanT57
2014Hunter MahanW/D
2013Hunter MahanT21
2012Hunter MahanT42
2011Hunter MahanT38
2010Hunter MahanT25
2019Ian PoulterT23
2018Ian PoulterT41
2017Ian PoulterT41
2016Ian PoulterT46
2015Ian PoulterT21
2014Ian PoulterT20
2013Ian PoulterT21
2012Ian Poulter3
2011Ian PoulterT12
2019J.B. HolmesCUT
2018J.B. HolmesT41
2015J.B. HolmesCUT
2014J.B. HolmesT10
2012J.B. HolmesT29
2011J.B. HolmesT47
2010J.B. HolmesT21
2016J.J. HenryT63
2014J.J. HenryCUT
2013J.J. HenryT40
2011J.J. HenryT12
2012J.J. KilleenCUT
2019J.J. SpaunT63
2017J.J. SpaunT49
2010J.P. HayesT7
2019J.T. PostonT66
2018James HahnT58
2017James HahnT49
2016James HahnCUT
2013James HahnCUT
2014Jamie DonaldsonT43
2018Jamie LovemarkT41
2017Jamie LovemarkT23
2016Jamie LovemarkT6
2010Jamie LovemarkCUT
2011Jarrod LyleCUT
2015Jason BohnT59
2014Jason BohnT56
2011Jason BohnCUT
2018Jason DayT22
2017Jason DayT23
2016Jason Day1
2015Jason DayT17
2013Jason DayT45
2010Jason DayT25
2019Jason DufnerCUT
2013Jason DufnerCUT
2012Jason DufnerT15
2011Jason DufnerT66
2010Jason DufnerT66
2010Jason GoreCUT
2019Jason KokrakT10
2018Jason KokrakCUT
2017Jason KokrakT56
2016Jason KokrakT20
2015Jason KokrakT6
2014Jason Kokrak4
2012Jason KokrakCUT
2013Jeff KlaukCUT
2012Jeff MaggertCUT
2016Jeff OvertonCUT
2014Jeff OvertonW/D
2013Jeff OvertonCUT
2012Jeff OvertonT70
2011Jeff OvertonCUT
2012Jerry KellyCUT
2010Jerry KellyT30
2017Jeunghun WangT23
2019Jhonattan VegasT23
2016Jhonattan VegasT46
2014Jhonattan VegasT43
2012Jhonattan Vegas72
2011Jhonattan VegasCUT
2013Jim FurykT65
2012Jim FurykT11
2011Jim FurykT9
2010Jim FurykT11
2017Jim HermanT45
2016Jim HermanT63
2015Jim HermanCUT
2014Jim RennerCUT
2019Jimmy WalkerT58
2018Jimmy WalkerT73
2013Jimmy WalkerT8
2012Jimmy WalkerT24
2011Jimmy WalkerCUT
2019Joaquin NiemannT46
2010Joe OgilvieT62
2019Joel DahmenCUT
2017John DalyCUT
2018John HuhT26
2017John HuhT66
2016John HuhT68
2015John HuhT55
2013John HuhT27
2012John HuhT73
2012John MallingerCUT
2010John MallingerCUT
2014John MerrickT43
2015John PetersonT35
2013John RollinsT16
2012John RollinsT20
2010John RollinsCUT
2015John SendenCUT
2014John SendenT52
2013John SendenT27
2011John SendenT24
2010John SendenT25
2019Johnson WagnerT33
2013Johnson WagnerT27
2012Johnson WagnerT4
2011Johnson WagnerT30
2016Jon CurranT63
2016Jonas BlixtT27
2013Jonas BlixtCUT
2012Jonathan ByrdCUT
2010Jonathan ByrdT64
2013Josh TeaterT27
2012Josh TeaterT42
2010Josh Teater75
2014Justin HicksT74
2013Justin HicksT65
2012Justin LeonardT59
2011Justin LeonardCUT
2019Justin RoseT63
2018Justin Rose3
2017Justin RoseT13
2016Justin RoseT9
2014Justin RoseCUT
2013Justin Rose2
2012Justin RoseT15
2011Justin RoseT3
2010Justin RoseCUT
2019Justin SuhCUT
2015Justin ThomasT49
2016K.J. ChoiT36
2015K.J. ChoiCUT
2014K.J. ChoiT60
2013K.J. ChoiCUT
2012K.J. ChoiT36
2011K.J. ChoiT6
2010K.J. ChoiT17
2019Keegan BradleyT46
2018Keegan BradleyT26
2017Keegan BradleyT34
2016Keegan BradleyT36
2015Keegan BradleyT49
2014Keegan Bradley2
2013Keegan BradleyT3
2011Keegan BradleyCUT
2019Keith MitchellT6
2017Kelly KraftW/D
2012Kelly KraftCUT
2015Ken DukeT35
2014Ken DukeCUT
2013Ken DukeT8
2012Ken DukeCUT
2011Kenny PerryW/D
2010Kenny PerryCUT
2018Kevin ChappellT7
2017Kevin ChappellT49
2016Kevin Chappell2
2015Kevin ChappellCUT
2014Kevin ChappellT14
2013Kevin ChappellCUT
2012Kevin ChappellT24
2019Kevin KisnerT23
2018Kevin KisnerCUT
2017Kevin KisnerT2
2016Kevin KisnerCUT
2015Kevin KisnerT49
2019Kevin NaCUT
2018Kevin NaT36
2017Kevin NaCUT
2015Kevin NaT6
2014Kevin NaT14
2012Kevin NaT4
2011Kevin NaT30
2010Kevin NaT2
2010Kevin StadlerCUT
2019Kevin StreelmanT58
2018Kevin StreelmanT41
2017Kevin Streelman70
2016Kevin StreelmanCUT
2015Kevin StreelmanT67
2013Kevin StreelmanT21
2011Kevin StreelmanT47
2010Kevin StreelmanT7
2010Kevin SutherlandT59
2018Kevin TwayT58
2019Kiradech AphibarnratT23
2018Kiradech AphibarnratCUT
2016Kiradech AphibarnratT6
2015Kiradech AphibarnratT6
2012Kris BlanksT36
2010Kris BlanksT52
2017Kyle ReifersCUT
2016Kyle ReifersT43
2015Kyle ReifersCUT
2012Kyle ReifersCUT
2019Kyle StanleyCUT
2018Kyle StanleyT14
2017Kyle StanleyT17
2013Kyle StanleyCUT
2011Kyle StanleyT12
2014Lee JanzenT56
2013Lee JanzenT69
2012Lee JanzenT53
2011Lee JanzenT47
2010Lee JanzenCUT
2014Lee WestwoodCUT
2013Lee WestwoodT63
2019Louis OosthuizenCUT
2018Louis OosthuizenCUT
2017Louis OosthuizenT28
2015Louis OosthuizenT9
2019Lucas GloverT10
2018Lucas GloverT49
2017Lucas GloverT7
2016Lucas GloverT27
2015Lucas GloverCUT
2014Lucas GloverT14
2013Lucas GloverCUT
2018Luke DonaldCUT
2016Luke DonaldCUT
2014Luke GuthrieT35
2013Luke GuthrieT40
2019Luke ListT10
2018Luke ListT7
2017Luke ListT17
2018Mackenzie HughesT54
2017Mackenzie HughesCUT
2019Marc LeishmanT23
2018Marc LeishmanT7
2017Marc Leishman1
2016Marc LeishmanT17
2015Marc LeishmanCUT
2014Marc LeishmanT31
2013Marc LeishmanCUT
2012Marc LeishmanT48
2011Marc LeishmanT3
2010Marc LeishmanT40
2016Mark HubbardCUT
2013Mark WilsonT3
2012Mark WilsonT59
2011Mark WilsonT9
2010Mark WilsonCUT
2012Martin FloresT66
2019Martin KaymerT33
2017Martin KaymerT23
2019Martin LairdCUT
2018Martin LairdT26
2017Martin LairdT49
2016Martin LairdT43
2015Martin LairdT43
2014Martin Laird76
2013Martin LairdT34
2012Martin LairdT36
2011Martin Laird1
2010Martin Laird74
2018Martin PillerCUT
2019Martin TrainerT66
2011Matt BettencourtW/D
2019Matt EveryCUT
2018Matt EveryCUT
2017Matt EveryT62
2016Matt EveryCUT
2015Matt Every1
2014Matt Every1
2013Matt EveryT34
2012Matt EveryT24
2011Matt EveryCUT
2010Matt EveryT52
2016Matt JonesCUT
2015Matt Jones3
2014Matt JonesT14
2013Matt JonesT50
2010Matt JonesCUT
2016Matt KucharCUT
2019Matt WallaceT6
2011Matteo ManasseroCUT
2019Matthew Fitzpatrick2
2018Matthew FitzpatrickCUT
2017Matthew FitzpatrickT13
2016Matthew FitzpatrickT27
2014Matthew FitzpatrickCUT
2017Matthias SchwabCUT
2016Maverick McNealyT46
2010Michael AllenCUT
2010Michael CampbellCUT
2019Michael KimCUT
2017Michael KimT17
2014Michael PutnamT70
2011Michael SimCUT
2019Michael ThompsonCUT
2012Michael ThompsonT36
2010Mike KeymontCUT
2013Mike WeirW/D
2012Mike WeirCUT
2010Mike WeirT40
2015MJ MaguireCUT
2017Morgan HoffmannCUT
2016Morgan HoffmannCUT
2015Morgan Hoffmann4
2014Morgan HoffmannT35
2019Nate LashleyCUT
2010Nathan GreenT40
2014Nathan SmithDQ
