Week 11 Thursday Night Fight.
Week 11 Thursday Night Fight. This report uses Vegas/Defense Against the Positions (DAPs) Metrics, Rankins (0 to 100), and Uncertainty (High, Avg, or Low). Look for Highly Ranked Low UNC players in the right DAP environment.
Vegas Week 11 Thursday Night Fight.
Vegas Says it’s a very high scoring game 57/58 ish total points. The line is a 3 point difference with SEA the expected winner over ARI. That is a bold pick, and I would be cautious. It’s a Thursday night clash, and historically, Thursday games can be tricky. I would fade for weekly DFS. Showdowns should be light in investments!
Defense against the position (DAPS)
Week 11 Thursday Night Fight. The Defense Against the Position (DAPS) metrics for this game are shown below. High Numbers (above 50) suggest an Easy situation for that position vs. Lower Numbers (below 50) suggests a Tough defense to that position.
The figure below highlights the “hot spots” for each team. These positions are the short rule of thumb for DFS and lineups for this week.
SEA vs ARI gets +69/100 Overall (Easy).
Note +41 RB DAP – Caution on SEA RBs. HYDE could be a trap play. Hyde is an average UNC play at 49 also Collins (back to practice squad?) is at 37 low UNC. Thus we have RBBC ish potential and going against a tougher RB DAP environment.
QB, WR, and TE get 77, 80, and 69 DAPs. Wilson faces a nice passing environment and is ranked at 85 but average UNC. He has had a little rough time recently and is playing an away game. SEA on average is 10% less efficient in away games this year.
Metcalf is the WR1 and ranked at 99 low UNC. He should do well tonight. Lockett plays but has been banged up recently questionable but Coach implies it’s a go tonight. I thus rank him at an 85 High UNC situation. Moore is a potential DFS play if Locket is out and I have acquired Moore in the leagues where I have Locket.
The SEA TEs have scored but it’s been a mixed group but last week Olsen had 48 snaps vs Dissly at 24 snaps. Gamble plays for either but the TEs have a nice +69 DAP. DFS showdown?
ARI gets a very easy situation +115/100. Hence the Very High Scoring Predictions.
Drake/Edmonds get an average DAP at 56. I expect more passing as it favored vs SEA defense. I have Drake at 70 Low UNC and Edmonds at 61 AVG UNC. They cancel each other out. They snapped at 36 and 38 last week. Tricky RBBC situation and cuts value. Caution
Murray gets the easiest DAP of 110/100. Sweet. I play him all around in DFS cash and tournament (too much ownership?). I ranked him at 100 Low UNC.
His WRs get to collect scores tonight vas 130 WR DAP. Sweet. DHOP is ranked at 118 but AVG UNC, Kirk is at 71 Avg UNC, Fitz or Isabella could also score and maybe secret DFS showdown plays. SNAPS of 70 66 54 11 were last week’s SNAPs for DHOP/FITZ/KIRK/ISA.
SEA is giving at 43 TE DAP and ARI has not used their TEs a lot so it may be a pass. But last week Arnold 22 AVG UNC did get a little action. DEEP DEEP play!