Eliminator Breakdown – NFL Week 6

Welcome to the sixth week of eliminator breakdown. While the Lions may not have been able to kick a field goal last week, both the Chargers and Eagles were able to take care of business at home. Hopefully we can keep this streak going into week six. Read on and feel free to comment at the bottom.

Step 1 – Avoid Division Matchups

While no division games were upsets this past weekend, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were very close to upsetting the Saints in New Orleans. These games continue to be very unpredictable and there are a lot of them this week. Do yourself a favor and avoid the below division games:

  • Indianapolis at Houston
  • Pittsburgh at Cleveland
  • New England at Buffalo
  • Jacksonville at Tennessee
  • Detroit at Minnesota
  • San Diego at Oakland
  • NY Giants at Philadelphia
  • San Francisco at St. Louis

Step 2 – Avoid Marquee Matchups

On Sunday night the Cincinnati Bengals traveled to New England as the last undefeated team standing. Everyone was picking the Bengals to win, but there was one thing people forgot to think about. Who do you trust more in primetime: Tom Brady or Andy Dalton? I’ve said it once and I’ll say it again. Some teams show up for primetime while others do not. Unless you want to take a chance I would avoid the below marquee games:

**both games this week are also division matchups giving two reasons to avoid them!

  • NY Giants at Philadelphia
  • San Francisco at St. Louis

Step 3 – Avoid Picking Against Home Field Advantage

Out of 13 matchups on Sunday, ten of them were won by the home team. When you’re not sure what to do in traditional pick’em games, go with the home team. In eliminator challenges, avoid these all together. Be aware and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Green Bay at Miami
  • Denver at NY Jets **one game where you might make an exception to this rule
  • Baltimore at Tampa Bay

Step 4 – Make your pick!

This week I am going with a team that is currently 2-0 at home against a team that is 0-2 on the road. The Washington Redskins have a very long trip on Sunday to the Arizona desert, and we all know what happens when an east coast team travels to the west coast (see. NY Jets v. San Diego last week). The Washington Redskins have won only one of their last nine road games dating to last season and I expect that trend to continue this weekend. My pick of the week is:

Arizona over Washington

Another option I like this week:

Cincinnati over Carolina

The Bengals didn’t look great in New England last weekend, but don’t forget that this team went 8-0 last season at home and the Panthers have been very inconsistent this season.


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