Week 13 Targets and Touches

Week 13 Targets and Touches

This report, Week 13 Targets and Touches, uses analysis of the metrics on Team, Position, and Player targets and rushing attempts. The more opportunity is the higher the chances for collection of your Team’s fantasy points. This information is meant for deeper thinking and note-taking. If you have deeper benches these metrics allow you to jump into new player shares early for gambling. That is how I use deep benches. I continue to rotate players at the bottom.

Lineup Diary

I would use these Team metrics with my rankings and snap reports to finalize the week 14 lineups. This process is not automatic and easy. I am urging all players to dig deep into their decisions. There is plenty of software to automatically set-line ups. I suggest using a notebook and record your process. A lineup diary can be useful for you to spot weaknesses or strengths in your game by the week or season.

Rankings Link:  fantasy-football-week-14-rankings-with-uncertainty

   

Snaps Report Link:    week-13-snaps-report

Defense Against the Positions Week 11 to 16: 

defense-against-the-positions-weeks-11-to-16


A Visual Plot of Target Averages from Weeks 8 to 13

I have discussed my top-down approach to data analysis. These bigger views allow a deeper feel for the deeper data. Below is the table of Team Target Medians using week 8 to 13 weeks of target data. Week 13 Targets and Touches. Given this point, I shift to the most recent data block and use the last 6 weeks. Any new players and trends will be spotted in these most recent data. 

Scaled Avg Targets is shown in Green to Red  (Highs to Lows). More PPR scoring from High Target Teams is the thinking. Scaled Metrics use the league average as a benchmark to compare each team to. Positive numbers imply above average while negative numbers mean the data is below the league average. I move to above average targeting teams. 

Scaled Targeting Rate measures the speed (targets per snap) of each team. Fast teams lead to more points?

I also included Touches per Team Scaled Average. I will present Touch Metrics later

  • CAR/PHI/DAL/JAX/ATL/NYG have been the season’s target leaders in weeks 8 to 13
  • BAL/WAS/TEN/OAK/DEN/BUF/IND/SF/GB are the lowest target producing teams in weeks 8 to 13

Slide2

===============================================

Plot to See Team Scaled Target Averages Weeks 8 to 13

Visualize the High vs Low Passing Teams in Targets and Rate. Commit to memory for increased speed to analyze lineups and DFS plays. Note CAR/PHI/DAL are high in targets and CAR and DAL are also high in Targeting Speed. Find the extremes. For example,  TB/LAC are very high in targeting rates and above the league average.  

Slide3

==================================================

Player Centric Target Metrics within Team

I love to see the player in their habitat for a deeper understanding. Below is the Weeks 8 to 13 in player targets as well as seasonal averages. 

Each Team Table features Weekly Targets from each Player by Position,  6-week target total,  %Team Target (Team Usage),  and DIFF (last 3 weeks vs the preceding 3 weeks-improving or declining?).

Questions:

  • Improving Declining Players? (*DIFF)
  • Value of the Player to the Team (%%TT)

Looking for high valued players improving in recent weeks vs declining poorly valued players.

 ==================================================

Slide5

==================================================

Slide6

==================================================

Slide7

==================================================

Slide8

 ==================================================

Slide9

 ==================================================

Slide10

 ==================================================

Slide11

 ==================================================

Slide12

 ==================================================

Slide13

 ==================================================

Slide14

 ==================================================

Slide15

 ==================================================

Slide16

 ==================================================

Slide17

 ==================================================

Slide18

 ==================================================

Slide19

 ==================================================

Slide20

 ==================================================

Slide21

 ==================================================

Slide22

 ==================================================

Slide23

 ==================================================

Slide24

 ==================================================

Slide25

 ==================================================

Slide26

 ==================================================

Slide27

 ==================================================

Slide28

 ==================================================

Slide29

 ==================================================

Slide30

 ==================================================

Slide31

 ==================================================

Slide32

 ==================================================

Slide33

 ==================================================

Slide34

 ==================================================

Slide35

 ==================================================

Slide36

 ==================================================

Player Average Targets and %TT by Position

I also like to see the player within the position outside the team. What is the player’s success relative to others in that position in terms of %TT?  One might propose that this list is the order of handcuffs as well. CMC’s handcuff could be worth more than 5% than Barkley’s handcuff etc. Just a mental exercise to craft stashes in deeper leagues. 

I love to generate the various levels of Target metrics to catch-all the data for interest. I use to think about my teams, drop/adds/and lineups. You should chase multiple data streams for a full landscape in my thinking. 

One might jot down key observations by teams, positions and or players. Then try to fit these elements together. Practice and note in your playing diary (Handicap your own decisions).  Own your line-ups!

==================================================

RBs

Slide38

Slide39

Slide40

==================================================

TEs

Slide42

Slide43

Slide44

==================================================

WRs

Slide46

Slide47

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide48

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide49

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide50

==================================================

Team Level Running Back Average Touch Metrics

As RBs can rush as well as pass-catching, we must look into the combined role they have on a team. The “touches” metric tracks this RB activity and enables a deeper view of the Team’s RB usages. 

This table presents the Team Level Running Back Touches from Weeks 8 to 13. Note I stained the Team names Green to Red based on high to low targets during the same time frame. Compare targets to touches.

  • High RB Touch teams Blue Stained
  • JAX/DAL/SEA/TEN/CLE
  • Low RB Touch teams Red Stained 
  • KC/BAL/TB/DET/OAK/MIA

slide52-3-e1575748369591.jpg

===========================================================================

Plot of Team Touch Averages

Nice Team RB Touch Profiles. Judge the team differences for handcuff values. 

Slide53

==================================================

Players RBs (Within Teams) Touches Weeks 8 to 13, 

Looking within Teams for RB pecking orders, the recent level of Touches. These metrics give us clarity for the Teams RB crew (%Team Touches).

Look for new improving players or declining players (DIFF). Note the extremes and then add or drop players accordingly.

The Bar Graph highlights the RBs from each team in terms of touches.

Slide55slide56-3.jpg

==================================================

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide57slide58-3.jpg

==================================================

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide59Week 13 Targets and Touches slide60-3.jpg

==================================================

Slide61slide62-3.jpg

==================================================

Slide63slide64-3.jpg

==================================================

Slide65slide66-3.jpg

==================================================

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide67slide68-3.jpg

==================================================

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide69Slide70

==================================================

Players RBs, %TTouches, W8 to 13 Average Touches and DIFFs

Players have been sorted by Average Touches from High to Low (Blue to Red). Focus on all the layers for handcuffs and those RBs with independent value as well! DIFF spot improvements or declines while %TT hits the Team usages and value. 

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide72

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide73

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide74

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide75

Week 13 Targets and Touches Slide76

Week 13 Targets and Touches

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: