PGA DFS Honda Classic Preview

Before we all contract the coronavirus, PGA DFS will have to be the weekly vaccine to cure sports boredom until NCAA tournament betting begins. That’s right! It’s that time of year where we transition from trying to predict who scores touchdowns, to guessing who will be rolling in a higher percentage of 15-20 foot birdie putts.

Is it mostly a ridiculous exercise in futility? Pretty much. But, that certainly won’t be stopping me. And, whether my suggestions work out or flame out, it will always be an honor going into every PGA DFS battle with you each week. That, and I have nothing better to do.

First and foremost, in PGA DFS it’s all about getting your guys to the weekend. Generally, I will fill out my roster with guys in the $7,100-$9,000 range. The factors I consider are event history, course layout versus player strengths, recent form, and prime bounce back candidates who are playing well, but happened to miss the cut the prior week.

One factor does not necessarily outweigh another. And, like any good speculative decision-making process, instinct always play a role.

Event Information

Course: PGA National’s Champions course, par-70, 7,125 yards, Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

From the West Coast Swing to Mexico City, the PGA Tour now enters the Florida Fling portion of it’s schedule. Over the next four tournaments, the tour will jump around the sunshine state that includes two marque events–the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass.

The Honda Classic (HC) may not get the draw of those events, but it still measures up as one of the most difficult non-major tournaments on the schedule. I came across this article a few years ago in preparation to lose many DFS contests. The information on PGA National (PGAN) remains relevant, and it does a great job of laying out how difficult it plays relative to other courses on tour.

You’ll notice many players here opting to leave the driver at home on several par-4s because the risk/reward for bombing it out there over accuracy just isn’t worth it. In addition to it’s non-forgiving layout, the Florida winds off the ocean can be a significant factor. If they’re howling, most of the field would be happy to shoot even par. Considering all this, it is a week where I take a stronger look at course history for my guesses–ERRRRRRRRRRRRR–selections.

There is plenty of material to review in that department as this course has been home to the Honda Classic without any major renovations since 2006. And, like many other courses on tour, PGAN has their own gimmicky signature stretch of golf holes so be prepared to hear “Bear Trap” 17,467 times this week! Insert drinking game joke here.

Key Metrics

Week to week, I put an emphasis on ball striking, and strokes gained: approach the green. They are the best golf statistics that reflect a player’s ability to consistently put themselves in position to have favorable scoring chances, regardless of course setup. I would even argue that high rankings in other stats like putting, birdies, and Par-4 scoring average are directly correlated and a byproduct of strong ball striking and a precise approach performance.

To help sift through the field regarding just these stats, I put the table below together every week using all data from the official PGA Tour website. It is listed in order of each players’ composite ranking, an average of each players’ ranking in these two stats. Sort as you wish.

NameSalaryCompositeBSSGA
Viktor Hovland950011.5914
Corey Conners820012.5322
Harris English780016527
Doc Redman700016725
Emiliano Grillo800016.51320
Shane Lowry910017.51421
Tommy Fleetwood1160020436
Gary Woodland1030021240
Jim Furyk710021348
Chesson Hadley6800272826
Russell Knox7600283917
Cameron Percy650031.55013
D.J. Trahan650034.51950
Brendan Steele7100381957
Sungjae Im930040.53645
Nick Watney6900425331
Matthew NeSmith7200442167
Kyle Stanley720049.55247
Adam Long6800504753
Stewart Cink670058.59918
Harold Varner III7700592593
Rickie Fowler1080062.54877
Zach Johnson6900648741
Henrik Norlander690066.53697
Keegan Bradley740067.54590
Ryan Palmer8300684987
Ted Potter, Jr.66006910929
Xinjun Zhang7000708753
Joaquin Niemann87007411533
Russell Henley740074.59455
Daniel Berger89007738116
Cameron Tringale71007713123
Byeong Hun An880077.57481
Luke List8000788571
Adam Schenk750078.56988
Danny Lee680081.555108
Jason Kokrak750083.550117
Sepp Straka630083.58384
Brian Stuard67008410563
Robby Shelton630084.543126
Aaron Wise69008529141
Brian Harman73008911266
Scott Harrington620089.567112
Joseph Bramlett67009011862
Harry Higgs730090.532149
Sam Ryder7000929985
Bo Hoag660093.556131
Kurt Kitayama73009413652
Cameron Davis70009465123
Charles Howell III84009654138
Mark Hubbard670096.569124
Billy Horschel92009723171
Ryan Armour60009882114
Tom Hoge690099.518415
Talor Gooch720010091109
Lucas Glover720010139163
Kevin Streelman7900101.546157
Tim Wilkinson6600103.587120
Fabián Gómez6100104107101
Kevin Tway6600104.518524
David Hearn6100105105105
Kyoung-Hoon Lee700010660152
Jhonattan Vegas790010716198
Bronson Burgoon6700108.516849
Tyler McCumber6600109.512297
Mark Anderson630011017446
Tyler Duncan6200110116104
Scott Stallings6800114.5127102
Denny McCarthy7100115.571160
Bud Cauley730011619042
Matthew Wolff7700119.559180
Chris Kirk6000123.583164
Jason Dufner640012417078
Louis Oosthuizen9700125.535216
Austin Cook630012879177
Matt Jones680012996162
Vaughn Taylor7600129.5142117
Brice Garnett6500130.565196
Keith Mitchell7300131.5120143
J.T. Poston8600132157107
Matt Every6200132.519867
Chase Seiffert6700133.5152115
Robert Streb6400138165111
Rob Oppenheim650014119191
Jimmy Walker640014121072
Luke Donald6200141.522459
Dylan Frittelli6800143176110
Kiradech Aphibarnrat6800144.519594
Chris Baker6100146.5103190
Maverick McNealy7500150135165
Hank Lebioda6000151152150
Beau Hossler6900151.5117186
Richy Werenski6300151.5159144
Brian Gay6400155197113
Scott Brown6500156.5120193
Hudson Swafford6600169.5203136
Sam Burns7100170185155
C.T. Pan6400173.5181166
Rory Sabbatini7400175.5167184
Chris Stroud6200179220138
Wyndham Clark7600179.5150209
Patrick Rodgers7400179.5144215
John Huh6300179.5172187
Ryo Ishikawa6100180129231
Michael Gligic6000184194174
J.J. Spaun6200184.5196173
Brandon Hagy6500185151219
Grayson Murray6700187164210
Michael Thompson6600187.5175200
Kramer Hickok6000187.5158217
Jamie Lovemark6300188223153
Lucas Bjerregaard6400188.5182195
Jim Herman6200195.5177214
Zac Blair6500197206188
Roger Sloan6200197216178
Mackenzie Hughes6100197187207
Sebastian Cappelen6400209200218
Satoshi Kodaira6000210.5199222
Patton Kizzire6200215225205
Si Woo Kim6400216.5221212
Peter Malnati6600218.5229208
Bo Van Pelt6100223.5222225
Martin Trainer6100230226234

