BUFFALO BILLS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card

AFC EAST_BUFFALO BILLS

BUFFALO BILLS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. This article focuses on 3 tables and their analysis.

1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below.

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This Table includes:

• Team
• Bye Week
• Position Rankings
• Position
• Overall Name
• Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
• Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

BUFFALO BILLS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. Notes: QB is nicely ranked while the RBs are all average uncertainty which is interesting as I have concerns with Singletary and his outcomes given the presence of Moss. It could turn into an RBBC. Know the TE is below average and I have concerns as noted by my High Unc Level designation. The strength is the WRs with Diggd and Brown being the nice WR1 and 2 combos. I lean toward Brown given his ADP price.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This table presents:

• Team
• Position
• 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
• 4 Year Sum of Averages
• % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
• % of 2019 Team Usages
• DIFF – 2019 vs last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

BUFFALO BILLS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. In 2019, the Bills QBs produced a 4 year high in FPA while the WRs FPA output was at +9% increased as well. Passing has improved and it seems to be easy to think BUF will be passing dominate in 2020. Additionally, I do note the RBs have dropped by -8% vs the 4-year average. Also. TEs have not been used as well with a -3% drop. The TE and RBs own some negatives in 2020.  Curious also if  Devin Singletary (2019 27^th) can improve in 2020 with the addition of Moss to the mix.

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2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

This table contains:

• Team
• Position
• 2015 to 2019 Targets Per Game
• 5 Year Average of Targets Per Game
• %2019 Usages in Targeting
• % 5-Year Positional Usage Average
• DIFF 2019 vs 5-Year Average of Team Positional Usages

Overall Comments: BUF seems to be steady for 2019 vs 2018. The RBs were used in targeting at the 5-year average. The RB currently Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and T.J. Yeldon with Singletary being an RB 2 type and Moss the rookie being an RB 50. Moss could be an RB 2 with the right tailwinds later in the 2020 season.

Next, I analyzed the visual plot concluded that BUF has dropped in TE targeting by 6% leading to WRs going up by +6%. 2020 drafting should move away from the TE into the WRs. Dawson Knox is a super late TE 2 etc. and he is a pass for me in 2020. The WR crew includes Stefon Diggs  (WR26),  John Brown (WR41), and Cole Beasley at WR83. All three maybe underlays for 2020 and I would draft any at a bargain price.

Check out my analysis of the other AFC East teams:

• New York Jets: https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/22/new-york-jets-professors-flash-card/
• New England Patriots: https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/21/new-england-patriots-professors-nfl-team-flash-card-2/
• Miami Dolphins: https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/20/miami-dolphins-professors-flash-card/