Week 12, in my College Football Picks Against the Spread featured another exceptional 5-0 week. Week 11’s 1-4 week was a blip in what has been a strong season for my picks.
With rivalry games and conference championships approaching the College Football season is quickly coming to an end. Week 13 provides a less than riveting group of games that provide those need to put time on the list of honey do’s. Putting in quality time may allow more time to watch those Conference Championship games and Bowl Games coming.
Week 13, does feature some interesting match ups including and SEC East clash with conference championship implications, the Big Game between Cal and Stanford, and the battle for Southern California supremacy when UCLA heads to the Rose Bowl to take on USC. Notre Dame is home and looking to rebound off of two poor efforts as well.
>Season Total 35-19-2
>Upset Alert 8-6
USC Trojans +3.5 vs UCLA Bruins
UCLA is 8-2 to this point but their season has anything near as impressive as their record may indicate. After trouncing Arizona State, UCLA lost their next two games straight up and four straight against the spread. despite covering their last two games, i don’t trust the Bruins. USC rolled last week against Cal and allowed a late score and failed to cover. The PAC 12 South is up for grabs and both of these teams have a shot at representing the South in the PAC 12 Championship. That adds even more to a rivalry for Southern California dominance. While the Trojans season hasn’t gone as they had hoped, a win here and they still have a ton to play for. I expect USC to not only cover but win outright. Cody Kessler will find Nelson Agholor early and often to capture the upset.
Missouri Tigers +3.5 at Tennessee Volunteers
The Missouri Tigers have emerged in the SEC East and currently sit atop the division. Assuming they win out they will represent the East in the SEC Title game. They are on the road again this week after a big win at Kyle Field a week ago against Texas A&M. Waiting for them is a Tennessee Volunteer team that has played much better the past few weeks with a massive improvement from quarterback Josh Dobbs. Missouri will not only cover this game but win outright.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 vs Louisville Cardinals
Its been a rough stretch for the Fighting Irish including a loss on the road against Arizona State and at home against Northwestern. They will get it back on track this week with a home game against the Cardinals. Everett Golson has been plagued by the turnover bug. I expect him to play much better in this spot despite a talented Cardinal defense. The Fighting Irish defense will need to slow Louisville’s rush attack and put pressure on quarterback Will Gardner. Notre Dame will cover the 3.5 point spread in a strong rebound game.
Baylor Bears -28.5 v Oklahoma State Cowboys
Baylor has its eyes set on a spot in the final four of the College Football Playoff. Currently on the outside, looking in they will not only need to win out the rest of the way but win convincingly. It starts this week against a Oklahoma State team that continues to make me look smart. Things are ugly in Stillwater and that doesn’t change this week for the Cowboys. Baylor at home against a poor defense should cover this number and then some.
California Bears +5.5 v Stanford Cardinal
This rivalry game between California and Stanford is famous for the band on the field play that saw Cal win in the final moments. It seems no matter how the two teams had fared, the game was a competitive one that can make or break that season. Both Cal and Stanford have had seasons that provide much to be desired. Cal has played better as of late covering three of their last four games. Stanford on the other hand come into this game scuffling, losing three of four both straight up and against the spread. I expect this game to a game for Jared Goff and company to not only cover but win outright.