Weekly Values Before Week 12

Weekly Values Before Week 12. As we get ready for playoff season in Fantasy Football, it’s time to take a look at the weekly value in a much different way. Every statistical tool in this world that attempts to predict the future will have its strengths and limitations.

For example, consistency Ratings can be thought of as a prediction of a player’s floor, while Best 10 estimates a player’s ceiling. But what we need is one number that can tell us more about what we can expect from a player in any given week, and that is why “Efficiency Average” (EA) was born. In baseball, “On Base Percentage” and “Slugging Average” are two great statistics to diagnose a player’s value. Combine those two excellent stats, and OPS was born, which is an even better way to look at the upside of how valuable a player is to his team. As I continue to Beta Test EA, I expect similar results. So let’s take a look at the weekly value of players heading into week 12.

———————————————————–

QB Weekly Values

There was no change to the top 5 at QB this week with Patrick Mahomes on top with a value of 42.7, but it’s less than an entire point to Josh Allen in second place. Despite a shaky 2021 season, Mahomes remains the only QB with a Consistency Rating over 70%. Justin Herbert made the most significant move with an increase to 39.3, passing Dak Prescott and Kyler Murray for 5th best. Cam Newton also made a big move this week up to 14th place. The 2021 Rookie Class continues to show how particular Justin Herbert’s rookie year was last season. The top rookie is Mac Jones at 26.9 for QB27, 8 points in weekly value behind the 12th rated QB. Trevor Lawrence is 29th best at 26.4. Let’s take a look at the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Mahomes42.7721KC
J Allen42.3542Buf
L Jackson41.4643Bal
Brady40.4554TB
Wilson40515Sea
Herbert39.3608LAC
Prescott39.2636Dal
Murray39.1587AZ
Rodgers38.1649GB
Stafford35.14911LAR
Cousins34.95512Min
Ryan34.94310Atl
Tannehill33.14613Ten
Newton333824Car
Hurts32.44714Phl
Heinecke31.34419WAS
D Jones312315NYG
Carr30.54516LV
Goff30.43017Det
Wentz303918Ind
Tua302922Mia
Burrow29.95521Cin
Jimmy G29.12920SF
Mayfield28.92223Cle
Bridgewater28.23725Den
Big Ben27.33627Pitt
M Jones26.91828NE
Siemien26.76732NO
Lawrence26.42026Jax
Taylor262829Hou
Z Wilson25030NYJ
Fields231331Chi

———————————————————–

Weekly Values Before Week 12 RB Weekly Values

Injuries are taking a toll on the RB position as usual, and I left some of the hurt RBs on the list this week just for reference. CMC solidified his rank at 2nd place as his volume has increased closer to normal, and with better QB play, he should continue to hold his spot in the Top 3 even if his volume is a little lower than his historic normal.

The “Time Share” issue at RB on several teams shows up in the Consistency Ratings. Aaron Jones is 4th best at Best ten weekly value, but his Consistency Rating under 80% shows what having a second excellent RB like AJ Dillon on the team can hurt your weekly value. Jonathan Taylor’s increased volume has increased his Best 10 to 6th best at 27.6. If that trend continues through the rest of the season, his Weekly Value should increase to greater than 30, putting him as high as Top 3 in weekly value heading into the Fantasy Football playoffs. Finally, Joe Mixon cracked the Top 10 this week. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Henry34.3801Ten
CMC32.9922Car
Kamara31.2893NO
A Jones30774GB
Ekeler28.6895LAC
Taylor27.6807Ind
Cook27.1926Min
Chubb25.1808Cle
Mixon24.47213Cin
Elliott24.38310Dal
Swift24.18211Det
Barkley23.9689NYG
Harris23.89012Pit
J Robinson239114Jax
Patterson22.45716Atl
Montgomery22.16015Chi
Fornette227818TB
Conner21.67720Az
Drake21.56119LV
Jacobs21.47817LV
AJ Dillon20.87522GB
M Gordon20.76521Den
K Hunt20.26723Cle
M Carter206724NYJ
Sanders19.45726Phl
D Henderson19.45027LAR
Mattison19.36428Min
Gibson19.16425Was
Gaskin18.57329Mia
Booker18.36430NYG
CEH18.17435KC
Freeman18.161NABal
D Williams18.14831KC
Stevenson186032NE
Perine17.88034Cin
Herbert17.75036Chi
J Williams17.65037Det
McKissic17.64733Was
D Williams17.45838Chi
J Williams17.24039Den
E Mitchell175741SF
Hines16.55243Ind
D Johnson16.46856Hou
Edmunds16.46345Az
M Davis16.45246Atl
Pollard16.24042Dal
L Murray15.84247Bal
D Harris15.65840NE
Singletary15.55048Buf
Scott15.43744Phl
Gainwell15.36049Phl
Michel15.16050LAR
Hubbard156751Car
Howard154352Phl
Moss14.85953Buf
T Johnson14.32955NYJ
R Jones13.66757TB
Breida13.360NABuf
Collins13.33358Sea
Hilliard12.350NATen
T Williams11.36759Bal
McNichols11.32260Ten

———————————————————–

WR Weekly Values

Justin Jefferson has started to return to his 2020 Fantasy level, which shows up in this week’s Weekly Values, with Jefferson up ten places to the Top Ten. Values for Best 10 are computed using data from the 2019-21 seasons but are heavily weighted for the current season to show weekly values more stylish way.

