Week 7 Match-Ups Player Ranks with Uncertainty Levels

Week 7 Match-Ups Player Ranks with Uncertainty Levels

Week 7 Match-Ups Player Ranks with Uncertainty Levels. The following figures represent each remaining week 7 games. Please scan and then listen to my full video lesson (above). These are what I use to “loosely” frame out each game as to major questions that I have about that game.

Questions:

  • Which team is favored and by how much (Vegas Spread)?
  • How many TDs are expected?
  • What is the nature of the overall team defenses each team will face? 
  • What positions are favored in the game from each team?

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Video Lesson

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Figure Explanations

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Each Figure contains 3 segments.

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First segment is the favored team and their predicted score followed by the underdog team and their predicted score.



Second Segment contains the Vegas information of the two teams, predicted scores, the point spread, over/under points expected and level of scoring expected (High 49 up , Above Average (46 to 49), Below Average 43 to 46, Low being below 43)



Third Segment Reveals the 2 teams with their Home/Away Status, Their Opponents and the Opponents Defense overall rating by colorization  (Dark green – Very Easy,  Light Green-Above Average Easy, Light Red-Tough Defense, and Dark Red being the Toughest in the League). I also then present the team’s Opponent Defense against the Positions (DAPs- 100 to 0- Green Easy to Red Hard) for Overall Offense, RB, QB, TE, WR, Kickers, and Defense.

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WEEK 7 PPR Rankings with Uncertainty Levels


  • HA/L is a Uncertainity Measure (High number equal High UNC)
  • Scaled Power Week 7 Scores (High Best Teams vs Low Worst Teams Overall). 
  • LAR/ARI/KC/TB are top 4 teams vs HOU/NYJ/CHI/SF are the worst teams for week 7

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Sortable Table for Week 7 Rankings

Player Rankings (FSPR) as well as Uncertainity levels (High, Avg, and Low). 

Move to Higher Ranked Players with Low UNC!

