Week 8 Snaps Report

Week 8 Snaps Report

The Week 8 Snaps Report gives fantasy players a view into the Team’s system, positional usages, and player activities. Does the team use RBs more than WRs? Does the team rely on their WRs? These are key questions for lineups, DFS plays, and waiver wire selections. These metrics strengthen as the season goes on. Please come back and continue following my work!


Landscape Data Informatics for my

Week 8 Snaps Report

I believe one way to fight the various biases we as Fantasy Players have to deal with is to use landscape metrics. This prevents the more common “Silo Effect” most “experts” deal out.

Not only is fantasy a weekly game it is a complex system. System-level predictions are tough.  However, innovation often comes from combining data from several sources. I interpret this as a call for fantasy players to use multi data approaches for this game. See the link for starting your exploring. 

make-better-decisions-combine-datasets

Consider the landscape views of multi-data veins that invite mining for informatic gold. This is my journey within Fantasy in a nutshell! I wish to “show” others my approaches as well.


Team Average Snaps 

As we have 7 weeks of data for the teams, I wanted to up the game here by combining multi-data sources and use ratio metrics for hypothesis formation. I begin by the landscape view. More Snaps associate with team speeds. Fast Teams are more passing centric vs slower snaps teams are rushing heavy. (Data from my textbook studies). I assume the level of pass vs run is based here on team speeds **. 

I colorized the team names (Green to Red) based on the weekly team snaps (Purple to Yellow).  Additionally, these metrics include the overall snaps average (green to red) and snaps scaled to average (blue to red). Scaled metrics visually give you an impact value of the metric! FYI NO is 117 X over the league average SNAPS vs PIT was a -86 X below the league average. Caution on PIT players for sure. Use to adjust your views of teams.

** In summary, I favor pass-catchers from faster teams and rushing RBs from slower teams

Slide1


 

Scaled Team SNAPs Weeks 1 to 8 

  • The high fast teams are in green: 
  • NO/NE/HOU/LAR/SEA/JAX/ATL/CIN/PHI
  • Slow Teams are
  • PIT/NYJ/OAK/MIA/WAS/CLE/CHI/CAR

Slide2


Late vs Early Snap Averages vs DIFFs Last 2 games vs Late vs Early SNAPs

These data give a view of the entire season (LATE vs EARLY first 8 weeks) in Team SNAPS as compared to the Last 2 Weeks (DIFFs 2 Weeks). As above teams that are getting faster may be winning more in the next upcoming games vs slowing down and losing more.

Additionally, the LATE vs EARLY metric catches this big turn.

HOU/MIN/MIA/JAX/NO?DAL/NE/PIT have sped up in Snap based Team Speed.

BUF/WAS/LAR/KC/CLE/LAC/PHI/ARI/DET/NYG/BAL have slowed down. 

The DIFF last 2 metrics will catch the most recent snap changes for faster detection of any team changes. HOU/PIT/CIN/CHI/ATL/PHI all sped up in their last game while BAL/MIA/DAL/NE/OAK/SEA/IND/DET/ARI/LAC/LAR have slowed down in their last game. 

I would combine your scan of weekly snaps, average snaps, DIFF Late vs Early and Last 2 Diffs. I would do that order of data consideration to fit the team snap activity into a prospective. 

Slide4


 

Visual Late vs Early SNAPs of the Teams

What teams are speeding up (passing) or slowing down (rushing). I watch for trend shifts to trade, drop, or acquire players. These metrics pinpoint various time frames of Team Snaps. Weekly Snaps will have a variation that can hide the bigger trends.

Key into these larger trends. Watch for player changes that may have fueled this metric. FYI there may be some association with SNAP Speed and Losing Games. 

Slide5


 

Team Positional Level of Average Team Snaps and DIFFs

I always suggest players use a broad view of a Team’s activities. I continue in this Snap Report by looking at the positions. Note, all metrics are colorized High to Low.

These tables from the Week 8 Snaps Report include:

  • Team
  • Position
  • Week 1 to 8 Snaps
  • Average of Player Snaps Per Week
  • % Team Snaps (%TS)
  • Bar Graph of the Positional Usages

These tables focus on the position level of each team. I suggest positional snap averages give a nice distribution of snaps to begin an understanding of Team positional usages. Playing players from low vs high positional usages can win or lose a DFS play for this week’s matchup. 