*players excluded have not played in enough PGA events for stats to qualify

Course History

The table below is a quick way to search any player’s past performance in this event. The simplest way to use it is to search the player’s name. This will execute a quick filter of just that one player’s historical appearances at this event. Below the table, I list the notable players that standout strictly in terms of their course history.

YearPlayerFinish
2018Aaron WiseT33
2018Abraham AncerCUT
2016Adam HadwinCUT
2015Adam HadwinT31
2019Adam LongCUT
2019Adam SchenkT30
2018Adam SchenkT29
2019Adam ScottCUT
2018Adam ScottT13
2017Adam ScottT14
2016Adam Scott1
2014Adam ScottT12
2011Adam ScottCUT
2019Adam SvenssonT59
2017Alan MorinCUT
2016Alan MorinCUT
2014Alan MorinCUT
2012Alan MorinCUT
2009Alan MorinCUT
2008Alan MorinT74
2007Alan Morin70
2012Alejandro CanizaresCUT
2008Alejandro CanizaresT49
2012Alejandro GarmendiaCUT
2018Alex CejkaW/D
2017Alex CejkaCUT
2016Alex CejkaT21
2015Alex CejkaCUT
2011Alex CejkaT36
2010Alex CejkaT26
2009Alex CejkaT13
2008Alex CejkaT7
2007Alex CejkaCUT
2019Alex NorenCUT
2018Alex Noren3
2019Alex PrughCUT
2015Alex PrughCUT
2011Alex PrughT58
2010Alex PrughT35
2013Alexander NorenCUT
2010Alexandre RochaT59
2013Alistair PresnellW/D
2019Anders AlbertsonCUT
2007Anders HansenT22
2017Andres GonzalesCUT
2015Andres GonzalesT63
2015Andres RomeroCUT
2014Andres RomeroT12
2013Andres RomeroCUT
2012Andres RomeroCUT
2011Andres RomeroT58
2010Andres RomeroCUT
2009Andres RomeroCUT
2007Andrew BuckleCUT
2019Andrew FilbertCUT
2018Andrew FilbertCUT
2019Andrew LandryCUT
2018Andrew LandryCUT
2017Andrew LoupeCUT
2016Andrew LoupeT14
2018Andrew NovakT57
2018Andrew PutnamCUT
2015Andrew PutnamCUT
2010Andy MatthewsCUT
2016Andy SullivanT26
2016Angel CabreraCUT
2015Angel CabreraCUT
2014Angel CabreraCUT
2011Angel CabreraCUT
2010Angel CabreraT40
2009Angel CabreraT32
2008Angel CabreraCUT
2007Angel CabreraCUT
2019Anirban LahiriT59
2018Anirban LahiriT59
2017Anirban LahiriT11
2016Anirban LahiriCUT
2012Anthony KimT42
2011Anthony KimCUT
2010Anthony Kim2
2008Anthony KimT49
2007Anthony KimT46
2012Arjun AtwalCUT
2011Arjun AtwalCUT
2007Arjun AtwalCUT
2011Aron PriceCUT
2010Aron PriceCUT
2009Aron PriceCUT
2008Arron OberholserT43
2007Arron OberholserT10
2019Austen TruslowCUT
2019Austin CookT75
2009Bart BryantT71
2008Bart BryantT24
2019Ben CraneCUT
2018Ben CraneT74
2017Ben CraneT62
2016Ben CraneCUT
2015Ben CraneT68
2014Ben Crane69
2013Ben CraneT64
2012Ben CraneT30
2009Ben Crane3
2008Ben CraneT12
2014Ben CurtisCUT
2013Ben CurtisCUT
2011Ben CurtisT29
2010Ben CurtisCUT
2008Ben CurtisT65
2007Ben CurtisT53
2013Ben KohlesT41
2018Ben MartinT33
2016Ben MartinT72
2015Ben MartinT31
2019Ben SilvermanT36
2018Ben SilvermanCUT
2018Bernd WiesbergerCUT
2016Bernd WiesbergerCUT
2007Bernhard LangerT10
2019Bill HaasT51
2010Bill HaasCUT
2009Bill HaasCUT
2008Bill HaasCUT
2007Bill HaasT13
2010Bill LundeCUT
2009Bill LundeCUT
2009Billy AndradeCUT
2008Billy AndradeCUT
2007Billy Andrade66
2019Billy HorschelT16
2018Billy HorschelCUT
2017Billy HorschelT4
2016Billy HorschelT8
2015Billy HorschelCUT
2014Billy HorschelCUT
2013Billy HorschelT46
2011Billy HorschelCUT
2018Billy Hurley IIICUT
2017Billy Hurley IIIT52
2015Billy Hurley IIICUT
2014Billy Hurley III5
2012Billy Hurley IIICUT
2012Billy MayfairCUT
2011Billy MayfairCUT
2009Billy MayfairCUT
2008Billy MayfairCUT
2007Billy MayfairT22
2011Bio KimCUT
2012Blake AdamsCUT
2011Blake AdamsT43
2010Blake AdamsT67
2019Blayne BarberCUT
2018Blayne BarberCUT
2017Blayne BarberT62
2016Blayne BarberT3
2015Blayne Barber58
2012Bo HoagCUT
2015Bo Van PeltCUT
2014Bo Van PeltCUT
2010Bo Van PeltT31
2007Bo Van PeltCUT
2018Bob EstesCUT
2013Bob EstesT23
2012Bob EstesT62
2010Bob EstesCUT
2009Bob EstesCUT
2008Bob EstesCUT
2007Bob HeintzT31
2007Bob TwayCUT
2012Bobby GatesCUT
2011Bobby GatesCUT
2017Boo WeekleyT48
2016Boo WeekleyCUT
2015Boo WeekleyCUT
2014Boo WeekleyT41
2013Boo WeekleyT25
2012Boo WeekleyCUT
2011Boo WeekleyCUT
2010Boo WeekleyCUT
2009Boo Weekley69
2008Boo WeekleyT74
2007Boo WeekleyT2
2009Brad AdamonisT32
2008Brad AdamonisT49
2010Brad FaxonCUT
2009Brad FaxonCUT
2007Brad FaxonCUT
2013Brad FritschT74
2019Brady SchnellCUT
2017Branden GraceW/D
2016Branden GraceCUT
2013Branden GraceT71
2019Brandon HagyCUT
2017Brandon HagyT21
2019Brandon HarkinsCUT
2013Brandt JobeT46
2012Brandt JobeT16
2011Brandt JobeCUT
2009Brandt JobeT22
2008Brandt JobeCUT
2018Brandt SnedekerCUT
