Week 10’s winning lineup used a Murray/Hopkins stack with a Beasley runback. As a MME lineup maker myself, I have had the realization of wanting to find games with high totals and cycle these runback stacks through a core group of plays. IE Murray/Hopkins/Beasley, Murray/Kirk/Brown etc. With only 6 teams projected over 26 points in Week 11, this may be another low scoring slate though. My focus is on PIT, LAC and MIN offenses here. Anyway…Let’s dig in!
*DISCLAIMER: all metrics being referred to are based on this week’s DK main slate of games unless otherwise specified. Also, all projected ownership is based upon Rotogrinders LineupHQ.
QB
Ben Roethlisberger, $6700, Pittsburgh Steelers
8.3% projected ownership
Ben is coming off back to back 300/3+TD outings against the likes of the Cowboys and Bengals. He’s having no issue picking apart bad defenses and that’s perfectly fine because this week, he looks to take on a Jacksonville squad who ranks dead last in pass DVOA. Over the last 4 games, no team allows more fantasy points to opposing QBs than the Jags. While I will have some exposure to Conner, the Steelers rank 25th in RB FPts earned in 2020. With the highest implied total on the slate (28.25), we have a good idea from where these points will be scored.
Chalk QB:
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Hill , Jackson
Also Consider:
Cousins, Herbert, Alex Smith, Hill/Winston, Ryan
Let’s Get Weird QB:
Stafford, Bridgewater
RB
Alvin Kamara, $9200, New Orleans Saints
11.2% projected ownership
Kamara returned to practice Friday, after missing sessions earlier this week. This is good news for new signal caller, Taysom Hill, who looks to see his first snaps as a starting QB in the NFL this Sunday. With Hill’s skill set, it’s not hard to imagine a situation where we see a lot of read option play calls to open up the run game. On paper the matchup is less optimal, as the Falcons are 6th best in DKPt allowed to opposing rushers. However, by rostering Kamara in this spot over Cook, you’re essentially gaining leverage over 30% of the field at the same salary.
Chalk RB:
Cook, Ballage (so 2020), Davis
Also Consider:
Henry, Sanders, Conner
Let’s Get Weird RB:
Murray, Hines
WR
Juju Smith-Schuster, $6400, Pittsburgh Steelers
6.2% projected ownership
As you’d expect, Diontae Johnson’s ownership is almost double that of Juju after a 6/116/1 gem against Cincy last week. Going back to the well with Smith-Schuster could pay off though in this exploitable matchup against the Jags. For all the reasons stated above for my interest in Big Ben remain here: huge total, bad defense and low ownership. Over the last 4 weeks, Juju leads the team in Target MS (24.1% gm/avg), targets (42) and receptions (31). Over this same period, no team earns more FPt for the position than the Steelers. While rostering Conner is interesting because of the touches in the backfield, I’m more interested in rostering these receivers for a team that seems to have been content in abandoning the run game altogether.
Chalk WR:
McLaurin, Allen, Jefferson
Also Consider:
Julio Jones, Hollywood Brown, Marvin Jones, Diontae Johnson
Let’s Get Weird WR:
Chase Claypool
TE:
Hunter Henry, $4600, Los Angeles Chargers
5.5% projected ownership
With Kelce and Waller off the main slate, it truly is a free for all at the position. No player is priced above $5000, so it’s not hard to fit in who you like. Henry stood out to me because of his relatively light ownership in this spot and the huge total. Everyone seems to be flocking to Andrews, but Henry actually has more targets and receptions this season. Keep in mind that the Chargers have a 28-point implied total and the visiting Jets rank dead last in pass DVOA and you should be counting stacks Sunday night. Giddyup!
Chalk TE:
Goedert, Andrews
Also Consider:
Hurst, Ebron
DST:
PIT, LAC, MIA, CLE, WAS
(My preference in that order)
