Week 8 is our 1st big bye week on the year. There are only 10 main slate games + 1 London Game + the normal Thursday and Monday night games. Below are my current takes as of Thursday but as always stay up to date on injury reports as things in the NFL can always change. Without further a do here are the guys I will be playing in week 8.
I am fully expecting Aaron Rodgers 7500 to have the most raw points this week. Last week he attempted 56 passes, threw for 326 yards and 3 touchdowns. A very solid fantasy game, which could have been much bigger. In the 1st quarter alone he missed Jordy Nelson on a deep post, where if he lays the ball a little flatter it’s a walk in touchdown. The play turned into a 44 yard PI and set up a field goal. He also could have had 2 additional touchdowns to Randall Cobb, one was dropped, the other he was only able to keep 1 foot in. Lastly he had an out thrown to Jeff Janis where he was tackled at the 1 yard line. This could have easily been a 400 yard 5 or 6 touchdown game.
Fake Pigskin Exclusive: Join Monkey Knife Fight and Get an Instant 100% Deposit Match PLUS a Free $5 Game!
This week he will be in a similar spot against the Falcons. They will certainly have to score a lot and they still do not have a true running back. Ty Montgomery will still see 40 or more snaps in the backfield, meaning they will be passing a ton. I expect Rodgers for 50 throws again this week.
Two other QBs I want to touch on are Andrew Luck 6800 at home against KC and Jameis Winston 5700 at home against the Raiders. Winston will be the chalk this week but is in a nice spot against a Raiders team giving up over 300 yards per game through the air. The Raiders would be a team traveling from the West Coast-East for an early kickoff but they stayed in Florida all week after playing the Jags last Sunday. I think Winston will have a nice game but I am definetely a little weary of this spot. The Raiders played improved defense last week (or Blake Bortles sucked that bad). I would rather play Brock Osweiler for 5400 at home in a great matchup against the Lions who might be without their top corner. It is quietly a get-well spot for Brock, who has looked terrible this year but has largety faced some of the best defenses including New England, Denver, and Minneosta all on the road.
Luck has quietly been the highest scoring QB on DK over the past 3 weeks, now goes home and seemingly will get back Donte Moncrief and Phillip Dorsett. His price is down to 6800 as well, I really think this could be a 300 yard 3-4 td game against a gambling Chiefs secondary.
Overall running back is looking really hard for value this week. There are a few injuries we need to keep our eye’s on throughout the week. My favorite at RB coming into the week was Lamar Miller 6300 but he ended up a little banged up in Monday Nights game. Watch his situation for sure.
Now with a knee injury to C.J. Anderson, Devontae Booker 3700 at home against the Chargers is set to be the best value play of the weekend. His ownership will be through the roof but in a plus matchup, home favorite, and a floor of 17 touches he will be hard to fade in any circumstance.
My next favorite play is David Johnson 7700. He’s expensive, but you get what you pay for in this case. Over his last 3 games he has scored 102.4 Draft Kings Points or 34.13/game. That is the most at any position. For comparison Julio only has 64.2 in his last 3 games. This guy has a very legitimate floor of 17 points. Fade at your own risk. That good’
Fantasy just got a whole lot better thanks to Monkey Knife Fight. New to MKF? Get Exclusive $100 Deposit Match + Free $5 Game!
Lastly Devonta Freeman 6500 should be the lone wolf this weekend for the Falcons in the backfield. The Packers play good run d but Freeman can get going in the pass game as well. Freeman will be high owned but should have a very nice day and very nice touch down upside. In the 4 games last year that Coleman missed Devonta scored 8 total touch downs.
At wide reciever give me the Falcons/Packer game for starters. I like Julio 9600, Randall Cobb 6400, Ty Montgomery 5300, and Davante Adams 4900 in this game. Randall Cobb and Davante Adams are 2-3 in DK points/game over their last 3 games averaging 22 & 23 points per game. As I refrenced above Rodgers will be forced to pass a ton in this game, Desmond Trufant should be locked up on Jordy Nelson, leaving the majority of targets for these 3 guys who all caught 10+ passes last week. All 3 should approach 10 targets again this week.
Julio is also in a great spot here. This is the highest vegas total of the week, the Packers are without their top 3 corners, and Julio’s last time out against Green Bay he racked up 259 yards receiving and 1 touchdown. His 9600 should be well worth it.
Other guys I’m eyeing this week are T.Y. Hilton 7900, Amari Cooper 7600, Nuke Hopkins 7400, Terrelle Pryor 6100 (if healthy), and Quincy Enunwa 4800. I like Hilton, Nuke, and Cooper more than similar priced guys Mike Evans, A.J. Green, and Brandon Marshall
I feel the Raiders D is starting to turn around and their bigger corners could cause a problem for Mike Evans. Plus the fact that they have no other options that scare you could start making life hard on Mike Evans. I would rather go with T.Y. who is actually the top guy in DK points per game over the last 3.
My guys this week are Jimmy Graham 6100 in the preemptive narrative street game coming back to New Orleans for the 1st time since being traded. Expect a lot of usage for Graham and at least 1 TD. If you don’t want to pay up, I am going all the way down to C.J. Fiedorowicz at 2800. He has quietly balled over the last 4 weeks catching at least 5 balls each game. He has scored 13 DK points per game over the last 3 and if he gets that again he would 4.6x his price tag and all this comes at home against the leagues worst defense against tight ends. Love this spot for Fiedorowicz.
This is a tricky spot. In a perfect world the Vikings at home for 4100 would be available on the main slate against the Bears. But somehow for the 2nd straight week the NFL has put the Bears on primetime. So the Vikings are out of the picture. My favorite defense for this week turns out to be Oakland 2600 on the road in TB. It’s a leverage play on who I think will be the chalk QB, plus I think they aren’t as bad as their raw numbers are showing. Jameis is prone to turnovers and I think this might be a spot where the Raiders D starts to turn it around.