Time to Shine or Ride the Pine: Week 5 Start or Sit

Week 4 was a roller coaster of emotions with Covid scares, amazing offensive feats, and Holy CRAP, the Cowboy’s defense is horrendous. We saw Tom Brady throw 5 tds, and Dak put up 500+ putting him on pace for over 6,000 passing yards. Josh Allen solidified his MVP candidacy and Joe Burrow threw for 300+ yards for the third consecutive game. All this offense throughout the league made my starts that much more offensive.

A.J. Green is a shell of his former self as he had 1 catch for 3 yards, and now firmly behind Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins on the pecking order. Another WR, Brandin Cooks put up a giant Bagel in the first game Deshaun Watson hit 300 passing yards this season. And it was the least likely to perform, O.J. Howard who found the end zone and looked the part. That was until sadly rupturing his achilles late in the game. My SITS however keep hitting as AP did little besides his score, Jimmy Graham and Chicago were terrible, and Darrius Slayton was shut down in LA. Who will put up surprising numbers this week? Here is Week 5 Start or Sit.

Time to Shine

Tee Higgins (Cin@Bal 1pm est)

Lets try a different Bengals receiver to try and earn my stripes back. Tee Higgins has burst onto the scene over the last 2 weeks with 2 Tds in Week 3 and 77 yards last Sunday. He saw a slight decrease in playing time last week but that was in a game controlled on the ground and won by Cincy 33-25. The Bengals will not be winning this Sunday, and Joe Burrow should approach around 45-50 pass attempts in this one. The sheer volume in this passing game should be enough to provide a decent floor for most (apparently not A.J. Green) Cincinnati receivers in Week 5.

Their opponent this week is the Baltimore Ravens who have allowed three straight QBs to go over 275 passing yards. They have also allowed at least one receiver to surpass 80 receiving yards in those three games. The Ravens will be winning early, leading Cincinnati to air it out. Higgins and Burrow has developed a nice rapport, and it should continue this week while playing from behind.

Prediction: 6 rec 82 yards 1 TD: 17.2 pts

David Johnson (Jax@Hou 1pm est)

Ding dong the BOB is gone, the BOB is gone. The Houston Texans have parted ways with the mastermind behind their demise, finally, and I think some brighter days are ahead. O’Brien proved over and over again that he was incapable of utilizing his talent to the best of their abilities. Not that Romeo Crennel has a better reputation, but his history in makes me believe a more traditional running game and sticktoitiveness to the rushing attack is coming. Their opportunity to gain momentum starts in Week 5 against the Jaguars. 

Jacksonville just got torched by Joe Mixon and he found the end zone times 3. If Houston wants to prolong Watson’s shelf life, they better start leaning on the run more with DJ. I’m not saying he’ll run for over 100 or put up 150 all-purpose yards, but he should become more involved in protecting Deshaun, and especially in the red zone. We were burned by another Texans player as mentioned in prelude, but I’ll give them one more shot. The Texans are a touchdown favorite and with both defenses struggling, we might see both move the ball up and down field. DJ isn’t the same guy anymore but this is their easiest test yet.

Prediction: 15 car 73 yards 1 TD, 3 rec 18 yards: 16.6 pts

Devonta Freeman (NYG@Dal 4:25pm est)

My oh my, have I reached a new level of desperation with this play but the matchup sets up for a nice day. Freeman has already jumped Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis seeing 37 of the Giants 68 offensive snaps, with 15 touches. Devonta isn’t the same guy we saw in Atlanta, but his role will continue to increase. With this comes the most important factor for RB’s in fantasy, TOUCHES. New York will need him and the ground game if they have any chance of hanging with Dallas. 

The Cowboys have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL, but as seen last week, and in one of, if not the worst defense as well. They were absolutely pounded (haha) by Cleveland, surrendering over 300 yards and 3 TDs on the ground. They did score 30+ for the third straight game and will look to distance themselves early in this one. Freeman’s increasing playing time and receiving ability make him a great bet to post solid numbers in Week 5. He won’t deliver those big plays that once graced his legs, but touches are king in fantasy and the matchup is great. He’ll be the safety valve for Danny Di… “Pennies” this week and this Cowboys defense is just too good of matchup to pass up.

Prediction: 14 car 49 yards 1 TD, 5 rec 23 yards: 15.7 pts

Ride the Pine

Terry McLaurin (LAR@WFT 1pm est)

F1 has clearly evolved into a stud and basically matchup proof now. Having posted 5 or more receptions, 80+ yards, or a TD in every game this season, sitting McLaurin seems almost unfathomable. The Rams know how dynamic this 2nd year receiver is and I’m betting they’ll deploy All-Pro corner Jalen Ramsey to shadow him all game. The WFT is also making a change at QB, turning to Kyle Allen this week. I love Terry but the Rams will do everything to keep Washington’s only outside threat in check.

Prediction: 5 rec 63 yards: 8.8 pts

Dolphins RB’s (Mia@SF 4:05pm est)

The Miami backfield has been a rotating Pod of Dolphins so far in 2020. Entering the year, it was expected that Jordan Howard would be the lead dog, with Matt Brieda as the relief. We quickly found out however, it was actually Myles Gaskin who would lead the pack and become one of the first hot waiver adds. This situation has been a difficult one to predict and has yet to produce a single legitimate RB1 performance. Now they face the number 1 defense against RBs on a fantasy points/game basis, in San Francisco.

The 49ers are allowing a league low 11 fpts/gm to RB’s and have only surrendered 2 total touchdowns to the position. San Fran is coming off an embarrassing loss on Monday night against Philadelphia and is looking to take out their frustrations on the Dolphins. You might think Gaskin and or Brieda offer some potential upside in this game while trailing but the 49ers have limited backs to just 13 receptions for 85 yards. Avoid this Pod of running backs like sharks avoid Dolphins.

Prediction: Nobody over 50 rush or 30 receiving yards w/ NO TD’s

John Kuntz/cleveland.com
Odell Beckham Jr. (Ind@Cle 4:25pm est)

OBJ had himself a day last week against my sorry Cowboys’ defense. He scorched my Boyz for 81 yards and 2 TDs through the air with an additional 73 and a touchdown on the ground. He stole the show in a game where the Browns plowed their way to a win seeing Baker Mayfield only throw for 165 yards. Now, Baker and Odell face the NFL’s leading pass defense and one depleted at linebacker, in the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts have held 3 of 4 opponents to 151 or fewer passing yards, while also having 2 more interceptions (7) to TDs allowed (5) in 2020. Mayfield hasn’t topped 219 yards so far and Odell hasn’t put together two consecutive good/big games since weeks 1-2 of last year. Facing the toughest passing D in the NFL and a team also hell bent on running the ball, avoid this passing game. I see a slobberknocker, not a show stopper in Cleveland.

Prediction: 4 rec 51 yards: 7.1 pts

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