CFB DFS Week 6 Preview – Day and Night Slate

The CFB DFS season is officially into the fall season! That means a couple of things. One: Living in Michigan, I’ll rarely see the sun for the next 4-5 months. And two: For the most part, player usage and offensive identities are becoming more clear across the college football landscape. Last week, proved to be a solid bounce back with Jaquarii Roberson’s productive day, and Jahleel Billingsley returning decent value at his very low price.

Lineup Construction

Selections like those at the reciever position is typically where I gravitate each week. In college and pro, I always will attempt to stream quarterbacks and dig down at wideout targeting players in friendly matchups. This way, I can roster up to four of the top running backs in the same lineup that all have potential for monster weeks. And, already have the much safer floors because of their guaranteed volume. For example, this week I know I want Bijan Robinson, TreVeyon Henderson, and Leddie Brown everywhere. Depending on what I do at quarterback, I could also roster Tiyon Evans or Tyler Goodson to make it four stud running backs in one lineup.

It doesn’t mean it’ll work. But, the wide receiver/tight end slot is much deeper in CFB DFS week to week. Specifically this week, after the top 7-8 running backs, there are only a few guys I would consider playing at that position. Whether it be potential game flow risk, committee issues, overall role uncertainty, or a just a bad matchup (see Tank Bigsby), too many boxes remain unchecked when I look past the top tier. Unless I can find a clear price error like Nebraska’s Rahmir Johnson a couple of weeks ago, generally I’ll be paying up at running back and looking to cut elsewhere.

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THIS WEEK

As always, I focus on DraftKings targets each week here on Fake Pigskin. My goal is to identify three to four low-cost/reasonable floor targets as foundational pieces for all my lineups.

This way, you start by boosting your remaining price per player in the range to roster as many high floor/high upside guys who we all anticipate substantial statistical output from.

HERE ARE THE VEGAS ODDS (FAVORITES IN BOLD) FOR THE 12 GAMES INCLUDED IN THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON DK CONTEST:

Game InfoLineTotal
[email protected]MISS 12:00PM ET|6|66
[email protected]UL 3:00PM ET|2.5|69.5
[email protected]OSU 12:00PM ET|21|69.5
OU@UT 12:00PM ET|3|63.5
MSU@RU 12:00PM ET|5|50
[email protected]BYU 3:30PM ET|5|55
[email protected]TENN 12:00PM ET|10.5|56.5
WAKE@SYR 3:30PM ET|6.5|57.5
[email protected]IOWA 4:00PM ET|2.5|41.5
UGA@AUB 3:30PM ET|14.5|46
WISC@IL 3:30PM ET|10|42.5
[email protected]BAY 12:00PM ET|3|44.5

For example, I am not going to come at you with hot suggestions like Malik Cunningham and Matt Corral. What I will do is point out that rostering the pricey QB duo will leave your average remaining price per player at $5,050. My objective each week will be to offer a reasonable path to affording the best players. Now, let’s get to this week’s plan for an electric CFB DFS triumph!

Justin Marshall | WR | $3,400 Louisville

I might as well copy/paste everything I wrote about Jahleel Billingsley last week. Many already thought Marshall was a potential breakout receiver for the Cardinals heading into this season. The departures of highly productive wideouts Tutu Atwell and Dez Fitzpatrick to the pros left a YUGE hole to fill at the position. This junior and Braden Smith were the logical options to fill the void. Now, with Smith also gone for the season due to injury, guys like Marshall and Jordan Watkins should have all the opportunity they could ask for.

Over his last three games he’s hauled in 3-4 grabs each time so a bagel proof floor is absolutely there. But, in this game with an outstanding Vegas projection and competent quarterback play, Marshall could have an upside higher than the amount of times I’ve seen Ordinary Joe promos during football games over the last month. And, that is saying something. Similar to Billingsley last week, I think a 4-5 catch, 50ish yard floor is safe with a legit ceiling for more in a game that should have tons of offense. In this range, Marshall is easily my top price/floor/ceiling building block Saturday afternoon.

Jaxson Smith-Njigba | WR | $5,300 Ohio State

This one is more along the lines of the Roberson selection from last week. The Buckeyes are routinely going to go for 5-6 offensive touchdowns each week against Small Ten opponents. The dynamic receiver trio of Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, and this sophomore all have the potential to notch 100 plus yards and a score in any game. As the season moves along, I expect plenty of performances like that from Smith-Njigba and the five next to his name to disappear accordingly. Take advantage while you can.

On the Terp’s side in this game, don’t forget stud receiver Dontay Demus Jr. is out for the season now. Rakim Jarrett and Jeshaun Jones have already proven to be productive with Demus on the field when given the opportunity. They are both worth consideration this week at very cheap prices that probably won’t last long. Also, I’d be the first person to tell you that Oklahoma’s ceiling on offense has been lowered. But, the price on Marvin Mims has now gone too far in the other direction. He should still be in the 6k range week to week. He’s definitely worth a look here in a great matchup.

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CFB DFS Day and Night Podcast Preview

For a full preview, check out my podcast below where I provide my thoughts on EVERY GAME in the slate for the afternoon AND NIGHT contest. It is also available on most major podcast platforms. Don’t forget to download, subscribe, rate, and review. Your support and feedback is greatly appreciated!

FADING QUARTERBACK CHALK

Garrett Shrader has taken over as full-time QB1 for Syracuse. In two starts, the dual threat quarterback has five rushing touchdowns and put up a monster 43.7 DK points last week against Florida State. While I doubt we ever see that blow up game again from him, I think 20-25 points against a Wake defense that just allowed 522 total yards of offense to Louisville is a reasonable expectation. If I paydown at this position, Shrader with his rushing stats upside is my favorite choice for this board.

CHALK I CAN’T LIVE WITHOUT

My penchant for rostering stud running backs with juicy matchups will not be denied this week. As mentioned toward the beginning, Bijan Robinson, TreVeyon Henderson, and Leddie Brown will be everywhere in my LUs Saturday. They all check every box on paper. In the case of Brown, his price will likely be north of 7k where it belongs soon so I feel like we’re getting him on the cheap here for at least one more CFB DFS week.

Good luck in Week 6! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are always welcomed.

TRENDING
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