Week 8 Thursday Night Fight
Week 8 Thursday Night Fight. CAR vs.. ATL with a predicted High Scoring Game. Vegas predicts a close game with CAR beating the ATL team. I expect passing fireworks and passing is going to be the feature. The only down for me is this is a Thursday Night Game. I hate these games. I tend to be cautious. Make sure any of these players are not in your flex.
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Defense against the position (DAPS)
Week 8 Thursday Night Fight. The Defense Against the Position (DAPS) metrics for this game are shown below. High Numbers (above 50) suggest an Easy situation for that position vs. Lower Numbers (below 50) suggests a Tough defense to that position.
The figure below highlights the “hot spots” for each team. These positions are the short rule of thumb for DFS and lineups for this week.
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- CAR sees a very Easy ATL DEF of +120 DAP!
- CAR QB get a +140
- CAR TE get a +140 DAP
- WRs from CAR get easy DAP +73
- RBs from CAR get a tough DAP +39
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- ATL faces a tough +19 DEF
- ATL QB/WR/TE all face a tough CAR DEF DAPs of +1 +12 +43
- Gurley RB gets the break vs. an easy +93 RB DAP!
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Week 8 Thursday Night Fight – ATL Players Rankings Uncertainty Level
Week 8 Thursday Night Fight. I use my players’ rankings from 0 to 100 (worst to best) along with my uncertainty analysis. High UNC players are predicted to have a wide floor vs. ceiling while lower UNC players do not. High UNC players may be more of a gamble to use in lineups and DFS.
Based on the DAPs/Vegas, ATL passing is going to be lower than usual. I rank Ryan at 76 but High Unc. Gurley gets a nice DAP environment, and I rank at 68 Avg UNC. That might be low given the +93 RB DAP from CAR DEF! Hurst can surprise and collect a score, and I have him at +49 Avg Unc. Finally, Jone/Ridely ranked high as I consider them capable vs. tough DEF, but I see Jones at a High Unc level vs. Ridley at Low Unc.
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Week 8 Thursday Night Fight – CAR Player Rankings Uncertainty Level
Week 8 Thursday Night Fight. CAR has it all their way via the DAPs from the ATL defense. CMC is not expected to play so Davis gets it going at a +76 ranking at Low Unc. He is a solid play. The TE Ian Thomas is lowly ranked of +24 High Unc but gets a sweet DAP situation. In DFS he could be a tricky gamble. Finally, the WRs tandem of Moore and Anderson are ranked at 84/83 respectively at Avg and Low Unc. I would use both but lead to Anderson in DFS.
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Last Words
The DAP data suggest a CAR domination but Vegas says no its a close game and ATL should score as well. 2 different data streams show 2 different level of outcomes. Both DAPs/Vegas have CAR winning but the points are the difference. I lean to the DAP data and think ATL has a tougher time getting its points. In DFS I move to CAR, while in redraft games I play ATL RB/TE/WR as needed.