2015Nicholas ThompsonT35
2014Nicholas ThompsonT26
2013Nicholas ThompsonT72
2011Nick O'HernT30
2018Nick TaylorCUT
2015Nick TaylorT35
2013Nick WatneyT45
2012Nick WatneyT59
2010Nick WatneyT64
2014Nicolas ColsaertsCUT
2019Ollie SchniederjansCUT
2018Ollie SchniederjansT41
2017Ollie SchniederjansT34
2018Padraig HarringtonCUT
2015Padraig HarringtonT49
2014Padraig HarringtonT67
2019Pat PerezT50
2017Pat PerezT17
2015Pat PerezCUT
2014Pat PerezT67
2013Pat PerezT50
2012Pat PerezCUT
2011Pat PerezT38
2010Pat PerezT40
2019Patrick ReedT50
2018Patrick ReedT7
2014Patrick ReedT52
2013Patrick ReedCUT
2019Patrick RodgersT46
2018Patrick RodgersT7
2017Patrick RodgersCUT
2016Patrick RodgersT20
2018Patton KizzireCUT
2017Patton KizzireCUT
2017Paul CaseyT41
2016Paul CaseyT9
2015Paul CaseyCUT
2014Paul CaseyT60
2018Paul GoydosT69
2014Paul GoydosCUT
2011Paul Goydos73
2010Paul GoydosT66
2014Peter HansonT35
2011Peter HansonCUT
2016Peter MalnatiCUT
2018Peter UihleinT66
2013Peter WilliamsonCUT
2019Phil MickelsonCUT
2013Phil MickelsonCUT
2012Phil MickelsonT24
2011Phil MickelsonT24
2010Phil MickelsonT30
2019Rafa Cabrera BelloT3
2017Retief GoosenCUT
2016Retief GoosenT46
2015Retief GoosenCUT
2014Retief GoosenT31
2013Retief GoosenT27
2010Retief GoosenT4
2016Ricardo GouveiaCUT
2011Richard JohnsonCUT
2013Richard LeeT57
2015Richard SterneCUT
2019Richy WerenskiCUT
2019Rickie FowlerT40
2018Rickie FowlerT14
2017Rickie Fowler12
2015Rickie FowlerT29
2014Rickie FowlerCUT
2013Rickie FowlerT3
2011Rickie FowlerT30
2010Rickie FowlerT50
2012Ricky BarnesCUT
2011Ricky BarnesCUT
2010Ricky BarnesT66
2017Rob OppenheimCUT
2016Rob OppenheimT20
2017Robby SheltonCUT
2013Robert AllenbyT72
2012Robert AllenbyT48
2011Robert AllenbyT38
2010Robert AllenbyT14
2012Robert DamronCUT
2011Robert DamronT62
2019Robert GamezCUT
2018Robert GamezCUT
2017Robert GamezCUT
2016Robert GamezCUT
2015Robert GamezCUT
2014Robert GamezCUT
2013Robert GamezCUT
2012Robert GamezCUT
2011Robert GamezCUT
2010Robert GamezCUT
2014Robert GarrigusCUT
2013Robert GarrigusCUT
2012Robert GarrigusCUT
2011Robert GarrigusT56
2019Robert StrebCUT
2018Robert StrebCUT
2016Robert StrebCUT
2015Robert StrebCUT
2013Robert StrebCUT
2017Roberto CastroCUT
2016Roberto CastroT46
2012Rocco MediateCUT
2011Rocco MediateT66
2010Rocco MediateCUT
2017Rod PamplingCUT
2015Rod PamplingCUT
2014Rod PamplingT67
2013Rod PamplingCUT
2012Rod PamplingT36
2011Rod PamplingT12
2010Rod PamplingT40
2019Rod PerryCUT
2015Rod PerryCUT
2014Rod PerryCUT
2013Rod Perry76
2011Rod PerryCUT
2019Roger SloanT23
2011Roland Thatcher72
2019Rory McIlroyT6
2018Rory McIlroy1
2017Rory McIlroyT4
2016Rory McIlroyT27
2015Rory McIlroyT11
2016Rory SabbatiniT60
2015Rory SabbatiniCUT
2014Rory SabbatiniW/D
2012Rory SabbatiniCUT
2010Rory SabbatiniT30
2013Ross FisherCUT
2017Russell HenleyT45
2016Russell HenleyCUT
2015Russell HenleyT49
2014Russell HenleyCUT
2013Russell HenleyCUT
2018Russell KnoxT73
2015Russell KnoxT29
2014Russell KnoxT43
2019Ryan ArmourCUT
2018Ryan Armour77
2019Ryan BlaumT17
2019Ryan MooreT33
2018Ryan MooreT5
2017Ryan MooreT34
2016Ryan MooreT74
2014Ryan MooreT60