2011Brandt SnedekerW/D
2010Brandt SnedekerT50
2009Brandt SnedekerCUT
2007Brandt SnedekerT39
2019Brendan SteeleCUT
2017Brendan SteeleT14
2016Brendan SteeleT14
2015Brendan SteeleT11
2014Brendan SteeleT33
2013Brendan SteeleT51
2012Brendan Steele75
2011Brendan SteeleT63
2016Brendon de JongeCUT
2015Brendon de JongeT25
2014Brendon de JongeT63
2013Brendon de JongeT29
2012Brendon de JongeT56
2011Brendon de JongeCUT
2010Brendon de JongeT9
2009Brendon de JongeT44
2007Brendon de JongeCUT
2016Brendon ToddCUT
2014Brendon ToddCUT
2012Brendon ToddCUT
2009Brendon ToddT32
2017Brett DrewittCUT
2011Brett QuigleyCUT
2010Brett QuigleyT50
2009Brett QuigleyT13
2008Brett QuigleyT12
2007Brett QuigleyCUT
2008Brett RumfordCUT
2017Brett StegmaierCUT
2016Brett StegmaierT21
2011Brett WetterichCUT
2010Brett WetterichCUT
2007Brett WetterichT8
2009Brian BatemanT73
2008Brian BatemanCUT
2015Brian DavisT59
2014Brian DavisCUT
2013Brian DavisW/D
2012Brian DavisT47
2011Brian DavisCUT
2010Brian DavisCUT
2009Brian DavisCUT
2008Brian DavisT7
2007Brian DavisT46
2019Brian GayT20
2018Brian GayCUT
2017Brian GayT60
2013Brian GayT51
2012Brian GayCUT
2011Brian GayT55
2009Brian GayT52
2007Brian GayCUT
2019Brian HarmanCUT
2018Brian HarmanT33
2017Brian HarmanT48
2016Brian HarmanCUT
2015Brian HarmanT11
2014Brian HarmanT58
2013Brian HarmanCUT
2012Brian HarmanT12
2019Brian StuardT20
2018Brian StuardCUT
2017Brian StuardT27
2015Brian StuardCUT
2014Brian StuardT24
2013Brian StuardT29
2010Brian StuardCUT
2009Brian VraneshCUT
2019Brice GarnettCUT
2018Brice GarnettCUT
2015Brice GarnettCUT
2014Brice GarnettT75
2014Briny BairdCUT
2012Briny BairdCUT
2011Briny BairdCUT
2010Briny BairdT35
2009Briny BairdT39
2008Briny BairdT49
2007Briny BairdCUT
2019Bronson BurgoonT59
2018Bronson BurgoonCUT
2016Bronson BurgoonT14
2019Brooks KoepkaT2
2017Brooks KoepkaCUT
2016Brooks KoepkaT26
2015Brooks KoepkaT51
2014Brooks KoepkaT33
2017Bryson DeChambeauCUT
2007Bubba DickersonCUT
2010Bubba WatsonT56
2019Bud CauleyT12
2018Bud CauleyW/D
2017Bud CauleyT27
2013Bud CauleyCUT
2012Bud CauleyCUT
2019Byeong Hun AnT36
2018Byeong Hun AnT5
2018C.T. PanT17
2017C.T. PanT37
2012Cameron BeckmanCUT
2007Cameron BeckmanCUT
2019Cameron DavisT59
2017Cameron PercyW/D
2013Cameron PercyT71
2019Cameron SmithCUT
2019Cameron TringaleT36
2018Cameron TringaleCUT
2017Cameron Tringale65
2016Cameron TringaleCUT
2015Cameron TringaleT44
2014Cameron TringaleT41
2013Cameron TringaleCUT
2012Cameron TringaleT47
2011Cameron TringaleT43
2018Camilo VillegasT68
2017Camilo VillegasCUT
2016Camilo VillegasT14
2015Camilo Villegas16
2014Camilo VillegasT41
2013Camilo VillegasCUT
2012Camilo VillegasCUT
2011Camilo VillegasCUT
2010Camilo Villegas1
2009Camilo VillegasCUT
2008Camilo VillegasT24
2007Camilo VillegasT2
2017Carl PetterssonT62
2016Carl PetterssonW/D
2015Carl PetterssonT51
2014Carl PetterssonT46
2012Carl PetterssonT36
2011Carl PetterssonT36
2010Carl PetterssonCUT
2009Carl PetterssonT71
2008Carl PetterssonT24
2007Carl PetterssonT22
2008Carlos FrancoT49
2019Carlos OrtizCUT
2016Carlos OrtizCUT
2015Carlos OrtizCUT
2013Casey WittenbergCUT
2009Casey WittenbergT32
2018Chad CampbellCUT
2017Chad CampbellCUT
2016Chad CampbellCUT
2015Chad CampbellT59
2013Chad CampbellCUT
2012Chad CampbellCUT
2011Chad CampbellT29
2010Chad CampbellCUT
2008Chad CampbellT20
2017Chad CollinsT4
2016Chad CollinsCUT
2015Chad CollinsCUT
2014Chad CollinsCUT
2012Chad CollinsCUT
2011Chad CollinsT67
2010Chad CollinsT56
2008Chad CollinsCUT
2007Chad KurmelCUT
2019Charl SchwartzelT16
2015Charl SchwartzelCUT
2014Charl SchwartzelCUT
2013Charl SchwartzelT9
2012Charl SchwartzelT5
2011Charl SchwartzelT14
2018Charles Howell IIICUT
2017Charles Howell IIIT52
2016Charles Howell IIICUT
2015Charles Howell IIIT44
2014Charles Howell IIIT55
2013Charles Howell IIIT29
2012Charles Howell IIIT26
2011Charles Howell IIIT10
2010Charles Howell IIIT26
2008Charles WarrenCUT
2007Charles WarrenT31
2007Charley HoffmanCUT
2015Charlie BeljanCUT
2014Charlie BeljanCUT
2013Charlie BeljanCUT
2014Charlie WiT46
2012Charlie WiT44
2011Charlie WiCUT
2010Charlie Wi8
2009Charlie WiT9
2008Charlie WiT69
2007Charlie WiT13
2019Chase WrightT51
2019Cheng Tsung PanCUT
2019Chesson HadleyT20
2018Chesson HadleyCUT
2016Chesson HadleyT21
2015Chesson HadleyCUT
2014Chesson HadleyT24
2013Chez ReavieCUT
2010Chez ReavieT35
2009Chez ReavieCUT
2008Chez ReavieCUT
2016Chris BakerCUT
2012Chris CouchCUT
2011Chris CouchT36
