Fantasy Football: Packers’ AJ Hawk Highlights IDP Week 5 TNF Match-up

AJ Hawk's strong start highlights the IDP Week 5 TNF Match-up

AJ Hawk’s strong start highlights the IDP Week 5 TNF Match-up

A.J. Hawk is just one of the players I’m highlighting in my Thursday Night Football IDP Week 5 Match-up Analysis. Before setting your Week 5 lineup, take a look at some of the facts, stats and analysis of the Thursday match-up as we kick-off the week.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

Chad Greenway is out Week 5. On a short week, dealing with rib and a wrist injury, it didn’t seem possible for him to be ready. At this point, he’s listed as questionable for Week 6. Greenway owners should be a little worried at this point.

Everson Griffen hasn’t recorded a sack since his multi-sack effort in Week 1. Since then, he’s recorded six tackles and is generating pressure on fewer than eight percent of his rush snaps. The sledding won’t get easier for Griffen, as he should line up over David Bakhtiari, who’s grading among the top 10 tackles in pass blocking and has allowed just four QB hurries all season. Griffen is a low-end DE3 until he can show signs of a pass rush.

Gerald Hodges was underwhelming in his first start of the season. However, in IDP, it’s all about opportunity and he was on the field for all 67 snaps. Hodges finished with a disappointing 4.4 percent tackle rate and should bounce back against the Packers. Even though the Pack are near the bottom in points allowed to opposing LBs, they’ve given up double-digit points to six LBs, including two to the weak-side LB.

Linval Joseph continues to be a solid IDP producer from the interior. For those that play in DT-required leagues, he’s among the top-10 scorers and is producing a near eight percent tackle rate, to go along with a 2:1 solo-to-assist ratio. He’s clogging the middle and if Green Bay looks to establish the run more, Joseph could have plenty of tackle opportunities. He’s a borderline DT1 this week.

Xavier Rhodes has the upside for a solid match-up play in Week 5. Rhodes is coming off a game where he saw 11 balls thrown his way and defended four of those passes. Opposing corners, when facing Green Bay, are seeing an average of eight targets so Rhodes should be plenty busy. Even though his tackle rate is low (6 percent), he’s been on the field for 240 defensive snaps and has been thrown at 24 times. I think Rhodes makes for a high-upside CB2 this week.

Robert Blanton has produced three games of double-digit fantasy points, and was a few points away from making it four in Week 2. Blanton, through the quarter mark, has been one of the surprise IDPs as he’s among the top-25 scoring DBs and was either undrafted, or, taken near the tail-end of drafts. Blanton hasn’t missed a snap and is producing a solid 10.8 percent tackle rate when you think about the number of snaps he’s appeared in (274). His current pace puts him over 100 tackles and is a DB2 this week against Green Bay.

A.J. Hawk continues to produce points and make tackles. Have injuries contributed to his production? Probably. After appearing in 69 percent of the snaps in Week 1, he’s missed just one since. The result? A tackle rate of 14 and 0.23 points per snap rate. He’s not leaving any points on the field either, missing just a tackle on the year. Even though the Vikings are in the 20s, in terms of points allowed to LBs, they’ve allowed eight LBs to score double-digit fantasy points. Hawk should be considered an LB2 this week.

-What can we expect from the Green Bay corners this week? I suppose it all depends on the QB in Week 5. I think if it’s either Teddy Bridgewater or Christian Ponder, Tramon Williams and Sam Shields will be in play as CB plays this week. Keep in mind, Shields in five career games against Minnesota has 0 INTs and Williams has just three in 14 games. Williams is among the top corners in pass rushing, as he has 3 total QB pressure in 9 rush snaps, so there’s some upside for big plays on the QB.

Ha-Ha Clinton Dix hasn’t produced like his owners were hoping for, mostly thanks to the still productive Morgan Burnett. HHCD produced his first double-digit point effort since Week 1 with his five solo tackle game in Week 4. Bear in mind, he’s appearing in 63 percent of the defensive snaps and rotating with Micah Hyde, so that is also keeping his IDP production ceiling minimal. He’ll be a risky weekly DB play.

Mike Daniels, even though he was held scoreless, is having a decent season. Daniels seems to be more productive on the right side than left, as that’s where his production is coming from. As left-end, he didn’t record a tackle and one single QB hurry. On the right side, he’s recorded 14 tackles (near 8 percent tackle rate) and a sack. He’s a sneaky DE play this week, and hope he lines up as an RDE, though I would like to see the 7.5 pass rush rate increase.

Jamari Lattimore owners should consider starting Lattimore. He’ll get the start even with Brad Jones active. At worst, there could be a rotation of snaps between Lattimore and Jones. I like Lattimore’s upside, as they could limit Jones’s snaps anyway. Hawk is an LB2 and Lattimore can be considered an LB3 in deeper leagues.


Mike Woellert is an IDP Contributor for FakePigskin.

Target, grading and rush snap data courtesy of Pro Football Focus
Points allowed data courtesy MyFantasyLeague
Image Credit: Albuquerque Journal





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