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RKPLAYER NAMETEAMPOSFSPRUNC
26Detroit LionsDETDEF0.0HIGH
25Houston TexansHOUDEF2.2HIGH
21Cincinnati BengalsCINDEF20.0HIGH
12Las Vegas RaidersLVDEF35.6HIGH
23Tennessee TitansTENDEF15.6HIGH
9Cleveland BrownsCLEDEF42.2HIGH
19New York JetsNYJDEF26.7HIGH
14New York GiantsNYGDEF33.3HIGH
15Atlanta FalconsATLDEF33.3HIGH
20Seattle SeahawksSEADEF22.2HIGH
10Denver BroncosDENDEF42.2AVG
18Kansas City ChiefsKCDEF26.7AVG
8Green Bay PackersGBDEF42.2AVG
13San Francisco 49ersSFDEF33.3AVG
3New England PatriotsNEDEF91.1AVG
5Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBDEF64.4AVG
7Baltimore RavensBALDEF44.4AVG
16Philadelphia EaglesPHIDEF28.9AVG
22Chicago BearsCHIDEF17.8AVG
24Washington Football TeamWASDEF13.3LOW
17Miami DolphinsMIADEF28.9LOW
6Carolina PanthersCARDEF62.2LOW
11Indianapolis ColtsINDDEF42.2LOW
1Arizona CardinalsARIDEF100LOW
4New Orleans SaintsNODEF75.6LOW
2Los Angeles RamsLARDEF93.3LOW
16Jake ElliottPHIK37.8HIGH
25Matt AmmendolaNYJK8.1HIGH
18Chase McLaughlinCLEK37.8HIGH
8Mason CrosbyGBK70.3HIGH
17Joey SlyeSFK37.8HIGH
19Michael BadgleyINDK37.8HIGH
26Ka'imi FairbairnHOUK5.4HIGH
12Zane GonzalezCARK51.4HIGH
5Harrison ButkerKCK78.4HIGH
28Wil LutzNOK0.0HIGH
11Randy BullockTENK51.4HIGH
24Austin SeibertDETK13.5HIGH
15Evan McPhersonCINK43.2AVG
1Justin TuckerBALK100AVG
2Matt PraterARIK100.0AVG
7Ryan SuccopTBK70.3AVG
20Jason MyersSEAK35.1AVG
14Graham GanoNYGK48.6AVG
10Brandon McManusDENK59.5AVG
9Younghoe KooATLK64.9LOW
22Cairo SantosCHIK27.0LOW
6Daniel CarlsonLVK73.0LOW
13Jason SandersMIAK51.4LOW
4Nick FolkNEK86.5LOW
3Matt GayLARK94.6LOW
27Dustin HopkinsFAK0.0LOW
21Brian JohnsonNOK27.0HIGH
23Chris BlewittWASK24.3HIGH
21Jimmy GaroppoloSFQB19.5HIGH
15Justin FieldsCHIQB33.8HIGH
25Zach WilsonNYJQB6.8HIGH
20Mac JonesNEQB21.8HIGH
26Davis MillsHOUQB0.0HIGH
22Jared GoffDETQB15.8HIGH
10Matt RyanATLQB51.9HIGH
13Tua TagovailoaMIAQB39.1HIGH
29Mike GlennonNYGQB0.0HIGH
17Carson WentzINDQB30.8AVG
24Case KeenumCLEQB9.8AVG
18Teddy BridgewaterDENQB28.6AVG
1Patrick Mahomes IIKCQB115AVG
12Sam DarnoldCARQB42.9AVG
16Daniel JonesNYGQB32.3AVG
23Geno SmithSEAQB12.8AVG
11Derek CarrLVQB46.6AVG
4Matthew StaffordLARQB85.7AVG
2Kyler MurrayARIQB100AVG
14Jameis WinstonNOQB36.8LOW
8Ryan TannehillTENQB63.2LOW
9Joe BurrowCINQB57.1LOW
3Lamar JacksonBALQB92.5LOW
28Jacoby BrissettMIAQB0.0LOW
30Drew LockDENQB0.0LOW
7Jalen HurtsPHIQB68.4LOW
5Aaron RodgersGBQB78.2LOW
6Tom BradyTBQB72.9LOW
19Taylor HeinickeWASQB24.8LOW
27Taysom HillNOQB0.0LOW
15Mike DavisATLRB73.5HIGH
56Tevin ColemanNYJRB19.4HIGH
20Miles SandersPHIRB69.7HIGH
46Trey SermonSFRB25.2HIGH
80Devine OzigboNORB1.9HIGH
88J.J. TaylorNERB0.0HIGH
84Darrynton EvansTENRB0.6HIGH
45Ronald Jones IITBRB25.2HIGH
49Jerick McKinnonKCRB23.2HIGH