2010Chris CouchCUT
2009Chris CouchCUT
2007Chris CouchT60
2012Chris DiMarcoCUT
2011Chris DiMarcoW/D
2009Chris DiMarcoT44
2008Chris DiMarcoCUT
2007Chris DiMarcoT31
2019Chris KirkCUT
2018Chris KirkT33
2016Chris KirkCUT
2015Chris KirkCUT
2014Chris KirkT12
2013Chris KirkT51
2012Chris KirkT56
2011Chris KirkT29
2010Chris RileyT40
2009Chris RileyT52
2018Chris StroudT33
2016Chris StroudCUT
2015Chris StroudW/D
2014Chris StroudT12
2013Chris StroudT13
2012Chris StroudT9
2011Chris StroudT63
2010Chris StroudT31
2009Chris StroudT64
2008Chris StroudCUT
2010Chris TidlandT9
2010Chris WilsonCUT
2009Cliff KresgeCUT
2008Cliff KresgeT15
2007Cliff KresgeT53
2008Cody FreemanCUT
2019Cody GribbleCUT
2018Cody GribbleCUT
2017Cody Gribble70
2016Colt KnostT26
2015Colt KnostCUT
2013Colt KnostCUT
2012Colt KnostT67
2011Colt KnostT29
2009Colt KnostCUT
2018Corey ConnersT59
2007Corey PavinCUT
2008Craig BarlowCUT
2007Craig BarlowCUT
2010Craig BowdenT40
2007Craig KanadaCUT
2007Craig LileCUT
2019Curtis LuckCUT
2019D.A. PointsCUT
2015D.A. PointsCUT
2014D.A. PointsT61
2013D.A. PointsT68
2012D.A. PointsT12
2011D.A. PointsT43
2010D.A. PointsCUT
2009D.A. PointsT9
2014D.H. LeeW/D
2011D.J. BrigmanCUT
2012D.J. TrahanCUT
2011D.J. TrahanCUT
2010D.J. TrahanT17
2007D.J. TrahanCUT
2007Daisuke MaruyamaW/D
2019Daniel BergerT36
2018Daniel BergerT29
2017Daniel BergerCUT
2016Daniel BergerCUT
2015Daniel Berger2
2007Daniel ChopraT8
2017Daniel SummerhaysT52
2016Daniel SummerhaysT37
2015Daniel SummerhaysT17
2014Daniel SummerhaysT12
2013Daniel SummerhaysT58
2012Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2011Daniel SummerhaysCUT
2019Danny LeeT36
2018Danny LeeW/D
2017Danny LeeCUT
2015Danny LeeCUT
2017Danny WillettCUT
2014Darren ClarkeCUT
2012Darren ClarkeCUT
2009Darren ClarkeT44
2016Darron Stiles76
2013Darron StilesT13
2009David Berganio, Jr.63
2011David BradshawCUT
2007David BranshawCUT
2013David DuvalCUT
2012David DuvalCUT
2011David DuvalT63
2010David DuvalCUT
2009David DuvalCUT
2008David DuvalCUT
2017David HearnT43
2016David HearnCUT
2015David HearnCUT
2014David HearnT6
2013David HearnCUT
2012David HearnCUT
2018David LingmerthCUT
2017David LingmerthCUT
2016David LingmerthT53
2015David LingmerthT25
2014David LingmerthT8
2013David LingmerthCUT
2010David LutterusT67
2008David LutterusT60
2014David LynnCUT
2013David LynnT4
2013David MathisCUT
2012David MathisCUT
2011David Mathis69
2009David MathisT27
2019David PastoreCUT
2015David TomsCUT
2008David TomsCUT
2007David TomsT20
2016Davis Love IIIT43
2014Davis Love IIIT71
2012Davis Love IIIT21
2011Davis Love IIIT29
2010Davis Love IIICUT
2009Davis Love IIIT13
2008Davis Love IIIT30
2007Davis Love IIIT13
2016Dawie van der WaltT65
2007Dean WilsonCUT
2019Denny McCarthyCUT
2018Denny McCarthyCUT
2015Derek Ernst67
2014Derek ErnstT33
2018Derek FathauerT13
2017Derek FathauerCUT
2016Derek FathauerT26
2015Derek FathauerT59
2014Derek FathauerT58
2009Derek FathauerT73
2012Derek LamelyCUT
2011Derek LamelyCUT
2010Derek Lamely73
2016Dicky PrideCUT
2013Dicky PrideCUT
2012Dicky PrideT7
2007Dicky Pride67
2018Dominic BozzelliT13
2017Dominic BozzelliCUT
2013Doug LaBelle IIT37
2007Doug LaBelle IIT13
2019Drew Nesbitt83
2009Dudley HartW/D
2008Dudley HartT15
2007Dudley HartCUT
2011Duffy WaldorfCUT
2008Duffy WaldorfCUT
2007Duffy WaldorfCUT
2015Dustin JohnsonCUT
2013Dustin JohnsonT46
2008Dustin JohnsonCUT
2019Dylan FrittelliCUT
2018Dylan Frittelli11
2011Edoardo MolinariT51
2019Emiliano GrilloCUT
2018Emiliano GrilloT8
2017Emiliano GrilloT43
2016Emiliano GrilloT74
2009Eric AxleyCUT
2008Eric AxleyT49
2007Eric AxleyCUT
2019Erik ComptonCUT
2016Erik ComptonT51
2015Erik ComptonCUT
2014Erik ComptonT71
2013Erik ComptonT4
2012Erik ComptonT26
2009Erik ComptonT44
2019Ernie ElsT20
2017Ernie ElsCUT
2016Ernie ElsT70
2015Ernie ElsCUT
2013Ernie ElsT46
2012Ernie ElsT21
2011Ernie ElsT70
2010Ernie ElsT67
2009Ernie ElsT22
2008Ernie Els1
2018Ethan TracyCUT
2017Fabian GomezCUT
2016Fabian GomezCUT
2015Fabian Gomez70
2013Fabian GomezT64
2011Fabian GomezCUT
2018Fabián GómezCUT
2010Fran QuinnCUT
2017Francesco MolinariT14
2016Francesco MolinariT65
2015Francesco MolinariCUT
2019Freddie JacobsonT68
2019Gary WoodlandT36
2018Gary WoodlandT49
2017Gary WoodlandT2
2016Gary WoodlandT61
2013Gary WoodlandT68
2011Gary WoodlandT6
2009Gary WoodlandT73
2019Graeme McDowell82
2018Graeme McDowellCUT
2017Graeme McDowellT14
2016Graeme McDowell5
2015Graeme McDowellCUT
2014Graeme McDowellT46