One player on high on this list is one of the reasons Efficiency Average was born. Tyler Lockett is one of those “High Risk/ High Reward” players that can hurt your team in specific formats. His Best ten is holding solid in the Top 5, but his Consistency Rating of 57% is only 41st best at WR! Lockett is the kind of guy I want in Best Ball format but not in 1 Flex leagues where I prefer a little more stability to my floors values. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Adams32.7881GB
Hill30.8892KC
Kupp30.7813LAR
Evans29745TB
Lockett28.7574Sea
Godwin26.7786TB
Thielan26.2648Min
Diggs26.1817Buf
J Chase25.8909Cin
Jefferson25.77621Min
Cooper25.47011Dal
Hopkins25.38212AZ
AJ Brown256315Ten
Samuel24.87210SF
McLaurin24.76913Was
An Brown24.58314TB
K Allen248516LAC
M Williams23.74917LAC
Ridley23.58422Atl
M Jones23.15420Jax
Metcalf237423Sea
Lamb236818Dal
M Brown22.75424Bal
D Johnson21.87132Pit
J Jones21.47427Ten
DJ Moore21.47025Car
Crowder21.45435NYJ
Fuller21.36228Mia
B Cooks21.25726Hou
E Moore21.17445NYJ
D Smith21.16430Phl
Boyd21.16329Cin
Shephard20.97431NYG
Sutton20.85633Den
Sanders20.65834Buf
Beasley20.56636Buf
Robinson20.47137Chi
Waddle20.26438Mia
Landry19.86542Cle
Aiyuk19.65747SF
C Davis19.64339NYJ
Parker19.57740Mia
Golladay19.47341NYG
Pittman19.34243Ind
Kirk195844AZ
R Moore18.74448AZ
Claypool18.56146Pit
Slayton17.84649NYG
Agholor17.83652NE
Toney17.74353NYG
Renfrow17.25351LV
Higgins17.17350Cin
Mooney174455Chi
Peoples-Jones174354Cle
Cobb16.73756GB
Hilton16.64857Ind
Beckham16.56158Lar
Anderson16.55159Car
Jeudy16.35861Den
Green16.35760AZ
Pascal16.13163Ind
Gage15.85262Atl
Carter15.350NAWas
Callaway153665NO
Patrick14.94866Den
Meyers14.84567NE
Harris14.38668NO
Jefferson14.23170LAR
Hardman145271KC
Swain143872Sea
G Davis13.95069Buf
Lazard13.73075GB
Raymond13.72964Det
Shenaut13.34873Jax
T Marshall13.3077Car
Edwards13.23974LV
ASB123879Det
Watkins11.93878Bal
Higgins11.93380Cle
T Smith11.73281NO
Robinson112782KC
Reagor10.62183Phl

———————————————————–

Weekly Values Before Week 12 TE Weekly Values

Every pre-season, we see many projections on who will be the next Elite TE in Fantasy Football, but after 11 weeks of the 2021 season, the answer to the question “How Many Elite TEs exist in Fantasy Football” is “Just Two.” Travis Kelce and Darren Waller have a definite advantage over the third-best TE this season, easily Mark Andrews.

Andrews was forecast to be the highest-rated TE above his ADP before the season, and he has not disappointed. This issue will come as no surprise, but even among the Top TEs, this position is not very consistent from week to week, except Travis Kelce, who is the only sure thing week in and week out with an 88% Consistency Rating. Only three players at this position are over 70% in Consistency! Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Waller24.3711LV
Kelce23.6882KC
Andrews21.1653Bal
Kittle20.1724SF
Gesecki19.3405Mia
Ertz19.1479AZ
Hockenson18477Det
Fant18348Den
Pitts17.6406Atl
Higbee16.83411LAR
Gronk16.36310TB
Schultz15.94212Dal
Friermuth15.76314Pit
Seals-Jones15.76313WAS
Goedert15.54715PHL
Henry15.16018NE
J Cook14.96416LAC
Hooper14.94619Cle
Uzomah14.13217Cin
Engram13.84721NYG
Knox13.62723Buf
J Smith13.43822NE
Njoku12.42425Cle
Arnold12.34120Jax
Hurst12.33527Atl
Everett12.13626Sea
Allie-Cox12.12028Ind
Conklin122324Min
Howard11.73029TB
Dissly10.52330Sea
Kmet10.41531Chi
Doyle101632Ind

———————————————————–

Putting Weekly Values to Work for Your Team

Each week on Twitter (Follow me @DMICmedia), I am amazed at how many players chase points instead of Consistency and Volume. If a player has a Consistency Value of over 70%, he is an automatic start each week. Since the data is compiled over more than one season, a player who has a rating of over 70% has been good against bad matchups in the past.

We can also trust coaches to game plan their studs to get the ball. The lower a player’s Consistency Rating and the bigger the spread in Best 10, the more you SHOULD be playing matchups. The best Matchup Data in the Fantasy Football world comes from the Fantasy Professor, John Bush, here at Fake Pig Skin. Best of luck this week, and look for more information on my new statistical tool, “Efficiency Average,” soon.

TRENDING
GET UPDATES

Stay up to date with the latest
Fake Pigskin fantasy news,
updates and exclusive offers!