Targets Per Minute Week 3

By John Bush

Targets Per Minute Week 3

Targets Per Minute Week 3 report looks at the use of weekly target numbers by position, player, and by the team. This metric is useful in fantasy football especially in PPR scoring formats where receptions count.  The tables/graphs below provide target data for the running back, wide receiver, and tight end positions.

Green/Blue colorization of the weekly target per minute numbers highlights players at the top of the position group, i.e., many targets per minute, while red colorization of the weekly target numbers denotes players toward the bottom of the position group, i.e., fewer targets per minute of play.

Compare and contrast the data and envision this week’s game scripts by using all your resources including this one.

See my snaps report click link

snaps-per-minute-week-3-2018


Team Targets Weeks 1 to 3 with Total Targets and Team Points/Game

Many players only look at raw target player metrics and that is it. These data expand that vision via team level. Players are a product of the Team and should have that as a component of your analysis. 

Below lists the Team, Week 1 to 3 Raw Targets, Total Targets and the Team Points per Game (success level). Compare these metrics to find ascending or declining teams. This table is sorted by total targets high to low. 

High vs Lows Total Targets

PIT, DET, MIN, BAL, NO, IND, GB, PHI, and CIN are all in the top of the league in total targets. I interpret this to mean the 3rd/4th WRs etc can have value. Washington in PIT, Golladay in DET, Treadwell in MIN, etc. If you have deep benches or in high numbered leagues (14 or more teams), here are the data to assist your add/drops etc. DFS also may use this data.

MIA, TEN, ARI, SF, DAL and BUF are at the bottom and should give you concerns and caution. Maybe some drop candidates here to shift to the high targeting teams in PPR!

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide1


This graph below compares the Points per Game vs Total Targets. Landscape view to “see” the bigger picture.  PIT high targets lower Points/G as is IND, GB, PHI, and CIN. What are the issues on those teams? 

MIA has low targets but nice point per game. DAL is ok as well. Focus your attention. 

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide2


Team Level Avg of Targets Per Min

A player plays with a team and I wished to use figures and graphs to frame the weeks 1/2/3 data from each team.  

I annotated the Team groups by color (Green/Blue High Targets per Min) to Red (Low Targets per Min). This data does not seem to correlate exactly to Points Per Game scored but give you a view of the Team’s attempts to develop a game flow. DFS/Lineups can be supplemented by these data. 

I also include the Average Points Scored Per Game Metric (P/G) and a league scaled Metric of Targets per Min (TPM) to view levels of success. 

Tops in TPM

MIN is the total package here with a lot of points/game and top targeting speed in the league in the first 3 weeks. Note MIN was 3rd in total targets (previous data) but not is at the top. Better than thought excluding the BUF game but the MIN speed was even higher in that losing effort. Theilen did well for Fantasy.

ARI Fast but poor in points/game as is PIT and IND. DET and NO are like MIN high TPM and Points. LAR looks good as well.

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide4


The landscape view sees across the league. I assume more targets per minute of team play is an overall advantage to pass catchers and QBs.  Efficiency is not noted in these metrics though but can be inferred by comparing the Points/Game (Red Line). 

The landscape clarifies the Teams both fast and slow in TPM and solid points per game.

FAST TPM – MIN, DET, NO, LAR, TB, and LAC 

SLOW TPM – BAL, MIA, CHI, and DAL.

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Thus this data needs to be placed into context but looking it invites further investigation into the reasons for the team targets per min speed! 

Note CAR, CIN, NYG, GB, OAK, NYJ, and SF have below average points per game. Watch for increases. COncern at SF as it was already out the edge and now a new QB. I might sell high on SF players if the opportunity occurs.  


Targets Per Minute Team Positional Analysis

Color-coded Average Targets per Minute. Just Scan the team’s landscapes to fine tune your analysis. I present the TPM for each week by team and position. I follow it with a graph that gives a landscape view of Week 3 vs the preceding weeks positional TPM. 

Week 3 Diff

I have color coded Avg of Targets per Min as well as Team Week 3 Diff vs weeks 1 and 2 Usages in Targets per Min. These metrics give a deeper taste of each teams offensive patterns last week. This only gets better into the season so come back! 

These metrics are based on weeks 1 to 3 averages for each team’s positions. I then determine team usages for each position. Finally, I placed in the context that the team’s usage numbers as compared to the league average for each position. 

The Week 3 Diff if highly positive (Blue) indicated this team is using that position in passing much more than the league as a whole in week 3 vs the first 2 weeks (improvements). This Metric I invented gives a landscape view of each team’s passing. 


Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide7Slide8Slide9

  • BAL WRs TPM High
  • CAR RBs TPM LOW
  • CIN RBs TPM High (Bernard !) 
  • CLE WRs TPM High

Neat data. No one is doing this type of view. Pundits squawk but the Professor’s Data Talks! 


Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide10Slide11Slide12

  • DET tough week for RB and WR!  
  • KC tough at the TE
  • DAL and IND good week! 

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide13Slide14Slide15

  • LAC RB tough week 3 
  • MIN all up in Speed getting their cans kicked! 
  • NO lower on WRs
  • NYG all poor! 

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  • PHI down week 3
  • PIT Connor is back?
  • SEA down week
  • TB flashing up! 
  • TEN WRs poor week 3
  • WAS RBs so poor! 

Positional Level Usages and Avg Targets Per Min

I now focus by position to see the extreme team usages in the passing game as measured by targets per minute. TOP vs Bottom by WEEK 3 DIFF! 

Running Backs

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide20

CIN, DAL, PIT RBs up in TPM

CAR, DET and WAS down week 3


Tight Ends

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide21

IND, TB, JAX, DAL and CAR TEs up in TPM

ARI, CLE, KC, SF, and PIT down! 


Wide Receiver

Targets Per Minute Week 3 Slide22

CLE, MIN, and BAL up WRs

DET, TEN and ATL down in TPM!


Running Backs Averages of Targets per Minute Weeks 1 to 3 with Week 3 DIFF!

CJ HAM and BOOKER up last week

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Tight End Averages of Targets per Minute Week 1 to 3 with Week 3 DIFF

Swaim in DAL and MacDonald in PIT

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Wide Receiver Averages of Targets per Minute Weeks 1 to 3 with Week 3 DIFF

KIRK in ARI! Gabriel in CHI. Find Others. 

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Players by Team Average Targets Per Minute

I next wanted to give a team landscape view of players in their natural habitat. I used colorized annotations to highlight the highs and lows on each team. 

These team metrics give the view into:

  • Positional Usages
  • Positional Pecking order
  • Strengths/Weakness of a Team
  • Use in case of injury for next man up. 
  • Consult each week metrics to see Team shifts that pundits miss
  • Compare players to positional averages for reference. I suggest one position at a time to analyze. 

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PLAYERS that I found interesting from my Week 1/2 Metrics.

DFS, Lineups, Trades and Waiver Wire consideration. See X for special focus! Good Luck Week 3. 

 

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