2013Graeme McDowellT9
2012Graeme McDowellT9
2011Graeme McDowellT6
2010Graeme McDowellT31
2017Graham DeLaet10
2016Graham DeLaetT53
2015Graham DeLaetCUT
2013Graham DeLaetT9
2012Graham DeLaetCUT
2010Graham DeLaetCUT
2019Grayson MurrayT68
2018Grayson MurrayCUT
2018Greg ChalmersT17
2017Greg ChalmersT57
2014Greg ChalmersCUT
2013Greg ChalmersT51
2012Greg ChalmersT12
2011Greg ChalmersT43
2010Greg ChalmersCUT
2009Greg ChalmersT22
2019Hank Lebioda70
2019Harold Varner IIIT51
2018Harold Varner IIIT72
2017Harold Varner IIIT57
2016Harold Varner IIICUT
2019Harris EnglishT12
2018Harris EnglishT33
2014Henrik StensonCUT
2013Henrik StensonCUT
2012Henrik StensonT21
2011Henrik StensonT43
2016Hideki MatsuyamaW/D
2014Hideki MatsuyamaW/D
2019Hudson SwaffordT73
2018Hudson SwaffordT64
2017Hudson SwaffordCUT
2016Hudson SwaffordT65
2015Hudson SwaffordCUT
2014Hudson SwaffordT61
2019Hunter MahanCUT
2018Ian PoulterCUT
2017Ian PoulterT43
2016Ian PoulterT43
2015Ian PoulterT3
2011Ian PoulterT36
2007Ian PoulterT46
2018J.B. HolmesT49
2014J.B. HolmesCUT
2013J.B. HolmesCUT
2012J.B. HolmesT56
2010J.B. HolmesT12
2009J.B. HolmesCUT
2019J.J. HenryCUT
2018J.J. HenryCUT
2018J.J. SpaunCUT
2019J.T. PostonT36
2016Jamie DonaldsonT26
2015Jamie Donaldson6
2014Jamie DonaldsonT55
2013Jamie DonaldsonT58
2018Jamie Lovemark7
2017Jamie LovemarkCUT
2016Jamie LovemarkCUT
2015Jamie LovemarkT31
2014Jamie LovemarkT75
2012Jamie LovemarkCUT
2011Jamie LovemarkCUT
2019Jason DufnerT75
2018Jason DufnerT17
2017Jason DufnerT14
2016Jason DufnerT61
2015Jason DufnerT17
2013Jason DufnerT51
2011Jason DufnerT51
2010Jason DufnerT40
2009Jason DufnerT9
2007Jason DufnerT13
2019Jason KokrakT9
2016Jason KokrakCUT
2015Jason KokrakCUT
2014Jason KokrakT41
2013Jason KokrakCUT
2012Jason KokrakT42
2017Jeff OvertonCUT
2016Jeff OvertonT21
2015Jeff OvertonT7
2014Jeff OvertonT67
2013Jeff OvertonT37
2012Jeff OvertonT18
2011Jeff OvertonT6
2010Jeff OvertonCUT
2009Jeff OvertonT9
2008Jeff OvertonCUT
2018Jhared HackCUT
2019Jhonattan VegasT16
2018Jhonattan VegasT72
2017Jhonattan VegasT4
2015Jhonattan VegasCUT
2014Jhonattan VegasT12
2012Jhonattan VegasT67
2011Jhonattan VegasT70
2019Jim FurykT9
2018Jim FurykT46
2019Jim HermanCUT
2019Jim KnousT78
2019Jimmy WalkerCUT
2018Jimmy WalkerT33
2017Jimmy WalkerT21
2016Jimmy WalkerT43
2012Jimmy WalkerT67
2011Jimmy WalkerT43
2010Jimmy WalkerT40
2009Jimmy WalkerCUT
2008Jimmy WalkerT38
2019Joaquin NiemannT59
2019Joel DahmenCUT
2018Joel DahmenT33
2019Joey GarberCUT
2019John HuhT59
2018John HuhT24
2019Johnson WagnerCUT
2018Jon CurranCUT
2019Jonas BlixtT36
2018Jonathan RandolphT68
2019José de Jesús RodríguezCUT
2019Julián EtulainT36
2015Justin RoseCUT
2013Justin RoseT4
2012Justin RoseT5
2010Justin Rose3
2009Justin RoseCUT
2008Justin RoseT15
2019Justin ThomasT30
2018Justin Thomas1
2017Justin ThomasCUT
2016Justin ThomasT3
2015Justin ThomasCUT
2018Keegan BradleyT49
2017Keegan BradleyCUT
2016Keegan BradleyCUT
2015Keegan BradleyCUT
2014Keegan BradleyT12
2013Keegan BradleyT4
2012Keegan BradleyT12
2011Keegan BradleyCUT
2019Keith Mitchell1
2018Keith MitchellCUT
2019Kelly KraftCUT
2018Kelly KraftT8
2017Kelly KraftCUT
2012Kevin ChappellCUT
2011Kevin ChappellCUT
2010Kevin JohnsonCUT
2018Kevin KisnerCUT
2017Kevin KisnerT48
2016Kevin KisnerT70
2015Kevin KisnerT51
2013Kevin NaCUT
2008Kevin NaCUT
2007Kevin NaCUT
2019Kevin StreelmanT71
2013Kevin StreelmanT41
2012Kevin StreelmanCUT
2011Kevin StreelmanT63
2010Kevin StreelmanCUT
2009Kevin StreelmanT13
2008Kevin StreelmanT60
2019Kevin TwayCUT
2018Kevin TwayCUT
2019Kiradech AphibarnratCUT
2018Kiradech AphibarnratT68
2019Kramer HickokT30
2019Kyle JonesCUT
2019Kyle StanleyCUT
2017Kyle StanleyCUT
2016Kyle StanleyT43
2014Kyle StanleyCUT
2013Kyle StanleyT18
2012Kyle StanleyCUT
2011Kyle StanleyT24
2019Kyoung-Hoon LeeT7
2018Lanto GriffinCUT
2015Lee WestwoodT25
2014Lee WestwoodT46
2013Lee WestwoodT9
2012Lee Westwood4
2011Lee WestwoodT29
2010Lee WestwoodT9
2018Louis OosthuizenT24
2017Louis OosthuizenT21
2013Louis OosthuizenCUT
2012Louis OosthuizenW/D
2011Louis OosthuizenW/D
2019Lucas BjerregaardT12
2019Lucas GloverT4
2018Lucas GloverT17
2017Lucas GloverT21
2016Lucas GloverCUT
2015Lucas GloverCUT
2014Lucas GloverCUT
2013Lucas GloverT4
2009Lucas GloverT39
2008Lucas GloverCUT
2007Lucas GloverT62
2018Luke DonaldCUT
2017Luke DonaldT27
2016Luke DonaldT61
2015Luke DonaldT7
2014Luke DonaldT8
2011Luke DonaldT10
2008Luke Donald2
2007Luke DonaldT46
2019Luke ListCUT
2018Luke List2
2017Luke ListT52
2016Luke ListT10
2013Luke ListCUT
2019Mackenzie HughesCUT
2018Mackenzie HughesT59
2017Mackenzie HughesT66
2017Marc LeishmanT27
2015Marc LeishmanT51
2013Marc LeishmanT58
2012Marc LeishmanCUT
2011Marc LeishmanT17
2010Marc LeishmanT17
2009Marc Leishman70
2018Martin FloresT74
2017Martin FloresCUT
2015Martin FloresT17
2014Martin FloresT12
2013Martin FloresCUT
2012Martin FloresT36
2010Martin FloresCUT
2019Martin Kaymer67
2018Martin KaymerW/D
2017Martin KaymerT4
2015Martin KaymerT44
2014Martin KaymerCUT
2013Martin KaymerT51
2018Martin Piller67
2019Martin TrainerCUT
2018Matt Every66
2017Matt EveryW/D
2016Matt EveryCUT
2015Matt EveryT63
2014Matt EveryT24
2013Matt EveryCUT
2012Matt EveryCUT
2010Matt EveryT26
2019Matt JonesT36
2016Matt JonesCUT
2014Matt JonesCUT
2013Matt JonesT18
2010Matt JonesT40
2008Matt JonesT4
2011Matt KucharT17
2009Matt KucharT39
2008Matt KucharT43
2007Matt KucharT39
2019Matt WallaceT20
2017Matthew Fitzpatrick68
2016Matthew FitzpatrickCUT
2019Max HomaT20
2018Michael KimT57
2017Michael KimCUT
2016Michael KimT53
2019Michael ThompsonT16
2018Michael ThompsonT24
2017Michael ThompsonCUT
2016Michael ThompsonT53
2015Michael ThompsonT44
2014Michael ThompsonCUT
2013Michael Thompson1
2012Michael ThompsonT47
2019Morgan HoffmannCUT
2018Morgan HoffmannT49
2017Morgan HoffmannT2
2016Morgan HoffmannT61
2015Morgan HoffmannW/D
2014Morgan HoffmannCUT
2018Nate LashleyCUT
2019Nick TaylorT30
2019Nick WatneyT51
2018Nick WatneyT33
2017Nick WatneyT14
2015Nick WatneyT41
2014Nick WatneyT24
2019Ollie SchniederjansCUT
2018Ollie SchniederjansT64
2017Ollie SchniederjansT48
2016Ollie SchniederjansCUT
2018Padraig HarringtonCUT
2017Padraig HarringtonCUT
2016Padraig HarringtonT43
2015Padraig Harrington1
2014Padraig HarringtonCUT
2012Padraig Harrington71
2010Padraig HarringtonT40
2007Padraig HarringtonT13
2016Pat PerezCUT
2007Pat PerezCUT
2018Patrick ReedCUT
2016Patrick ReedCUT
2015Patrick ReedT7
2014Patrick ReedT24
2013Patrick ReedT58
2019Patrick RodgersT30
2018Patrick RodgersT33
2017Patrick RodgersCUT
2016Patrick RodgersCUT
2015Patrick RodgersT44
2019Patton KizzireCUT
2018Patton KizzireCUT
2017Patton KizzireT66
2016Patton KizzireT26
2017Paul CaseyT11
2016Paul CaseyT43
2015Paul CaseyT3
2014Paul CaseyT12
2013Paul CaseyCUT
2010Paul CaseyT4
2019Peter MalnatiT36
2018Peter MalnatiT49
2017Peter MalnatiCUT
2016Peter MalnatiCUT
2019Peter UihleinW/D
2018Peter UihleinCUT
2014Peter UihleinCUT
2016Phil MickelsonT37
2015Phil MickelsonT17
2014Phil MickelsonCUT
2018Rafa Cabrera BelloT29
2017Rafa Cabrera BelloT37
2018Retief GoosenCUT
2017Retief GoosenCUT
2016Retief GoosenT43
2015Retief GoosenCUT
2014Retief GoosenCUT
2013Retief GoosenT64
2008Retief GoosenT60
2019Richy WerenskiT78
2018Richy WerenskiCUT
2019Rickie FowlerT2
2018Rickie FowlerCUT
2017Rickie Fowler1
2016Rickie FowlerT6
2015Rickie FowlerT41
2014Rickie FowlerT24
2013Rickie FowlerT13
2012Rickie FowlerT7
2011Rickie FowlerCUT
2010Rickie FowlerCUT
2018Rob OppenheimCUT
2018Robert GarrigusCUT
2017Robert GarrigusCUT
2015Robert GarrigusT31
2014Robert GarrigusCUT
2012Robert GarrigusT30
2009Robert GarrigusT52
2008Robert GarrigusT49
2007Robert Garrigus73
2012Robert KarlssonT56
2011Robert KarlssonCUT
2019Robert StrebCUT
2018Robert StrebCUT
2017Robert StrebCUT
2016Robert StrebT26
2015Robert StrebT59
2013Robert StrebT18
2019Roberto CastroT20
2019Roberto DíazCUT
2018Roberto DíazT33
2019Rod PamplingCUT
2019Roger SloanT30
2018Rory McIlroyT59
2016Rory McIlroyCUT
2015Rory McIlroyCUT
2014Rory McIlroyT2
2013Rory McIlroyW/D
2012Rory McIlroy1
2011Rory McIlroyT70
2010Rory McIlroyT40
2009Rory McIlroyT13
2019Rory SabbatiniT36
2018Rory SabbatiniT17
2017Rory SabbatiniCUT
2016Rory SabbatiniCUT
2015Rory SabbatiniT11
2014Rory SabbatiniT33
2013Rory SabbatiniCUT
2012Rory SabbatiniT62
2011Rory Sabbatini1
2019Russell HenleyT20
2018Russell HenleyT24
2017Russell HenleyT43
2016Russell HenleyCUT
2015Russell HenleyT44
2014Russell Henley1
2013Russell HenleyT13
2019Russell KnoxT51
2018Russell KnoxCUT
2017Russell KnoxCUT
2016Russell KnoxT26
2015Russell KnoxT3
2014Russell KnoxT2
2019Ryan ArmourT12
2018Ryan ArmourCUT
2017Ryan ArmourCUT
2015Ryan ArmourCUT
2008Ryan ArmourCUT
2007Ryan ArmourT53
2019Ryan BlaumT78
2018Ryan BlaumCUT
2018Ryan MooreT49
2012Ryan Moore76
2009Ryan MooreCUT
2007Ryan MooreCUT
2019Ryan PalmerT4
2018Ryan PalmerCUT
2017Ryan PalmerT37
2016Ryan PalmerT26
2015Ryan PalmerT25
2014Ryan PalmerT2