68Rashaad PennySEARB9.0HIGH
74Gary BrightwellNYGRB5.2HIGH
34Devonta FreemanBALRB38.7HIGH
85Eno BenjaminARIRB0.6HIGH
25Javonte WilliamsDENRB58.1HIGH
33Mark Ingram IIHOURB39.4HIGH
62Jalen RichardLVRB12.9HIGH
43Sony MichelLARRB27.7HIGH
52Ty'Son WilliamsBALRB22.6HIGH
16Damien HarrisNERB72.3HIGH
17James ConnerARIRB70.3HIGH
23D'Ernest JohnsonCLERB67.7HIGH
39Le'Veon BellBALRB32.9HIGH
48Malcolm BrownMIARB23.9HIGH
54Phillip LindsayHOURB21.9HIGH
55Royce FreemanCARRB20.6HIGH
69Patrick RicardBALRB8.4HIGH
22Melvin Gordon IIIDENRB68.4HIGH
59Ty MontgomeryNORB18.1HIGH
81Alex Armah Jr.NORB1.3HIGH
58Jaret PattersonWASRB18.7HIGH
3Aaron JonesGBRB111AVG
12Josh JacobsLVRB80.6AVG
14Chase EdmondsARIRB74.2AVG
67Kylin HillGBRB9.7AVG
63Brandon BoldenNERB12.3AVG
70Alec IngoldLVRB7.7AVG
82Ryan NallCHIRB1.3AVG
86Trayveon WilliamsCINRB0.6AVG
65Dwayne WashingtonNORB11.0AVG
4Darrell Henderson Jr.LARRB106AVG
76Boston ScottPHIRB4.5AVG
78Khari BlasingameTENRB1.9AVG
79JaMycal HastySFRB1.9AVG
18Antonio GibsonWASRB70.3AVG
36Kenyan DrakeLVRB36.1AVG
83Keith SmithATLRB1.3AVG
60Travis HomerSEARB18.1AVG
7Joe MixonCINRB94.2AVG
29Jamaal WilliamsDETRB52.3AVG
35Damien WilliamsCHIRB38.1AVG
42Ty JohnsonNYJRB28.4AVG
61Marlon MackINDRB14.2AVG
2Alvin KamaraNORB125AVG
6D'Andre SwiftDETRB96.8AVG
11Chuba HubbardCARRB83.9AVG
37David JohnsonHOURB35.5AVG
73Peyton BarberLVRB5.2AVG
19Devontae BookerNYGRB69.7AVG
26Michael CarterNYJRB56.1AVG
41Giovani BernardTBRB29.7AVG
64Elijhaa PennyNYGRB11.6AVG
50Jeremy McNicholsTENRB23.2LOW
47DeeJay DallasSEARB25.2LOW
77Rex BurkheadHOURB3.2LOW
27Myles GaskinMIARB54.8LOW
9Leonard FournetteTBRB91.0LOW
10Darrel WilliamsKCRB89.0LOW
28Khalil HerbertCHIRB52.9LOW
30Nyheim HinesINDRB42.6LOW
38Rhamondre StevensonNERB34.8LOW
32Kenneth GainwellPHIRB41.3LOW
44Salvon AhmedMIARB27.7LOW
57Samaje PerineCINRB18.7LOW
31AJ DillonGBRB42.6LOW
13Elijah MitchellSFRB75.5LOW
66Wayne Gallman Jr.ATLRB11.0LOW
53Chris EvansCINRB21.9LOW
21J.D. McKissicWASRB68.4LOW
51Kyle JuszczykSFRB23.2LOW
24Alex CollinsSEARB63.2LOW
5Jonathan TaylorINDRB100LOW
1Derrick HenryTENRB135LOW
87Jeff Wilson Jr.SFRB0.0LOW
8Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB94.2HIGH
40Demetric FeltonCLERB31.6HIGH
71Jonathan WardARIRB7.1HIGH
72John KellyCLERB7.1HIGH
75Artavis PierceCHIRB5.2HIGH
22Anthony FirkserTENTE39.0HIGH
34Jordan AkinsHOUTE17.8HIGH
52Darren FellsDETTE1.7HIGH
19Jonnu SmithNETE41.5HIGH
6T.J. HockensonDETTE92.4HIGH
17Robert TonyanGBTE42.4HIGH
24Austin HooperCLETE35.6HIGH
37Ryan GriffinNYJTE16.9HIGH
51Kaden SmithNYGTE2.5HIGH
13Evan EngramNYGTE51.7HIGH
16Cole KmetCHITE43.2HIGH
36Harrison BryantCLETE16.9HIGH
48Drew SampleCINTE6.8HIGH
12Zach ErtzARITE54.2HIGH
29Ian ThomasCARTE28.0HIGH
32Adam TrautmanNOTE22.0HIGH
47Tyler KroftNYJTE6.8HIGH
