Week 4 Milly Maker Plays

MILLYMAKER DOOKIE STACKED

The Week 4 Milly Make slate opens with 10 teams expected to score 26+ points. Four teams are currently a touchdown or more favorites for the main slate.

Unlike last week where we had the no brainer top option with Russ and Lockett, I think there are several ways to go. It definitely feels like a week you can get weird with your stacks which is what I live for. Let’s do this!

*DISCLAIMER: all metrics being referred to are based on this week’s DK main slate of games unless otherwise specified. Also, all projected ownership is based upon Rotogrinders LineupHQ. 

Quarterback

https://texanswire.usatoday.com/2019/11/19/texans-deshaun-watson-wont-make-same-mistake-twice/
Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Deshaun Watson | $6,600 | Houston Texans

8.4% projected ownership

The Texans will host the Vikings in Houston Sunday as both winless teams look to right the ship.  Vegas lines currently project Watson and the Texans for a 29 point implied total (7th highest) as small -3.5 home favorites.

The tight line gives hope in a possible shootout in the dome. According to Football Outsiders, MIN ranks 4th in Pace of Play when trailing by 7+ (9th overall in Pace of Play.)

Based on PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart, HOU is the winner in the trenches with a 22% advantage for passing against the Vikings defensive line. Fire up Watson as a QB1!

Also Consider: Russel Wilson, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matthew Stafford, or Jared Goff

Running Back

Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Darrell Henderson Jr. | $5800 | Los Angeles Rams

13.1% projected ownership

After nominal starter Malcolm Brown expectedly fizzled and rookie Cam Akers went down with a rib injury, Darrell Henderson established himself as the Rams lead back.

Since Week 2, Henderson has 241 scrimmage yards (8th best), hit paydirt in back to back games (tied for 3rd), and 7 rush attempts inside the 10 (tied for 5th best.)

After handling 32% of the Rams market share of rushes in Week 2, his workload nearly doubled to 65% the following game. The Giants are a bottom 10 team against the rush in 2020 having given up 29.7 DKPt gm/avg and are 13 points dogs in this spot.

Credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

James Robinson | $6500 | Jacksonville Jaguars

11% projected ownership

Being as Mixon on the opposite side of the field is being projected for double the ownership, I feel obligated to put respect on the undrafted rookie’s name. 

James Robinson has come out the gate hot. He is top 10 in MarketShare of touches (34.6% avg), total yards (339) and total TDs (3) to begin his rookie campaign.

The Bengals decrepit rush defense has low-key given up the 4th most DK points to opposing backs (30.8 gm/avg.) Use Robinson to gain leverage over all the delusional Mixon truthers and count stacks.     

Chalk RB: Alvin Kamara and Kenyan Drake 

Also Consider: Ezekiel Elliott, Jonathan Taylor, Dalvin Cook, Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Wide Receiver

Texans Will Fuller
Michael Ciaglo – Houston Chronicle

Will Fuller V | $5900 | Houston Texans

8.2% projected ownership

Remember how Will Fuller has that one week in fantasy where you absolutely have to start him and get all the fantasy points? This is that week, my dudes!  Fuller will play a majority of his snaps on the outside across from rookie defensive back Jeff Gladney, who currently ranks 93/109 (PFF) and gives up a passer rating of 143 (eyeballs emoji.) 

That’s pretty bad but what’s also bad is the Vikings allowing 633 yards (3rd worst) and 5 TDs to receivers through the first 3 games.  The Vikings are allowing 48.9 DKPt per gam/avg to opposing receivers and we know where the ball will go in this offense. Giddyup! 

*Fuller popped up on the injury report with a hamstring but if he goes, I’m still in on him.

Chalk WR: Amari Cooper, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, 

Also Consider: Cooper Kupp, Brandin Cooks, Adam Thielen, Justin Jefferson

Tight End

DETROIT, MICHIGAN – AUGUST 08: T.J. Hockenson #88 of the Detroit Lions look to block while playing the New England Patriots during a preseason game at Ford Field on August 08, 2019 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

T.J. Hockenson | $5900 | Detroit Lions

10.6% projected ownership

No other team gives up more fantasy points, receptions, yards and TDs to opposing tight ends than the New Orleans Saints (28.3 DKPt gm/avg.) say it with me now… F-U-N-N-E-L. Having Golladay back healthy is also good news for Hockenson as he should see less attention from the slot. In games where the Lions are +/- 6 point, they run the 6th fastest Pace of Play (Football Outsiders.) Vegas is expecting a close one (DET +4.5) here where Hockenson may be relied on to move the chains as Stafford and the Lions play from behind. LOCK!

Chalk: Travis Kelce, Darren Waller

Also Consider: Mark Andrews or Dalton Shultz

DST

  1. LAR
  2. BAL
  3. IND
(My preference in that order)

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