Time to Shine or Ride the Pine: Week 7 Start or Sit

Another week is in the books and the season is starting to take shape. Pittsburgh has staked its claim as one of the best teams in the NFL after destroying Cleveland. While on Monday Night Football it became clear that my Dallas Cowboys are one of the worst in the league.

We saw Aaron Rodgers look like the 43 year old, and the highly anticipated debut of Tua Tagovailoa. Fantasy football also had its share of surprising results.

David Montgomery was supposed to smash but disappointed while watching Nick Foles vulture a td. Miami’s backfield is no longer in question as Myles Gaskin is clearly the man, and D’Andre Swift proved why Detroit drafted him early in the 2nd round.

Noah Fant wasn’t even active, and Miles Sanders was held in check minus one big run. Overall week 6 was a mixed bag. Find out who is ready to breakout in week 7 start or sit.

Time to Shine

Zack Moss (Buf@NYJ 1pm est)

I’ve been waiting so long for Zack to finally have his time that Moss started growing on my rosters since week 2. During his three game absence, Devin Singletary took on an every down role and rushed for 152 yards with 1 touchdown.

As good as Singletary was, his lack of success in short yardage, and goal to goal situations, allows for Moss to maintain an integral role for this offense.

He returned last week against Kansas City but Buffalo trailed most of the game. He played 25% of the snaps and his impact was minimal during his first game back. His playing time should increase along with this impact versus the Jets especially in the red zone. It’s in this area where Moss will make his largest impact.

In week 1, he saw 72% of the team’s attempts inside the 20, all 4 inside the 10, and all 3 inside the 5. Opportunities like this, and perhaps some mop up duty are on tap for Moss as he and the Bills are two touchdown favorites over their in state rival.

Prediction: 10 car 37 yards 1 TD, 2 rec 8 yards: 11.5 pts

T.J. Hockenson (Det@Atl 1pm est)

T.J. has a touchdown in each of the last two games, but only 4 total receptions for 26 yards. This followed an opening three game stretch where he had 4+ receptions and 53 or more yards in each game.

He gets another fantastic opportunity to produce in week 7. against a Falcons defense allowing 14.3 fpts/gm to TE’s. They have also allowed an NFL high 7 scores to the position while twice allowing multiple TD’s to a team’s tight end.

The Lions are dealing with some injuries on the outside again as Marvin Jones is now nursing an injury and in danger of missing this week. Not that Jones was a major contributor thus far, but if he were to miss this week, Hockenson immediately becomes option 1B to Kenny G.

The total for this game is set at 55, and scoring should be plentiful. T.J. will be too much for the Falcons on Sunday en route to a huge game with 2 touchdowns!

Prediction: 5 rec 58 yards 2 TD: 20.3 pts 

Hunter Henry (Jax@LAC 4:25pm est)

As good as Henry has been this season, his matchup makes him one of my favorites this week. Jacksonville has allowed 5 touchdowns to TE’s so far, and in 4 of their 6 games. Hunter has been a favorite of rookie Justin Herbert seeing 27 targets over the last 4 games. He is primed for his best game of the season as the Chargers look to declaw the Jaguars.

Prediction: 6 rec 74 yards 1 TD: 16.4 pts

Jim Brown/USA TODAY Sports

Ride the Pine

Derrick Henry (Pit@Ten 1pm est)

King Henry has crushed the opposition to begin 2020 and is averaging 130 yards and 2 tds/gm over his last 3 games. Tennessee has parlayed these performances into a 5-0 start leading up to this week’s marquee game against the Steelers. Suggesting to dethrone the King is unfathomable but this week he’ll have to take a backseat to his quarterback. 

Henry and the Titans are hosting the NFL’s top overall, scoring, passing, and rushing defense Pittsburgh Steelers. This new Steel Curtain is anchored by its front 4 who are tops in the NFL at limiting yards, and putting pressure on the QB. If you remove the 74 yard burst by Miles Sanders two weeks ago, Pittsburgh has only allowed 200 total rushing yards by backs through 5 games.

They know how to shut down a running game as evidenced last week against Cleveland and their NFL leading rushing attack. I’m not advocating for actually benching the battering ram this week, but I am saying, expect his worst game yet.

Prediction: 16 car 79 yards, 2 rec 12 yards: 10.1 pts

Josh Jacobs (TB@LV 4:05pm est)

The workhorse back for Las Vegas has been just that over the teams first 5 games. He’s handled the rock 25 or more times in three games and seen at least 15 carries in every game. Jacobs is also well on his way to crushing last year’s 20 receptions as he already has 15. The scoring is also there as his 5 rushing touchdowns are tied for 3rd among running backs. Why on earth would I not like him this week?

Well… to begin, all five of the Raiders starting offensive lineman are currently on the covid list. Anytime you’re playing behind a makeshift o-line, expectations have to be lowered, and he sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week. Tampa leads the NFL as they’re only allowing 3yds/att on the ground and has yet to allow a team eclipse 100 rushing yards on them. The Bucs just limited Aaron Jones to 15 yards on 10 carries in week 6 and that’s with the threat of Aaron Rodgers as well. Derek Carr is no ARod, and the Raiders O-line may be backups this week. Oh, and the game might not even be played so there’s that. All that being said, if you have any other reliable options, keep Josh Jacobs backstage.

Prediction: 16 car 64 yards, 3 rec 12 yards: 9.1 pts

Patriots running backs (SF@NE 4:25pm est)

Week 1 saw Sony Michel lead New England with 37 yards and 1 TD. In Week 2, Cam stole the show against the Seahawks. Week 3 saw Sony surpass 100 yards on 9 carries, while Rex scored 3 TDs on 13 touches. Next was Damien Harris’ time, and last week saw James White lead the crew with 8 receptions for 65 yards. This is the NFL’s worst fantasy backfield because of the uncertainty and Cam Newton’s presence on the goal line.

This week they get the NFL’s 2nd best defense versus RB’s, the San Francisco 49ers. They’re only allowing 12.9 fpts/gm and have surrendered just 3 scores to the position. At 43.5, this game has the lowest implied total on the schedule, and is likely to be the slowest paced game as well. Avoid this backfield in week 7.

Prediction: Limited production on the ground, James White will get his receptions, but ZERO scores from the backfield.


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