2013Ryan PalmerT41
2012Ryan PalmerT26
2010Ryan PalmerCUT
2009Ryan PalmerT52
2007Ryan PalmerCUT
2019Sam BurnsT73
2018Sam BurnsT8
2019Sam SaundersT36
2018Sam SaundersCUT
2016Sam SaundersT14
2010Sam SaundersT17
2015Sangmoon BaeCUT
2013Sang-Moon BaeCUT
2012Sang-Moon BaeT47
2019Satoshi KodairaCUT
2019Scott BrownT20
2018Scott BrownT46
2017Scott BrownT57
2016Scott BrownT10
2015Scott BrownCUT
2014Scott BrownT75
2019Scott LangleyCUT
2019Scott PiercyCUT
2018Scott PiercyT17
2016Scott PiercyCUT
2015Scott PiercyT31
2012Scott PiercyCUT
2010Scott PiercyT56
2009Scott PiercyT5
2018Scott StallingsT29
2017Scott StallingsT21
2016Scott StallingsCUT
2015Scott StallingsT63
2013Scott StallingsT29
2019Seamus PowerCUT
2018Seamus PowerCUT
2017Seamus PowerCUT
2018Sean O'HairCUT
2017Sean O'HairT11
2016Sean O'HairT14
2015Sean O'HairT25
2014Sean O'HairCUT
2013Sean O'HairT18
2012Sean O'HairT44
2011Sean O'HairT24
2008Sean O'HairCUT
2007Sean O'HairCUT
2019Sebastián MuñozT36
2019Sepp StrakaCUT
2019Sergio GarciaT9
2018Sergio GarciaT33
2017Sergio GarciaT14
2016Sergio Garcia2
2015Sergio GarciaT31
2014Sergio GarciaT8
2010Sergio GarciaT50
2009Sergio GarciaT13
2008Sergio GarciaT43
2019Seth ReevesCUT
2018Shane LowryT49
2019Shawn StefaniCUT
2018Shawn StefaniCUT
2017Si Woo KimCUT
2016Si Woo KimT74
2007Skip KendallCUT
2018Smylie KaufmanCUT
2019Stephan JaegerT78
2018Stephan JaegerCUT
2019Stewart CinkT75
2018Stewart CinkT46
2017Stewart CinkT27
2016Stewart CinkT26
2015Stewart CinkT31
2014Stewart CinkT58
2013Stewart CinkT41
2012Stewart CinkT36
2009Stewart CinkT52
2019Sung KangT51
2018Sung KangCUT
2017Sung KangT52
2016Sung KangT10
2012Sung KangCUT
2011Sung KangCUT
2019Sungjae ImT51
2018T.J. VogelCUT
2019Talor GoochT20
2018Talor GoochCUT
2018Ted Potter, Jr.CUT
2018Thomas PietersT13
2017Thomas PietersCUT
2014Thorbjorn OlesenCUT
2018Tiger Woods12
2014Tiger WoodsW/D
2013Tiger WoodsT37
2012Tiger WoodsT2
2019Tom HogeCUT
2018Tom HogeCUT
2018Tom LoveladyT17
2018Tommy Fleetwood4
2016Tony FinauCUT
2015Tony FinauCUT
2019Trey MullinaxT51
2017Trey MullinaxCUT
2018Troy MerrittT49
2019Tyler DuncanT71
2018Tyler DuncanT24
2018Tyrone Van AswegenT68
2017Tyrone Van AswegenT27
2016Tyrone Van AswegenT72
2014Tyrone Van AswegenT24
2018Tyrrell HattonCUT
2017Tyrrell HattonT4
2019Vaughn TaylorT59
2018Vaughn TaylorT59
2017Vaughn TaylorCUT
2013Vaughn TaylorT25
2012Vaughn TaylorT18
2011Vaughn TaylorT58
2010Vaughn Taylor71
2009Vaughn TaylorCUT
2008Vaughn TaylorT49
2019Vijay Singh6
2016Vijay SinghT6
2015Vijay SinghCUT
2014Vijay SinghT63
2011Vijay SinghCUT
2010Vijay SinghT4
2019Webb SimpsonT36
2018Webb SimpsonT5
2011Webb SimpsonT24
2010Webb SimpsonCUT
2009Webb SimpsonCUT
2018Wesley BryanCUT
2017Wesley BryanT4
2019Whee KimCUT
2017Whee KimCUT
2016Whee KimCUT
2018William McGirtT33
2017William McGirtCUT
2016William McGirtT8
2015William McGirtT22
2014William McGirtT71
2013William McGirtCUT
2012William McGirtT62
2011William McGirtT41
2019Wyndham ClarkT7
2017Xander SchauffeleCUT
2018Xinjun ZhangCUT
2015Y.E. YangT44
2014Y.E. YangT75
2013Y.E. YangT18
2012Y.E. YangT30
2011Y.E. Yang2
2010Y.E. YangCUT
2009Y.E. Yang1
2008Y.E. YangT72
2011Yuta IkedaCUT
2017Zac BlairCUT
2016Zac BlairCUT
2015Zac BlairT22
2019Zach JohnsonT59
2017Zach JohnsonT27
2016Zach JohnsonCUT
2015Zach JohnsonCUT
2014Zach JohnsonT33
2008Zach JohnsonT30
  • Justin Rose has not played this event since 2015. That tells me his entry into this field is very deliberate. When a player of his caliber is in a shallow field like this at a pretty reasonable price, it’d behoove us all to take note. In six prior appearances here, Rose made four weekends that included three finishes T-5 or higher.
  • Gary Woodland and Jason Dufner are staple entrants in this event each season. Neither has missed a cut here. Same goes for Lee Westwood. Although, this will mark his first appearance since 2015 and seventh overall.
  • Almost joining that trio of Bear Trap perfection is Brendan Steele. Prior to last year’s Friday exit, he has made the cut in all seven of his prior appearances. His three-year results from 15-17′ were T-11, and two straight T-14s.
  • After going 1/4 in weekend stays over his first four appearances, Billy Horschel has made it 3/4 with two top-10s in the last four starts at PGAN. Along with him, Lucas Glover has had considerable success here as of late with three consecutive top-25s, including last season’s tie of his HC career best T-4 finish.

