ITS TIIIMMEE!!!! UFC Fight Night 70 Machida vs. Romero is here and its yet another chance to get in on some daily fantasy MMA action over at Draftkings. This will be our final chance to get our DFS sweat on for two weeks, as the UFC takes a brief break before the big time UFC 189 event. Last week was a pretty successful week as my predictions went according to plan, and I hope to have repeat this week. That being said this card seems a bit trickier to pick as the Vegas lines are pretty tight, as well as the pricing. Its going to be VERY tricky to try and get four favorites on a lineup and feel comfortable about for this event. Enough of the talk, lets get to the fighters!
As always we start with looking at who Vegas likes heading into the card. Vegas has one fighter as a sizable favorite and that is Alex Oliveira ($11,800). Obviously you are going to have to pay up for him, but I feel on a card like this, he should be the centerpiece of all of your cash game and GPP lineups. Next on Vegas’ favorite list is Lorenz Larkin ($10,800) followed by Thiago Santos ($10,700) and Lyoto Machida ($10,500).
With the majority of the fighters being in the “mid priced” range it’s hard to have a second tier of them to recommend. However there are a couple of names to know towards the lower 10k range that can produce some points but might be more suited for GPPs as contrarian picks. This includes Leandro Silva ($10,400) and Danny Martinez ($10,300) who are the cheapest of the Vegas favorites as of writing.
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Now its time for the cheapies, and there are some that I think will really give you a shot at an upset this week. Worst case scenario they give you a shot at a decent amount of points even in a loss. Fighters in this category include Tony Sims ($8,900), Yoel Romero ($8,900), Sirwan Kakai ($9,100) and Santiago Ponzinibbio ($8,600). Any of these guys would be great selections as you fill out your roster with underdog options, so just monitor the Vegas odds up until lineup lock and fit in who you can.
Looking at Vegas odds, I noticed was that they think several of these fights will be early finishes. That means this card could produce some high scores lineups so be just be prepared, The Vegas odds of finishes can be a great tool to not only help select fighters, but can be a great tie breaker if you are trying to decide between two or three near the same salaries.