It’s time for the CFB DFS townhall that everyone wants to see! As always, I focus on DraftKings targets each week here on Fake Pigskin. My goal is to identify three to four low-cost/reasonable floor targets as foundational pieces for all my lineups.
This way, you start by boosting your remaining price per player in the range to roster as many high floor/high upside guys who we all anticipate substantial statistical output from.
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Here are the Vegas odds (favorites in bold) for the 11 games included in the Saturday afternoon DK contest:
|CLEM@GT 12:00PM ET|||27|||64|
|MISS@ARK 3:30PM ET|||1|||76.5|
|UCF@MEM 3:30PM ET|||2.5|||75|
|[email protected]WVU 12:00PM ET|||22.5|||49|
|[email protected]MIA 12:00PM ET|||13|||47.5|
|[email protected]ND 2:30PM ET|||17|||62.5|
|AUB@SCAR 12:00PM ET|||3|||52.5|
|TA&M@MSST 4:00PM ET|||5|||55.5|
|UV@WAKE 4:00PM ET|||2.5|||58|
|[email protected]TENN 12:00PM ET|||6.5|||45.5|
|[email protected]NCST 3:30PM ET|||4.5|||60|
For example, I am not going to come at you with hot suggestions like a Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne stack. What I will do is point out that rostering the expensive duo will leave your average remaining price per player at $5,400. This is the price range I will focus on each week. Before every game is canceled, let’s start this week’s road to CFB DFS immortality!
Porter Rooks | WR | NC State $3,800
My weekly CFB DFS journey always begins with identifying 2-3 low price/decent floor/reasonable upside profiles to build all my lineups with. Over the past two games with new starter Devin Leary at quarterback, this redshirt freshman has back-to-back three catch performances. He also had a touchdown catch overturned in their dub over Virginia last week.
A little reading on the google suggests there is some recent buzz about Rooks in the Wolfpack program right now, and anyone who fielded offers from Alabama and Auburn probably should warrant such attention. In my speculative opinion, he has clearly earned a role in the offense moving forward enough that he’ll be bagel proof on the box score, with reasonable upside.
Is it Jordan Addison like upside? Doubtful. As opposed to Pitt, the Wolfpack have two established veterans in wide receiver Emeka Emezie and tight end Cary Angeline (also both solid value this week) that will likely serve as the top options in the passing game week to week. But, I don’t need seven catches. I just need Rooks to continue to do what he’s done over the past couple of games and it’ll be exactly what I need from someone at this price.
As I’ve mentioned before this season, Tennessee’s Jalin Hyatt is a big play waiting to happen. Mississippi State’s Malik Heath should probably be closer to the mid 4k price range. And, my truther campaign for Georgia Tech’s Jalen Camp has rolled into mid October.
Additionally, Clemson’s Joseph Ngata is expected to return from an injury this week. Many think he is a future star at wideout for the Tigers. Based on playing time thus far, him and Frank Ladson Jr. would be the logical options to have random big games here and there. See Alabama’s John Metchie III‘s Week 5 performance for reference. All of these players mentioned are my favorite building block pieces Saturday for one reason or another.
CFB DFS Podcast
For my expanded thoughts on this slate, listen to my CFB DFS podcast below where I go through every game on the board. It is also available on every major podcast platform. Please share with anyone you think may be interested. Also, don’t forget to leave a review and subscribe. Enjoy!
Fading Quarterback Chalk
Another part of my quest every week is to look for value at the quarterback position. I haven’t decided if I am willing to take another ride on the Jeff Sims rollercoaster, but the price is good enough that, if he manages just 20 DK points, it’d be a win.
My other 7k and under options of intrigue at this position would be whoever starts for Virginia against Wake Forest and NC State’s Devin Leary. If he can top 30 DK points on the road against Pitt’s defense, I’ll gladly invest $6,300 in Leary at home against the putrid Blue Devils.
If had to choose between the top guys, I’d take either quarterback in the Memphis/UCF matchup over anyone else above the 7k price tag.
Chalk I Can’t Live Without
Of course, the reason I typically look to cut at receiver and quarterback is that I want all the monster running backs my thumbs can handle. For example, if I start a lineup by first adding Rooks and Heath at receiver, the average price remaining per player gets in the range where I find myself saying “Hey Kyren, Travis, and Leddie–wanna all hang out together Saturday?” They do. They absolutely do.
Good luck for the CFB DFS Week 7 day slate! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed.