CFB DFS Targets Week 7 Night Slate

If you’re reading this CFB DFS preview, you probably want to know who is going to be the David Bell of the night contest. I think I might know that, and have numerous hot takes regarding tonight’s DK contest.

As always, I will be posting my DraftKings targets each week here on Fake Pigskin. My goal is to identify three to four low-cost/reasonable floor targets as foundational pieces for all my lineups.

This way, you start by boosting your remaining price per player in the range to roster as many high floor/high upside guys who we all anticipate substantial statistical output from.

Here are the Vegas odds (favorites in bold) for the 7 games included in the Saturday night DK contest:
Game InfoLine |Total
UF@LSU 8:00PM ET|14|55.5
UL@WAKE 7:30PM ET|7|65
UTAH@ORST 8:00PM ET|15|59.5
USC@ND 7:30PM ET|10.5|59
PSU@IOWA 7:30PM ET|3.5|43.5
MISS@MIZZ 7:00PM ET|12|56.5
NEB@MINN 7:30PM ET|7|49.5

For example, I am not going to come at you with hot suggestions like a Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase stack. What I will do is point out that rostering the pricey pair will leave your average remaining price per player at $5,717.

This is the price range I will focus on each week. Okay, let the smoldering takes begin!

Shannon Brooks | RB | Minnesota $4,900

This senior was setup for a monster season in 2018 as the Gophers feature back, before getting shutdown for the year with an injury. He just got back in the lineup last week and dropped a 16-111-1 line on Illinois.

The Nebraska defense has been very vulnerable against the run, allowing over 165 yards on the ground per game. Even really bad teams like Northwestern and Illinois were able run on the Huskers, gaining 157 and 221 yards, respectively. They also gave up three scores to Illinois running backs.

Minnesota head coach P.J. Fleck reacts (AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)

As long as they’re in control of the game, I think P.J. Fleck will run the over 40 times with Brooks and Rodney Smith. I expect Brooks will be safe for 15 touches with some upside in a plus matchup.

Wan’Dale Robinson | WR/RB | Nebraska $5,600

While we’re talking safety, in that same game, this Husker has emerged as the most reliable playmaker for Scott Frost whether they are throwing or running. If you call the 48-7 loss to Ohio State a wash for the entire offense, Robinson has the most running back carries and rush yards, catches, receiving yards, and scores over the past two normal game flow contests, for Nebraska.

Part of that is due to Maurice Washington missing some time, but it’s given Robinson the chance to show enough that I do not see any scenario where he isn’t heavily involved. I expect a 15 touch floor with plenty of upside. Especially, if JD Spielman does not play.

And, no. I do not care if Adrian Martinez plays or not. It actually might help.

Javian Hawkins | RB | Louisville $5,200

This is all about the price/floor/matchup combo. Hawkins has carried the ball at least 17 times in every normal game flow contest for the Cardinals this season. The freshman has impressed, averaging over six yards per carry, and just had his career best 172 rushing yard performance, in a 41-39 shootout win, over Boston College.

This week, Vegas projects their game at Wake Forrest to have cat nip projections for CFB DFS purposes. Besides Hawkins, Tutu Atwell and Seth Dawkins are in a prime spot to return value from the Louisville offense.

Fading Quarterback Chalk

The only approach that interests me outside of Burrow and Jamie Newman, is Micale Cunningham. In another seven game mini slate, you can’t afford to miss out on any high scoring affairs if you want to cash. Going away from the obvious candidates of the LSU, Wake Forrest, and Louisville offenses is not advisable in my mind.

(Ron Jenkins, AP)

Besides, with a perceived slightly tougher matchup for the Tiger offense, Joe Burrow’s price is a little soft. The upside you would give up by fading him probably isn’t worth the savings anyway.

Chalk I Can’t Live Without

I know Florida’s defense will be the biggest challenge yet for the new and improved Tiger offensive attack, but I’ll believe someone can slow these guys down when I see it. It’s gonna be lots of Tigers and Demon Deacons on my plate Saturday night.

Good luck for the CFB DFS Week 7 night slate! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed. Also, check my podcast now starting with weekly CFB DFS recaps!

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