2013Ryan MooreCUT
2012Ryan MooreT4
2011Ryan MooreT12
2010Ryan MooreT40
2016Ryan PalmerT60
2012Ryan PalmerCUT
2010Ryan PalmerCUT
2017Ryan RuffelsT56
2016Ryan RuffelsCUT
2015Ryo IshikawaT43
2014Ryo IshikawaT8
2013Ryo IshikawaT65
2012Ryo IshikawaT53
2011Ryo IshikawaCUT
2010Ryo IshikawaT40
2010Ryuji ImadaT7
2015S.J. ParkCUT
2019Sam BurnsT54
2018Sam BurnsT49
2019Sam HorsfieldT33
2018Sam HorsfieldT14
2019Sam RyderT33
2019Sam SaundersT63
2018Sam SaundersCUT
2017Sam SaundersCUT
2016Sam SaundersCUT
2015Sam SaundersT29
2014Sam SaundersT43
2012Sam SaundersCUT
2011Sam SaundersT30
2010Sam SaundersT50
2018Sangmoon BaeCUT
2015Sangmoon BaeCUT
2014Sang-Moon BaeCUT
2013Sang-Moon BaeT40
2012Sang-Moon BaeCUT
2018Satoshi KodairaCUT
2019Scott BrownCUT
2018Scott BrownCUT
2017Scott BrownCUT
2016Scott BrownT27
2014Scott BrownCUT
2013Scott Brown13
2013Scott GardinerCUT
2019Scott LangleyCUT
2013Scott LangleyCUT
2012Scott McCarronCUT
2010Scott McCarronCUT
2019Scott PiercyT54
2018Scott PiercyCUT
2013Scott PiercyCUT
2012Scott PiercyCUT
2019Scott StallingsT40
2018Scott StallingsCUT
2015Scott StallingsCUT
2014Scott StallingsCUT
2013Scott StallingsCUT
2012Scott StallingsT48
2013Scott VerplankCUT
2011Scott VerplankT38
2010Scott VerplankT30
2018Sean O'HairT7
2017Sean O'HairCUT
2016Sean O'HairT36
2015Sean O'HairT29
2014Sean O'HairT10
2013Sean O'HairT40
2012Sean O'HairT29
2011Sean O'HairCUT
2010Sean O'HairT21
2013Sergio GarciaW/D
2012Sergio GarciaT33
2011Sergio Garcia8
2017Seung-Yul NohCUT
2015Seung-Yul NohCUT
2014Seung-Yul NohT35
2013Seung-Yul NohCUT
2012Seung-Yul NohT20
2019Shane LowryCUT
2018Shane LowryCUT
2015Shane LowryCUT
2015Shawn StefaniT21
2019Si Woo KimCUT
2018Si Woo KimCUT
2017Si Woo KimT49
2016Si Woo KimT63
2012Skip KendallT53
2011Skip KendallT70
2010Skip KendallT71
2018Smylie KaufmanCUT
2017Smylie KaufmanCUT
2016Smylie KaufmanT12
2016Soren KjeldsenCUT
2016Spencer LevinT68
2015Spencer LevinT65
2012Spencer LevinCUT
2011Spencer LevinT6
2011Stephen AmesT66
2010Stephen AmesT30
2010Steve ElkingtonW/D
2010Steve FleschCUT
2011Steve Marino2
2010Steve MarinoT11
2019Steve StrickerT58
2010Steve StrickerT52
2017Steve WheatcroftT56
2015Steve WheatcroftT59
2017Steven BowditchCUT
2015Steven BowditchT62
2013Steven FoxCUT
2019Stewart CinkCUT
2018Stewart CinkT58
2017Stewart CinkT28
2016Stewart CinkCUT
2015Stewart CinkCUT
2014Stewart Cink66
2013Stewart CinkT63
2012Stewart CinkCUT
2011Stewart CinkT12
2010Stewart CinkT59
2018Stuart ApplebyCUT
2014Stuart ApplebyCUT
2013Stuart ApplebyCUT
2011Stuart ApplebyCUT
2010Stuart ApplebyT30
2019Sung KangT6
2018Sung KangT58
2016Sung KangCUT
2019Sungjae ImT3
2013Tag RidingsT50
2018Talor GoochT26
2019Ted Potter, Jr.CUT
2018Ted Potter, Jr.CUT
2013Ted Potter, Jr.CUT
2012Ted Potter, Jr.CUT
2017Thomas PietersCUT
2016Thomas Pieters76
2017Thorbjorn OlesenCUT
2013Thorbjorn Olesen7
2019Thorbjørn OlesenCUT
2018Tiger WoodsT5
2013Tiger Woods1
2012Tiger Woods1
2011Tiger WoodsT24
2013Tim ClarkCUT
2012Tim ClarkDQ
2010Tim ClarkT30
2019Tim HerronT69
2018Tim HerronCUT
2017Tim HerronT62
2016Tim HerronCUT
2015Tim HerronCUT
2014Tim HerronCUT
2013Tim HerronCUT
