NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

NFC SOUTH_NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. This article focuses on three tables and their analysis.

  1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels
  2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages
  3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs. the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below.

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This Table includes:

  • Team
  • Bye Week
  • Position Rankings
  • Position
  • Overall Name
  • Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
  • Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

The DST and Kicker are ranked high and are draft-able in 2020. I rate the DST at 10th and represent an excellent late DST play. Lutz is a highly ranked play at K3, and given the past NO offense, he should produce plenty of FP.

QB and RB

Brees came back to try to get another Superbowl win before retiring. He has the players around him. I rank him QB 9th with low uncertainty because the NO has been a rush forward team on occasion, and given the DST, they may be running out the clock a lot in 2020, leading to lower FPs.

On the other hand, the RBs for Kamara and Murray produced in 2019 and are excellent targets in 2020 as they have been an excellent tandem. Kamara is RB5 ranked, and Murray is at RB42 with injury/red-zone upside into the 30s level for RB. Both have low uncertainty as well. All of these aspects are positives for 2020.

TE and WR

Cook the TE was a pleasant 2019 surprise, and clearly, he is on Brees’ mind in the red-zone and short-yardage situations. I rank him at TE 10th with uncertainty as he is not the top option. Clear late TE player for an excellent 2020 player.

The WRs are Thomas at WR1 with low uncertainty and others. Interestingly, NO brought in Sanders as the 2019 WRs other than Thomas did not produce. Sanders will be a suitable WR2 type ranked at WR with uncertainty, however. Smith is listed at WR 89th and is not a robust WR3 type. I expect that Brees should be passing to Thomas or Kamara first, then Cook and or Sanders as the pecking order for 2020.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This Table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs. last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. In 2019 the NO team was a play away for moving forward to the Superbowl. Brees is back, and he was by FP/G the 4th/5th QB for the 2019 season. Nothing suggests otherwise for 2020. Interestingly the RBs were down by -6.5% at a 4-year low, and if NO has Brees for the entire season, I predict the RB will improve but not to 2017 levels but more to 2018 levels.

Cook the TE brought TE back to a 4-year higher by +5.6% usage improvement. I expect this to continue. Thomas was the WR show, but the NO brought in E Sanders to add an excellent weapon. Thomas should get his but not to 2020 levels but at 320 FP 2018 levels leaving Sanders to collect his FP at a WR3 level? QB/TE Tops with RB bottom.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

This Table contains:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2015 to 2019 Targets Per Game
  • 5 Year Average of Targets Per Game
  • %2019 Usages in Targeting
  • % 5-Year Positional Usage Average
  • DIFF 2019 vs. 5-Year Average of Team Positional Usages

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. Overall Comments. Firstly, in 2019 season for NO had an uptick in RB Target/Game by 1% and the TE position by an increase of 8%. The current RBs are Alvin Kamara RB5, and Latavius Murray RB42 and both are in play with a team usage of near 30%. RBs, targeting in 2020, are predicted to be nearly the same. Murray can be a value at the right price.

Next, the TE in 2019 and 2020 is Jared Cook TE10. He achieved a T/G at a whopping 37%, and thus Cook has some upside still at the TE10 ADP pick. He could hit the top 5 in 2020. Collect the bargain in 2020.

Finally, in 2019 the WR declined by -9% in T/G because on Thomas, the WR was the only one used. NO lost the stable two and 3rd WR type positions. The NO WRs are Michael Thomas WR1, Emmanuel Sanders WR47, and Tre’Quan Smith WR89. Note the 2019 WR use of 33% is poor for NO, and I am not convinced that Sanders or Smith are in play for 2020.

NO T

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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