NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

AFC EAST_NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. This article focuses on 3 tables and their analysis.

  1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels
  2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages
  3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs. the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below. 

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This Table includes:

  • Team
  • Bye Week
  • Position Rankings
  • Position
  • Overall Name
  • Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
  • Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

For 2020, DST is definitely a nice pick and I rank at 80% with a high variance. However, QB is new and I rank him at 23% and in QB3 level. The high variance, of course, is with the QB. The team is going to revolve around this guy for 2020! Therefore the TEs are weak and ranked at 10% with high variance as well. Maybe preseason gives me clarity.

The safer plays should be the 2 RBs of White and Micheal I ranked them at 79 and 70%. Ths issue for me with White is he is the short play guy but given the QB will White’s Yard after the catch be limited. Futhermore, I suggest yes as the defenses with be trying to crush the newbie and the QB pressure mean White is catching in a filled up space of defenders. Micheal also will have a tendency you have limited gains going right into the defenses.

Edelman will be limited to short yards and will have to work to go outside of the tight on the line defenses. I actually think Harry will be the boom-bust guy (best ball?) and Sanu could be the forgotten player grabbing some catches and yards pass the wave of closer defense plays. White is 79%, Harry at 60%, and Sanu at 41% with upside.

NE ADP NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - Professor's Flash Card.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This Table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs. last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. NE has abandoned the TE position with a -6.8% drop in 2019 vs. the 4-year average. Watch for any moves in free agency. The big question is QB. If Brady is truly gone, then hard to see a high impact free agent acquired in the QB.

The 2019 WRs were the best in the last 4-years as a group and their fate certainly linked to the QB. 12. Julian Edelman 68. Phillip Dorsett  89. Josh Gordon  112. N E Harry  113. Jakobi Meyers were the WRs from 2019. They had a low WR1 in Edelman and WR6s and down. Hard to imagine significant improvements for 2020 and see above.

The 2020 RBs figure to be involved either way. They would be the safest position for drafts?  19. James White (67/72 Rushing ATT vs RECs)  31. Sony Michel (247/12)   47. Rex Burkhead (65/27). The 2020 RB pecking order figures nearly the same with but White and Michel take a hit with a poorer new QB?

NE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - Professor's Flash Card.

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2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

This Table contains:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2015 to 2019 Targets Per Game
  • 5 Year Average of Targets Per Game
  • %2019 Usages in Targeting
  • % 5-Year Positional Usage Average
  • DIFF 2019 vs. 5-Year Average of Team Positional Usages

Overall Comments: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.  Firstly, 2019 NE had solid RB and WR gains in T/G of 3 and 5% while the TEs were not used well, declining by -8%. Secondly, the current RBs are James White RB24,  Sony Michel RB32, Damien Harris RB69, and Rex Burkhead RB79. Thirdly, losing Brady would seem to lower the RB pass-catching for 2020. Finally, that situation could seem to favor Michel over White for 2020. Take the cheaper one.

In addition, no key TEs added, and it appears to be a give-up position for 2020. Finally, the WRs are Julian Edelman WR29,  N’Keal Harry WR61 Mohamed Sanu, WR72 Jakobi Meyers WR97, and Damiere Byrd WR129. I think Edelman may have some upside while Harry increasing his role as no other WR seem to be in his way for a WR2 purpose. Above all in 2019, the NE team loves it’s WRs at a 50% 5-year average, and that may place Sanu in play as well. However, 2020 is still uncertain, and caution is recommended.

NE TNE TG NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - Professor's Flash Card.

Check out my analysis of the other AFC East teams:

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