2012Tim HerronT11
2011Tim HerronCUT
2010Tim HerronT52
2010Tim PetrovicT30
2014Tim WilkinsonT72
2012Tom GillisT73
2011Tom GillisT30
2010Tom GillisCUT
2018Tom HogeT26
2019Tommy FleetwoodT3
2018Tommy FleetwoodT26
2017Tommy FleetwoodT10
2013Tommy GaineyT57
2012Tommy GaineyCUT
2011Tommy GaineyCUT
2017Tony FinauT28
2016Tony FinauT43
2015Tony FinauCUT
2017Trevor ImmelmanCUT
2016Trevor ImmelmanCUT
2015Trevor ImmelmanCUT
2014Trevor ImmelmanT26
2013Trevor ImmelmanCUT
2012Trevor ImmelmanT11
2011Trevor ImmelmanT12
2010Trevor ImmelmanT71
2011Troy MattesonT38
2010Troy MattesonCUT
2017Troy MerrittT56
2016Troy MerrittT3
2018Tyler DuncanCUT
2018Tyrone Van Aswegen72
2016Tyrone Van AswegenCUT
2014Tyrone Van AswegenCUT
2019Tyrrell HattonT29
2018Tyrrell HattonT69
2017Tyrrell HattonT4
2019Vaughn TaylorCUT
2017Vaughn TaylorT23
2016Vaughn TaylorCUT
2013Vaughn TaylorT21
2011Vaughn TaylorT54
2010Vaughn TaylorCUT
2019Vijay SinghCUT
2018Vijay SinghCUT
2017Vijay SinghCUT
2016Vijay SinghCUT
2015Vijay SinghT57
2014Vijay SinghT20
2013Vijay SinghT57
2012Vijay SinghT24
2011Vijay SinghCUT
2019Viktor HovlandT40
2017Webb SimpsonCUT
2016Webb SimpsonT68
2015Webb SimpsonT43
2013Webb SimpsonCUT
2012Webb SimpsonT36
2011Webb SimpsonCUT
2010Webb SimpsonCUT
2017Wesley Bryan69
2018Whee KimCUT
2014Will MacKenzieT43
2016Will WilcoxCUT
2018William McGirtT26
2017William McGirtCUT
2016William McGirt73
2015William McGirtT59
2014William McGirtCUT
2013William McGirtT8
2012William McGirtT63
2011William McGirtT38
2014Woody AustinT70
2018Yuta IkedaCUT
2011Yuta IkedaCUT
2010Yuta IkedaCUT
2016Zac BlairT55
2015Zac BlairT21
2019Zach JohnsonT40
2018Zach JohnsonT26
2017Zach JohnsonT66
2016Zach Johnson5
2015Zach JohnsonT9
2014Zach JohnsonT43
2013Zach JohnsonT34
2012Zach JohnsonT11
2011Zach JohnsonT47
2010Zach JohnsonCUT
2014Zachary OlsenT56
2011Zack MillerCUT
  • Charles Howell III may not have a top-10 at Bay Hill, but he’s a perfect 10/10 in cuts made since the last renovation including five finishes inside the top-25. Tour Englishman villain Ian Poulter has also never missed a weekend in his nine career API appearances. Six of those were finishes inside the top-25.
  • Former API winners Marc Leishman, Jason Day, and Francesco Molinari all own outstanding track records in this event. Since 2015, neither one has the dreaded MC on their record and all finishes have been T-26 or higher. Hell, between the threesome, Leishman is the only guy to miss any weekends (two total) here since the last course changes. Due to his recent slump, Molinari is the forgotten man of the trio as indicative of his low DK price. Maybe the comfortable venue will restore some confidence and get his season headed in the right direction…
  • Captain 3-Wood Henrik Stenson is making his 2020 PGA Tour debut at a familiar place full of wonderful memories. Overall, he’s gone 9/10 in cuts made since the renovation. In his last eight appearances, he stayed for the weekend seven times, with six finishing T-17 or better, including five top-10s.
Ryan Moore (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

