INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – Professor’s Flash Card.

AFC_SOUTH INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – Professor’s Flash Card. This article focuses on 3 tables and their analysis.

  1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels
  2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages
  3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below. 

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This Table includes:

  • Team
  • Bye Week
  • Position Rankings
  • Position
  • Overall Name
  • Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
  • Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

The DST and K will be a pass for me in 2020. The big change for the IND was bring in Rivers. He is a strict passing QB with little rushing. I have concerns for River’s and how he gets on with his pass-catchers. He loves a WR1, RB1, and TE1 who catch passes. He should get what he needs in IND. I rank him early at QB25 with some uncertainity.

The RBs are led by a Rookie in Taylor and I rate him a RB18 but does have uncertainity issues. I then have 2A and 2B in Hines and Mack at 45 and 48 RBs. Mack has high uncertainity given IND bringing in the hot rookie. Hines was a nice pass-catcher and Rivers favors that type of RB. Hines could be of higher value than his ADP.

Rivers needs Doyle to be his Gates in 2020. Doyle is at a TE17 even though he has flashed and was streaky. He is a solid TE2 and best ball hero. Burton adds to IND TE depth and only in play with a Doyle injury.

Hilton should be River’s K Allen and I ranked him at WR 23rd. He fits with Rivers given the other 3 IND WRs are buried down with uncertainity issues. I can not pick between Campbell and Pittman at 66 and 67 WRs. I would draft either as a cheap later play in best ball. Pascal is at 90th and seems out of the running for FP production in 2020.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Professor's Flash Card. IND ADP

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – Professor’s Flash Card. 2019.  We had the QB/RB up by 1.8% and 2.4% in FPAc based usages. The TE/WR groups however dropped. The raw numbers show QBs had the worst in last 3 years. The RB did better than that and RB based FP was balancing out the loss of TE/WR activities.

Given Rivers has been signed, I might expect the WR/TE go up while the RB that can pass catch (Like Eckler) Hines? Should we see an enhanced 2020? I am bullish on the pass catchers with Rivers for 2020. Watch for 2020 bargains as other more high-profile teams get the attention.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Professor's Flash Card. IND

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 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

This table contains:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2015 to 2019 Targets Per Game
  • 5 Year Average of Targets Per Game
  • %2019 Usages in Targeting
  • % 5-Year Positional Usage Average
  • DIFF 2019 vs 5-Year Average of Team Positional Usages

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – Professor’s Flash Card. Overall Comments: 2019 showed the IND team liked its RBs as they increased by 1.7% and given the draft of the RB rookie, I suspect that can increase more in 2020. IND RB are Jonathan Taylor RB18,  Marlon Mack RB48,  Nyheim Hines RB45,  and Jordan Wilkins RB92. The public is predicting a RBBC situation which is never good as the PPR points are spread but I think Taylor is the RB1 in here. I might invest in Hines as he costs the least in best ball etc. Note that IND only used its RBs at 22% so that is not so strong a number.

IND does, however, use its TEs (35%) who are currently, Jack Doyle TE17 and Trey Burton TE37. Doyle would be another late-round TE1/2 for me given the use of TEs at IND.

Finally, the WRs have been at the 42% team targeting levels because of the TEs target sharing. I do not expect that to change in 2020. That limits the depth of the drafting in 2020 of WR. The WRs are T.Y. Hilton WR23, Parris Campbell WR66, Michael Pittman Jr. WR67,  and Zach Pascal WR90. The public is also “seeing” that issue and calls for Hilton to be the main WR with the others getting scraps.

IND TINDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Professor's Flash Card. IND TG

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