You must go through these figures a few times and focus on the extremes. As I tell my students that there is a Big Difference with being familiar with vs knowing. Move toward knowing. Next year maybe write an essay on each team for 2020.

For Example ARI TEs not used! 23% is weak! Bal RBs are underused at 23% but loves its TEs at 38%! Find these keys to unlock your plays!


 

ARI_ATL_BAL_BUF 

Slide7

 

Slide8

 


 

CAR_CHI_CIN_CLE

Slide9

 

Slide10

 


 

DAL_DEN_DET_GB

Slide11

Slide12

 


 

HOU_IND_JAX_KC

Slide13

 

Slide14

 

 


 

LAC_LAR_MIA_MIN

Slide15

 

Slide16

 

 


 

NE_NO_NYG_NYJ

Slide17

 

Slide18

 


 

OAK_PHI_PIT_SEA

Slide19

 

Slide20

 


 

SF_TB_TEN_WAS

Slide21

 

Slide22

 


 

Team Snap Based Positional Usages 

Use these usages %TS as a way of thinking about how a team is operating. I find the extremes and use that data to move toward or away from players. I will let users scan the data and decide what key facts are germane to your teams. Find your own connections. Good tiebreaker as well. 

Note the teams that have success using in their distributions. Are the snaps because of poor play etc or deliberate to winning? Deeper questioning! All Positions include weeks 1 to 7 average snaps, a grand 7-week average, and a Team Snap %. I sorted High %TS to Low.  The colorization allows the focus on the extremes. 


 

Running Backs

Suggest you focus your handcuffs on the high use teams. Caution on DET pickups this week! Det is the 3rd worst RB usage team. KC is also an issue in RBs usages. Watch for changes! 

Slide24


Tight Ends

Slide26


Wide Receivers

Slide28


Player Snaps Within Teams Weekly and Snap Averages – Environment Analysis. 

The following tables present the player Snaps in their position within Teams, Weeks 1 to 8 Snaps and their grand Snap Averages. I colorized the Snaps within each team. This colorization allows a scan across and down the players and positions. 

I use the deeper Team Player Snaps environment analysis for lineups in seasonal and DFS, drops adds, handcuffs identification, previous week game scripts for positions usages and seeing the upcoming late-season bloomers.

I really suggest you finalize your teams by week 10 to 12 going into the playoffs. Use this data to help formula your trades and acquisitions. 

Slide30Slide31Slide32Slide33Slide34Slide35Slide36Slide37Slide38Slide39Slide40Slide41Slide42Slide43Slide44Slide45Slide46Slide47Slide48Slide49Slide50Slide51Slide52Slide53Slide54Slide55Slide56Slide57Slide58Slide59Slide60Slide61

 


SNAP Share For Players Week 1 to 8

I added player SNAP Share metrics to see the season so far. These metrics capture the Team usage of all players. Watch for changes but use these Snap Shares as a foundation of your analysis. 

 

slide63-13.jpg

 

 

slide64-13.jpg

 

Slide65

 

slide66-12.jpg

 

slide68-11.jpg

 

slide67-12.jpg

 

Slide68

 

slide70-11.jpg

 

slide69-11-e1572551524705.jpg

 

Slide70

 


 

 Player by Team Positional Snap Use (Week, Average, %TS, DIFF, and Late vs Early)

I sorted the players from high team usage (%TS) blue to low team usage red. Use the DIFF to focus on recent changes in increases or decreases in Snaps. Watch for player changes in the wider Late vs Early Snaps. 


 

Running Back

Slide72Slide73Slide74Slide75Slide76Slide77

 

 


 

Tight Ends 

Week 8 Snaps Report Slide79Week 8 Snaps Report Slide80Week 8 Snaps Report Slide81Week 8 Snaps Report Slide82Week 8 Snaps Report Slide83

 


 

Wide Receivers 

Week 8 Snaps Report Slide85Week 8 Snaps Report Slide86Week 8 Snaps Report Slide87Week 8 Snaps Report Slide88Week 8 Snaps Report Slide89Week 8 Snaps Report Slide90Week 8 Snaps Report Slide91Week 8 Snaps Report Slide92


 

Please use SNAP data with my Rankings this week.

 

fantasy-football-week-9-rankings

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: