NASCAR Best Bets – Dixie Vodka 400

This week NASCAR rolls into Homestead-Miami Speedway for the  Dixie Vodka 400. This is the second race of the week for NASCAR as they try to catch up form the shut down and try to earn extra viewers.

Wednesday was a successful race for me and this column as Martin Truex (winner) and Ryan Blaney (2nd) both made the column. This week three drivers are grabbing my attention.

Who am I targeting for my NASCAR best bets?

Betting odds courtesy DraftKings Sportsbook. Driver stats courtesy Driver Averages and Racing Reference.

Joey Logano – Win (9/1)

Joey Logano got back on track Wednesday at Martinsville leading 234 of the 500 laps. He won the first stage of the race and could have easily led the second. Bettors who backed him to win or finish Top-3 must have been frustrated as he ended up finishing 4th.

Logano looks to keep the improved success as he heads to Miami, a track where he has found success in the past. Over the last six races at Homestead, he has a win, four Top-5 and five Top-10 finishes. Logano has led the 5th most laps over that span.

I’m happy to back Logano at 9/1 especially when you consider the other drivers who have as much success as Logano are priced in the +400 to +500 range.

Clint Bowyer – Top-3 (8/1)

I’m going back to the Clint Bowyer well on Sunday at Homestead. While Wednesday night’s race ended with a frustrating finish for Clint Bowyer and those that backed him. He ended up finishing 17th, despite running near the front late into the race.

At Homstead-Miami Speedway, Bowyer has had success. Over his last 10 starts, he has 6 Top-10 and 2 Top-5 finishes. The last two races have both resulted in Top-10 finishes, a 6th and an 8th.

Bowyer has been showing signs that he is ready to run a complete race. I expect that to happen this week. I am targeting a Top-3 finish this Sunday which pays 8/1. When you see a number like 33/1 I don’t hate taking a shot on an outright win.

Austin Dillon – Top-10  (+240)

As tempting as the 100/1 is at DraftKings Sportsbook and believe me, I wouldn’t blame anyone who took a shot, if I’m backing Austin Dillon this week I will target a Top-10 finish.

He is starting 16th on Sunday and should be able to improve upon that. Despite starting an average of 19th in his last two trips to the track, Dillon has finished 8th and 11th. Over his six career starts at the track, he has an average finish of 13.5.

As of late Dillion’s results have been a mixed bag but include two Top-10 and five Top-20 finishes over his last six races. On Wednesday at Martinsville, Dillon had to be helped from his car due to dehydration and exhaustion.

While this is concerning, several drivers have experienced these symptoms with the new NASCAR schedule, including Bubba Wallace who suffered from exhaustion after the race at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Wallace was able to rebound for Wednesday night’s race and finish 11th.

I expect Dillion to perform well on Sunday and find a home in the Top-10 this week.

Good luck on Sunday and cash some tickets!


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