Time to Shine or Ride the Pine: Week 10 Start or Sit

It was an eventful Week 9 with Dalvin Cook eclipsing 200 yards again and the other LA team, Chargering their way to another crushing loss. Pittsburgh barely escaped Dallas undefeated and Drew Brees bested Tom Brady in the battle of senior citizens. My fantasy selections were absolutely horrid as none of my starts scored, D.J. Chark went for 150+ and Kalen Ballage of all people found the end zone. Onward we go with Week 10 start or sit.

Time to Shine

Antonio Gibson (WFT@Det 1pm est)

Gibson is more than likely in your lineups already but this week he’s close to a must start. Antonio is still splitting work but is the preferred early down runner and no.1 goal line option. This week, he and the Washington Football team get their easiest opponent as they head to the Motor City and face Detroit. The Lions have been horrible against RB’s this season. They’re allowing 32.2 fpts/gm (LAST), 5.07 yds/car (30th), & have surrendered 15 TD’s (T-Last) in 2020. Needless to say, fire up Gibson in this tremendous spot.

Prediction: 15 car 86 yards 1 TD, 4 rec 31 yards: 19.7 pts

Larry Fitzgerald (Buf@Ari 4:05pm est)

Larry Legend has clearly taken a back seat to Nuk Hopkins and Christian Kirk this season but has plenty left in the tank. His production has spiked over the last few games with 50+ yards in consecutive games and 4+ receptions in 3 of 4. The area where Fitz hasn’t had any success is in finding the end zone. He has zero touchdown receptions this season even though Arizona is 6th in points scored. There is hope as he has caught a TD in all 16 previous seasons and only once recorded less than 4.

In Week 10, the Cardinals face off against the 7-2 Buffalo Bills. Their defense is allowing 26 pts/gm to teams not named the Jets in 2020. The Bills’ strength against the pass is on the outside with slot receivers doing the most damage against them. Larry runs most, if not all his routes from here, and is due for a score. With an over/under at 56 ½, there should be plenty of chances for the Hall of Famer to score. Trust the vet one more time.

Prediction: 5 rec 53 yards 1 TD: 15.8 pts

Josh Reynolds (Sea@LAR 4:25pm est)

Music to wide receivers ear, SEAHAWKS! That’s right, the once vaunted Seattle pass defense is now the worst in the NFL. They’re especially inept against receivers as they’ve allowed 2236 yards through 8 games. This is 300 more than the second worst Falcons, who’ve played 8 games. Seattle is also allowing a league worst 71.8 catch % to receivers on the year, on 245 targets. Now that I’ve established why you play WR’s against Seattle, here is why you’re looking at Josh Reynolds.

Reynolds entered the year in an apparent 3rd WR battle with rookie, Van Jefferson, but has clearly maintained that role. He has 3+ receptions or 44+ yards in 6 straight games while also playing 70% of the snaps in 5 of 6. The most exciting trend is the 17 targets Reynolds has received over the last two weeks. This, plus a Seahawks’ defense coming off allowing 3 different receivers over 70 receiving yards is enticing. The matchup is too tasty to pass up and with Cooper Kupp battling a few ailments might get better. I expect to see a shootout, as does Vegas with a total set at 54.5, so fire up your Rams.

Prediction: 5 rec 75 yards 1 TD: 16 pts

Seth Wenig/AP

Ride the Pine

Wayne Gallman (Phi@NYG)

It was Wayne’s world back in Week 7 against the Eagles as Gallman had 15 touches and found the end zone against the Eagles. He was the main man that week and still only played around 50% of the snaps. This week against the familiar foe, he should be the starter but Alfred Morris has begun taking carries away and Dion Lewis has become the favorite for passing down work. His role is slowly diminishing, which doesn’t bode well in the rematch against Philadelphia. 

Although they’ve allowed TD’s in 6 of 8 games to RB’s, Philly has only given up 100+ yards twice while limiting their last 4 opponents to just 18 ½ receiving yards/gm. They have also been playing in extremely tight games while battling their own slew of injuries which is quickly changing. The Eagles are getting tons of offensive talent back in Week 10 and SHOULD dominate this game making the Giants play from behind early. The game flow and emergence of other options make Wayne somebody to banish to the bench.

Prediction: 10 car 38 yards, 2 rec 13 yards: 6.1 pts

Melvin Gordon (Den@LV 4:05pm est)

It’s been a disappointing season for Gordon with only 1 game over 100 rush yards, and continuing to split work. To make matters worse, he has clearly been less effective and less explosive as incumbent Phililip Lindsay even after having the role to himself during Lindsay’s absence. This week, Melvin and the Broncos face an improving Raiders rush defense who hasn’t allowed a running back over 100 yards since Week 3 and only one such occurrence this year. Las Vegas will give up some scores to the position but if they control the clock like they can, expect another air show by the Broncos. It won’t be an absolute disaster like the previous 2 weeks but I don’t see Gordon being on center stage this week.

Prediction: 12 car 62 yards, 3 rec 18 yards: 9.5 pts

49ers RB’s (SF@NO 4:25pm est)

The magic of Kyle Shannahan has worn thin with the plethora of injuries currently plaguing San Fran. They’re once again going to be without multiple offensive starters, with Deebo Samuel likely missing another game and others still on IR. Their patchwork offense and struggling running game (107 yards last 2 games), travels to New Orleans where doing anything, especially running, won’t be Easy. The Saints allow just 16.6 fpts/gm (5th) to running backs on the season and have only given up 5 total touchdowns to the position. Over their last 4 games, New Orleans has gotten stronger allowing only 218 rushing yards, 124 receiving yards, and zero scores. These were games against the Chargers, Panthers, Bears, and Buccaneers, who minus Chicago, like to feature their backs. Expect yet another letdown by the 9ers runners this week as the Saints march all over them.

Prediction: Nobody over 60 rush yards, Nobody over 30 receiving yards, & 0 TD’s

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