Week 11, in my NFL Picks Against the Spread, was did not turn out how i envisioned it before the week started. The prior two weeks gave me the feeling that i had turned the corner but Week 11 was a dose of reality. Week 12 will give me an opportunity to make a strong four week stretch. It features a NFC West clash, struggling teams at home and strong defenses on the road. Tom Brady and Philip Rivers will be pressured to make big throws if they want to get a W at home.
>Season Total 21-34
>Upset Alert 3-8
Arizona Cardinals +6.5 at Seattle Seahawks
The Arizona Cardinals have played with three different quarterbacks this season, including Drew Stanton, who is in his second stint as the Cardinals starter. Despite the quarterback shuffle, the NFC’s best team sits at 9-1. They continue to produce offensively and have had a dynamic front seven. The Seahawks on the other hand haven’t been nearly the same team as last season and have a real shot of missing the playoffs entirely. The home crowd hasn’t been as strong as last year and don’t seem to effect the opposition as significantly. The Cardinals will cover this game and have shot at winning this game outright. The Seattle rush attack that drives a lot of what they do on offense, wont have the impact they need to win this game going away.
Fake Pigskin Exclusive: Join Monkey Knife Fight and Get an Instant 100% Deposit Match PLUS a Free $5 Game!
Cleveland Browns +3 at Atlanta Falcons
Some how, despite being 4-6, the Atlanta Falcons are in first place in the NFC South. That said this Falcons team is lousy with a capital L. They are unable to block anyone or get pressure on the opposing quarterback. The Browns will have the services of Josh Gordon this week, which will help Brian Hoyer improve on his less than ideal performance from a week ago. Ben Tate is gone making it the Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West show from the running back spot. The Browns will do enough, even with this game being in the Superdome to now only cover but win outright.
Detroit Lions +7 at New England Patriots
The New England Patriots have arguably been the NFL’s best team since being embarrassed on Monday Night against the Kansas City Chiefs. The offensive line has been corrected and Rob Gronkowski has been a monster. The Lions come into this game after a less than stellar showing in Arizona a week ago. While I think the Patriots win this game, I expect the Lions to keep it close. Their defense has been strong all season. They are currently the number one defense per Pro Football Focus allowing the 5th fewest passing yards and least amount of rushing yards. They will slow down last weeks breakout star Jonas Gray. Take the Lions and the 7 points.
St. Louis Rams +4.5 at San Diego Chargers
The San Diego Chargers haven’t looked good in over a month. They have been decimated by injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Rumors are swirling of a potential Phillip Rivers rib injury. The Rams have played better of late including beating the 49ers in San Francisco and Denver at home. Their defense is showing the dominance many thought it could. I expect this game to be tightly contested that is will come down to the end. I expect the Chargers to win but it wont look pretty.
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 at New Orleans Saints
Going against the New Orleans Saints at home especially a prime time game was something I would avoid doing, however this season things have changed. The Saints have not looked awesome on both sides of the ball. The Ravens come into this game with a strong team that looks primed for a playoff push. They have established a consistent run game, thanks primarily to Justin Forsett, who is on pace for over 1,000 season. The Ravens will not only cover but, also get a win in this spot.