9Noah FantDENTE80.5AVG
25Hayden HurstATLTE32.2AVG
3Mark AndrewsBALTE120AVG
35Kyle RudolphNYGTE17.8AVG
44Eric SaubertDENTE9.3AVG
49Jack StollPHITE6.8AVG
50Charlie WoernerSFTE5.9AVG
53Antony AuclairHOUTE0.8AVG
54Kylen GransonINDTE0.0AVG
10Tyler HigbeeLARTE76.3AVG
43Josh OliverBALTE9.3AVG
46Jimmy GrahamCHITE8.5AVG
7Dallas GoedertPHITE92.4AVG
41Marcedes LewisGBTE12.7AVG
42Foster MoreauLVTE11.9AVG
2Darren WallerLVTE138AVG
39MyCole PruittTENTE14.4AVG
55Daniel BrownNYJTE0.0AVG
11Hunter HenryNETE73.7LOW
23O.J. HowardTBTE36.4LOW
28Jack DoyleINDTE28.8LOW
30Will DisslySEATE27.1LOW
40Geoff SwaimTENTE13.6LOW
20David NjokuCLETE40.7LOW
26Cameron BrateTBTE32.2LOW
45Lee SmithATLTE9.3LOW
4Kyle PittsATLTE100LOW
15Mo Alie-CoxINDTE43.2LOW
21Gerald EverettSEATE39.8LOW
8Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE81.4LOW
33Durham SmytheMIATE21.2LOW
38Pharaoh BrownHOUTE16.1LOW
18Ross DwelleySFTE41.5LOW
1Travis KelceKCTE150LOW
27Tommy TrembleCARTE31.4LOW
31Juwan JohnsonNOTE22.0LOW
5Mike GesickiMIATE94.1LOW
14C.J. UzomahCINTE48.3LOW
41Odell Beckham Jr.CLEWR42.2HIGH
62Elijah MooreNYJWR27.8HIGH
111Geronimo AllisonDETWR7.2HIGH
33Robby AndersonCARWR47.5HIGH
67Darius SlaytonNYGWR24.7HIGH
82Albert WilsonMIAWR18.4HIGH
65Adam HumphriesWASWR25.1HIGH
45Julio JonesTENWR39.5HIGH
64Dyami BrownWASWR25.1HIGH
29Tyler BoydCINWR50.2HIGH
25Allen Robinson IICHIWR52.5HIGH
56Allen LazardGBWR33.2HIGH
92N'Keal HarryNEWR16.6HIGH
7Calvin RidleyATLWR79.8HIGH
19DeVonta SmithPHIWR65.0HIGH
69Kenny StillsNOWR24.2HIGH
134Isaiah FordMIAWR0.0HIGH
120Phillip Dorsett IISEAWR5.4HIGH
4DeAndre HopkinsARIWR82.5HIGH
94Damiere ByrdCHIWR14.3HIGH
117Trinity BensonDETWR5.4HIGH
35DeVante ParkerMIAWR46.2HIGH
102Chris HoganNOWR10.8HIGH
55Jalen ReagorPHIWR33.2HIGH
100Denzel MimsNYJWR11.2HIGH
118Christian BlakeATLWR5.4HIGH
132Antonio Gandy-GoldenWASWR1.8HIGH
78Marquise GoodwinCHIWR20.2HIGH
96Anthony SchwartzCLEWR13.0HIGH
124Mike ThomasCINWR4.5HIGH
12A.J. BrownTENWR70.0HIGH
60Nico CollinsHOUWR30.0HIGH
9Terry McLaurinWASWR73.5HIGH
16D.K. MetcalfSEAWR66.4HIGH
23Tyler LockettSEAWR58.3HIGH
131Mike StrachanINDWR2.7HIGH
10Robert WoodsLARWR72.2HIGH
48Kalif RaymondDETWR38.1HIGH
87Marcus JohnsonTENWR17.5HIGH
24Michael Pittman Jr.INDWR57.4HIGH
106John BrownDENWR8.5HIGH
113Tre'Quan SmithNOWR5.8HIGH
30Henry Ruggs IIILVWR49.8AVG
80Keelan Cole Sr.NYJWR19.7AVG
115Amari RodgersGBWR5.8AVG
22Tee HigginsCINWR59.2AVG
128Jakeem Grant Sr.CHIWR3.6AVG
72Chris MooreHOUWR22.4AVG
84Olamide ZaccheausATLWR17.9AVG
42Amon-Ra St. BrownDETWR41.3AVG
75Devin DuvernayBALWR20.6AVG
86Josh ReynoldsTENWR17.9AVG
98Auden TateCINWR12.6AVG
108Ashton DulinINDWR7.6AVG
110Equanimeous St. BrownGBWR7.2AVG
130Trenton IrwinCINWR2.7AVG
73Chris ConleyHOUWR22.0AVG
91Tajae SharpeATLWR17.0AVG
103Danny AmendolaHOUWR9.9AVG