CH Bargains

  • After missing the cut in 2010, Zach Johnson has kept hotel reservations through the weekend nine years in a row, with two top-10s. Similarly, Keegan Bradley and Ryan Moore have just one MC here since 2009, going 7/8 and 8/9 respectively.
  • For some ungodly reason, Matt Every went back-to-back here for his only two PGA Tour wins in 2014-2015.
  • Formerly ranked in the top-35 in the world, Kevin Chappell is playing again this season after sitting out a majority of 2019 with back issues. Before that, he’d made three straight weekends at Bay Hill, with two finishes inside the top-10.

Contest Approach

Grubhub is the new proverbial loaded gun in my home. With a few clicks of a mouse, $60 dollars worth of P.F. Chang’s is 43 minutes away from my door step. I haven’t decided if this is an indication of progress, or damnation. I have a mental line of grubhubing fast food that I am not willing to cross. As long as I avoid that, I tell myself it’s okay. For now…

What does this have to do with the API DK contest, you ask? Similar to my mouse clicks when perusing any Asian cuisine menu, this loaded API field allows you to keep adding high quality items to your checkout bag, without destroying your budget.

You have six slots to fill. Not two or three. And, it’s not imperative to roster the winner in order to cash, and cash big. Most of my best PGA DFS weeks have come without rostering any of the five figure guys and/or the winner. Also, the vegas odds suggest that there are 10-15 players with a fairly equal chance of winning.

The point is–much like the Genesis Invitational–you are able to order up sesame chicken, beef lo mein, house fried rice, pork dumplings and crab rangoon altogether, if, you can avoid the temptation of gorging on Rory. Besides, it should be mandatory anyway that pork dumplings and rangoons are part of any Chinese food order.

Core Five

I’m doing it! In an effort to further embarrass myself with these picks I’m increasing my core to five. These selections are players that I believe have top-25 floors with top 10 upside, and a reasonable case to win. They will be used in all my lineups.

After picking Justin Rose and Louis Oosthuizen last week, my PGA DFS season has officially hit rock bottom. This week’s selections:

  1. Henrik Stenson
  2. Marc Leishman
  3. Tyrell Hatton
  4. Jason Day
  5. Lee Westwood

Good luck in Orlando! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed.

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