Week 1 Targets Attempts Report

John Bush
September 17, 2021

Week 1 Targets Attempts Report

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Week 1 Targets Attempts Report focuses on player opportunities of targets and attempts to narrow down choices for lineups, trades, and DFS. Key metrics for a deeper understanding of this week’s games. Use this material plus my Snaps Report and matchup article (Saturday) for a complete 360 view of this week’s games.

Video Lesson for this Article

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Scaled Week 1 Team Targets

The following bar-graph displays week 1 team targets scaled to the league average. Green labeled teams (left) are those whose TGTs were above average, and red labeled teams had below-average targets. I am concerned about the red teams and bullish on the high TGT teams for this week. Good tiebreakers in PPR-based scoring leagues and DFS plays.

Last week, DAL, DET, LV, BUF, JAX, MIN, LAC, and TB were high-targeting teams and deserve extra consideration for week 2 plays, especially in positive match-ups. See Below (more coming Saturday Matchup Article)

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Favorite	Fav SCORE	Underdog	Dog SCORE	Spread	Point Scoring
Chiefs	31	Ravens	25	3.0	HIGH
Chargers	31	Cowboys	25	3.0	HIGH
Seahawks	33	Titans	22	5.5	HIGH
Buccaneers	39	Falcons	13	13.0	HIGH
Cardinals	30	Vikings	22	4.0	HIGH
Eagles	29	49ers	22	3.5	HIGH

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Team Level Sum of Targets and % Usage by Position

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The following 8 tables and bar-graphs contain essential week 1 targeting information by position. Looking for patterns of usages that can be useful for this week’s game decisions. Some teams highly use positions while others are less so. Good metrics for break tiebreaking and DFS plays.

Tables contain:

Team Name
Position Type
Week 1 Sum of Targets High Green vs Low Red
Week 1 % Team Positional Usages. High Blue vs Low Red
Bar-graphs display the team’s TGT Sums and Usages for visual analysis.

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Teams in Running Back Usages Sorted High to Low (Table and Graph)

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Teams in Tight End Usages Sorted High to Low (Table and Graph)

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Teams in Wide Receiver Usages Sorted High to Low (Table and Graph)

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Reference Chart of Team TGT Characteristics from Week 1 Data

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This table is filled out for reminders for week 2 decisions. Use as a guide for initial set-ups and plays in DFS. Modify with other information as needed.

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Player Level Targets and Targeting Rates

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Tables contain

Team
Position
Player Name
Sum of their Targets Green to Red High to Low
Scaled to League Average Targeting Rates (100 to 0 is High to Low Rates)

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Positional Populational Analysis Week 1 Targets

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The Box and Whisker Graphs below reveal the population characteristics of Week 1 TGTs for RB, TE, and WR. These visuals inform us of the Populational Average and Median TGTs, and the 66% and 98% levels of player TGTs. I have noted the number of TGTs at which the player was in the top 1/3 of all players in that position. (Top 33%)

X symbol is the TGT Average
Line within the Box is the Median
The Box represents the 66% levels of the Population
The Whisker Line shows 98% levels.
Extreme Outliers are in circles. Note Waller the TE at 19 TGTs way above the TE population.

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The next tables present all players in their positional groups in the 33% level or higher. Move toward these in week 2!

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Team Rushing vs Passing Bias for RB Usages Week 1

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The table below highlights team RB Usage Bias to rushing or passing based on Rush Attempts vs. Passing Targets to their RBs. The %R/P ratio catches this team metric ratio from High (purple-stained) to Low (yellow-stained). Teams with high %R/P were rushing their RBs more and passing to them less, while those with low %R/P passed to their RB much more.

LAC, LAR, SF, ARI, CIN, DEN, KC, PIT, NO, SEA, HOU were not passing to their RB much

TEN, DAL, NYG, MIA, CAR, ATL, MIN, JAC, IND, LV, TB, and DET were using more passing to their RBs.

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