Wildcard Weekend Picks
No team is expected to score over 25 thus far, according to Vegas implied totals. CHI is interestingly 6.5 pt home favorites. SEA team total trending down .5 point while BAL trending up .5 point. It’s a small movement but it’s all we have right now. If you’re interested in winning a slate like this, you’ll have to take chances on some thin plays.
*DISCLAIMER: All metrics being referred to are based on this week’s slate of games unless otherwise specified. Also all projected ownership is based upon Rotogrinders LineupHQ.
Nick Foles 7.5% owned
Just as last year, Nick Foles has been thrust into a starting role as a dog. If you remember last year, the Eagles thrived when bet against. Amazon ran out of dog masks after their unlikely playoff run and eventual Super Bowl win. The Eagles are currently 6.5 road dogs (biggest point differential on the slate). On a 4 game slate, narratives come into play.
Mitch Trubisky 10% owned
On the other side of the ball, Trubisky gets a bottom ranked secondary as a home favorite. Game log watchers will be weary of this play as Trubisky has 5 straight appearances scoring less than 20 DK points. Trubisky is a highly volatile QB option on any slate with a massive ceiling and low floor. Allen Robinson is expected back as Trubisky’s favorite target when he’s in the lineup.
Wendell Smallwood .25% owned
Smallwood is locked in a 3-way timeshare with Josh Adams and Sproles. Since returning from injury in Week 15, Smallwood has 2 TD to Josh Adams 1. At $3300, he’s worth taking a shot if you’re maxing out any GPPs.
Zach Pascal 1% owned
If you’re unfamiliar with him, Pascal is a second year player coming out of ODU as an undrafted FA. Ryan Grant has been ruled out for this tilt with Houston and Hilton seems very hobbled as well. His receiving DVOA matchup has him top 10. Also, according to Football Outsiders, the Colts only give up sacks on 4% of drop-backs (slate best). In the last meeting with HOU, Pascal produced 6/56/1 on 10 targets.
Hopkins, Robinson, Cooper, Hilton
I’m going to play 90% Ebron on this slate and punt at the other positions. I will sprinkle in Andrews, Jarwin, Thomas, and Ertz (maybe 10% Ertz.)
BAL, DAL, HOU, CHI
Please follow me on Twitter @dookiehogue and good luck this week!