43Rashod BatemanBALWR41.3AVG
70Freddie SwainSEAWR24.2AVG
112Trent SherfieldSFWR6.7AVG
119Dax MilneWASWR5.4AVG
21Jakobi MeyersNEWR60.1AVG
71KhaDarel HodgeDETWR24.2AVG
114Alex EricksonCARWR5.8AVG
126Tom KennedyDETWR4.0AVG
27Hunter RenfrowLVWR51.6AVG
109Zay JonesLVWR7.2AVG
135Diontae SpencerDENWR0.0AVG
50Bryan EdwardsLVWR37.7AVG
54Randall CobbGBWR33.6AVG
123Travis BenjaminSFWR4.9AVG
34Jarvis LandryCLEWR47.1AVG
76Mack HollinsMIAWR20.6AVG
36Mecole HardmanKCWR45.7AVG
39A.J. GreenARIWR42.2AVG
44Van JeffersonLARWR39.5AVG
116Penny HartSEAWR5.4AVG
129David MooreDENWR3.1AVG
77Mohamed Sanu Sr.SFWR20.2AVG
83Nick Westbrook-IkhineTENWR18.4AVG
121J.J. Arcega-WhitesidePHIWR4.9AVG
5D.J. MooreCARWR80.7LOW
31Tim PatrickDENWR48.9LOW
38Marquez CallawayNOWR43.9LOW
40Jamison CrowderNYJWR42.2LOW
101James Proche IIBALWR11.2LOW
105Braxton BerriosNYJWR9.0LOW
11Chris GodwinTBWR70.9LOW
107Willie Snead IVLVWR8.1LOW
88Tyler JohnsonTBWR17.5LOW
133Tyrie ClevelandDENWR0.4LOW
90Dante PettisNYGWR17.0LOW
122Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGBWR4.9LOW
2Cooper KuppLARWR99.6LOW
95Greg WardPHIWR13.9LOW
32Christian KirkARIWR47.5LOW
47Nelson AgholorNEWR39.0LOW
61DeSean JacksonLARWR28.3LOW
89Collin JohnsonNYGWR17.0LOW
99Preston WilliamsMIAWR12.1LOW
125Miles BoykinBALWR4.5LOW
13Mike EvansTBWR68.2LOW
14Brandin CooksHOUWR67.7LOW
46Brandon AiyukSFWR39.0LOW
26Darnell MooneyCHIWR52.0LOW
53Zach PascalINDWR34.1LOW
58Russell GageATLWR30.9LOW
66Deonte HarrisNOWR24.7LOW
79Kendall HintonDENWR19.7LOW
37Rondale MooreARIWR45.7LOW
81John RossNYGWR19.3LOW
85DeAndre CarterWASWR17.9LOW
17Courtland SuttonDENWR65.5LOW
28Corey DavisNYJWR50.7LOW
59Donovan Peoples-JonesCLEWR30.5LOW
74Rashard HigginsCLEWR20.6LOW
15Marquise BrownBALWR67.7LOW
20Jaylen WaddleMIAWR64.1LOW
63Demarcus RobinsonKCWR26.0LOW
127Jauan JenningsSFWR4.0LOW
6Deebo SamuelSFWR80.3LOW
18Sterling ShepardNYGWR65.5LOW
52Kendrick BourneNEWR34.1LOW
1Davante AdamsGBWR100LOW
68Byron PringleKCWR24.2LOW
51T.Y. HiltonINDWR35.4LOW
49Quez WatkinsPHIWR37.7LOW
104Shi SmithCARWR9.4LOW
3Tyreek HillKCWR93.3LOW
8Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR75.3LOW
57Cordarrelle PattersonATLWR31.8HIGH
93Josh GordonKCWR14.8HIGH
97Demetric FeltonCLEWR12.6HIGH


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LINKS

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/10/20/weekly-values-in-fantasy-football-before-week-7/

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/10/20/science-of-fantasy-podcast-episode-9/

 https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/10/21/week-6-snaps-report-3/

 https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/10/23/target-and-attempts-report-week-6/

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