With Week 1 in the rear view, let’s take what we learned from one week of NFL action to our advantage. 8 teams are projected to score over 25 points on the main slate, with 6 teams as at least touchdown favorites. There should be plenty of scoring again for this Sunday’s main slate. Let’s dig in!
*DISCLAIMER: all metrics being referred to are based on this week’s DK main slate of games unless otherwise specified. Also, all projected ownership is based upon Rotogrinders LineupHQ.
Dak Prescott | $6800 | Dallas Cowboys
10% projected ownership
Dallas came up a bit flat Sunday during their visit to take on the LA Rams. However, sledding just got a lot easier for Dak and company for Week 2 as they host the Falcons. Vegas is expecting some points to be scored as Dallas’ team total is currently 29 (slate high).
A season ago, ATL ranked 7th worst against the QB position and things are looking all too familiar after just one week of action. According to Player Profiler’s Production Premium metric, Dak ranks first in this metric, which calculates situation-agnostic efficiency. Add in three bottom-ranked Falcons’ top defenders in the dome and you have yourself a stud at the position.
Chalk QB: Jackson
Also Consider: Trubisky, Ryan, Allen, Rodgers, Minshew, Cousins, Darnold (yolo)
Cam Akers | $4500 | Los Angeles Rams
.1% projected ownership
These types of conviction plays are why I enjoy writing these articles. Per Alex Rollins, “Akers faced 8+ man boxes the second highest in the league at 42.86%, while Malcolm Brown got the same treatment just 16.67% of the time.”
I’d expect McVay to get the rookie more eased in here with his second professional game and hopefully see less stacked boxes. It’s a sneaky good spot for the Rams, as I think the Eagles defense can be had from time to time. Just last week, this same team gave up 2 rushing TDs to Peyton Barber. My projection model expects a 30 DKPt ceiling possible from the rookie.
Ronald Jones | $5200 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9.4% projected ownership
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Week 2 and it’s time to go back to the well, attacking the funnel defense that is the Carolina Panthers. It seems the public has warmed up to the idea of attacking the Panthers on the ground, as ROJO’s projected ownership has since doubled throughout the week (and for good reason).
In 2019, the Panthers gave up a league high 31.9 DKPt to opposing running backs and this trend looks to be continuing into the new season. With Godwin and Evans both banged up, I’m expecting Brady and the Bucs to take the path of least resistance Sunday and rely on Jones.
Chalk RB: Zeke, Henry, Taylor
Also Consider: Robinson, CMC
Allen Robinson | $6400 | Chicago Bears
5.3% projected ownership
Part of winning a large field GPP is finding low-owned target hogs in good situations. The Giants are in a sneaky spot to attack, considering they were bottom 5 against the position last season and just gave up 53.7 DKPts to the Steelers. Robinson will get all snaps he can handle across from Corey Ballentine who ranks 72nd/84 ranked dbs over at PFF.
Chalk WR: Cooper, Adams, Lamb, Hollywood Brown
Also Consider: Jeudy, Perriman, Watkins
Hunter Henry | $5100 | Los Angeles Chargers
13% projected ownership
The tight end position is a wasteland in Week 2. There seems to be a bit of a bright spot here in rostering Hunter Henry, however.
In a game where the Chargers are expected to be playing from behind, Henry should get some high percentage targets to move the chains. Going back to 2019, the Chiefs were the 7th best matchup against the position.
Chalk: Andrews, Kelce, Thomas
Also Consider: Herndon
CHI, BUF, SF, TB, KC
(My preference in that order)