Contest Approach

The last two days of tinkering has me favoring a top-down approach more often than not. Unlike the Genesis Invitational, the HC represents a shallow field and much less of the games top players. That said, it’s a logical tournament to expect high floors from the top of the price range while providing a nice opportunity for considerable upside on the low end. Think Keith Mitchell last year.

Speaking of that low end, DK decreased the contest minimum to 6k this season. This reduction allows you to grab 2-3 of the top-10 priced players and fill out the rest of the slots with some–albeit long shots–guys that still have a solid case for the weekend and beyond.

Doug Ghim (Source: Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images North America)

So, who then? Who are these dirt cheap options that are going to make our PGA DFS dreams come true? How about rookies like Doug Ghim and Robby Shelton.

In 2017’s US Amateur Championship, Ghim lost a classic to one of my other favorite DFS plays this year, Doc Redman. He hasn’t had the success yet of some of his other younger counterparts in PGA events, but he remains equal in talent. All he needs is the confidence that comes with increased experience to get the results that Redman has attained thus far. Maybe last week’s T-20 in Puerto Rico is the start of an upswing?…

Mr. Shelton has had moderate success early in his first full PGA Tour season going 7/13 in cuts with two top-10s. He is also known for solid ball striking, ranking around the top-40 all season.

Other Notables

Along with these two, guys such as Harry Higgs, Dufner, Doc, Matthew NeSmith, Steele, Glover, and D.J. Trahan are my favorite options for filling the dance card on the lower end this week, for one reason or another.

Beyond them, whether it is stats, recent form or event history, there are plenty of guys that a strong case can be made for in a field like this. And, if you aren’t too greedy on the high side, all of them may be available at your PGA DFS disposal.

For example, a trio of Woodland/Rose/Oosthuizen at the top will leave plenty of cap flexibility to create, what is sure to be, some electric lineups. That reminds me…

Core Three

These selections are players that I believe have top-25 floors with top 10 upside, and a reasonable case to win. They will be used in all my lineups. To this point in the season they have straddled the line between average and hot garbage so buyer beware. This week’s selections:

  1. Gary Woodland
  2. Justin Rose
  3. Louis Oosthuizen

Good luck in Palm Beach Gardens! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed.

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