2015 NFL Offseason: Predicting Where The Rest of the Free Agents End Up

This year has been an interesting year for free agents in the NFL. As soon as team could start talking with players, it seemed that there were a ton of leaked deals that were supposed to go down a couple of days later, when things could become official. After the free agency frenzy went down, the NFL reported they would be investing into any potential league rules violations by the teams. They requested that the teams all keep their phone tape, and they would launch an investigation. Who knows what will turn up in their hunt for violations. Basically every team is under scrutiny and anything could happen.

This may all get swept under the rug, or we may find out down the road of a major rules violation. Regardless of what happens with the NFL teams, the players involved in this year’s free agency either have a new home or a different contract to stay with their old club. While most of the big name deals have already been completed, there are still a few players who do not have any certainty about the 2015 season. Let’s take a look at those players and where I think they will end up.   


Adrian Peterson Request OutsAdrian Peterson – RB – As discussed and predicted on the @FP_DynastyPod, a week ago, I believe Adrian Peterson heads to the Arizona Cardinals. According to the photo of a tweet that appeared on March 17th, 2015, it appears AP has requested out of Minnesota and they do not appear likely to work things out with the star running back. There have been many reports out there that Arizona is willing to trade away a high pick for AP, but there have also been reports that they are not willing to take on his large salary. For all the AP owners hoping he would go to the Dallas Cowboys, I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but from everything I have heard this doesn’t seem very likely. Their cap room is scare and with the signing of Greg Hardy, the possibility of Peterson arriving in Dallas seems way out of reach. The other team that appears to be in contention here is Tampa Bay. I recently read an article stating the Bucs would be aggressive in the attempt to acquire AP. One thing I can plug here for dynasty owners of Doug Martin, it might be time to sell high.

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Denarius Moore – WR – After showing some flashes early in his NFL career it appears Denarius Moore will be changing teams as there is reportedly “no chance” he returns to the Oakland Raiders next year. I mean why would they want him back. This is a team that was struggling to find good receivers and Moore only caught 12 passes all season. The biggest issue that plagued Moore in Oakland was his lack of work ethic. He fell out of favor with the coaches and is now headed out the door. Reports are that Moore will meet with the New York Jets organization soon. The other teams I would link Moore to based on his skill set and team needs around the NFL include: Carolina Panthers, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, and the Tennessee Titans. Most likely if he signs somewhere he should see a 2 year 2-4 million dollar deal.


Charles Clay – TE – The best tight end left on the market is still available. Charles Clay received the transition tag from the Miami Dolphins before free agency began and has been negotiating with other teams about a new deal. The most likely suitor for the free agent’s services is the Buffalo Bills. They signed an offer sheet with Clay worth 38 million over 5 years on March 17th, 2015. This move makes sense for the Bills but will kill Clay’s dynasty fantasy football value. The Bills are looking for a quarterback and Clay would most likely be used as a blocking option in Buffalo more than fantasy owners would like. Reports are there is a 90% chance Clay lands with Buffalo and it doesn’t appear the Dolphins will exercise their option to match the offer from the Bills. They have 5 days to match the offer. Early in the process Miami was making a play to keep him alongside their new tight end Jordan Cameron, but that talk is all but whispers at this point.


Stevan Ridley Patriots

Image from www.boston.com

Steven Ridley – RB – Finally out of the terribleness that is New England’s backfield, Stevan Ridley is one of the better power backs left on the market for NFL teams. After tearing his ACL & MCL last October Ridley is not a candidate for a big contract, but one team that seems to be an almost perfect fit for Ridley is the Dallas Cowboys. The cash strapped Cowboys have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL and if Ridley were to land in Dallas he would see a huge boost to his dynasty value. There are other teams that would be in the mix for Ridley’s services, but I’m sticking with my prediction for now as it appears the Cowboys have began talking with the former Patriot.


Michael Crabtree – WR – The market for Michael Crabtree‘s services appears to be smaller than most expected. Still only 27 Crabtree, has proven to be a good route runner with solid hands. Crabtree’s pride may be keeping him from accepting a reasonable offer, but soon he will likely come to terms with a team. Just recently Crabtree scheduled a visit with the Miami Dolphins, but after signing Ndamukong Suh, I expect the financials offer from Miami to be lower than what Crabtree is looking for. Once again the teams that would appear to fit for Crabtree include: Oakland RaidersCarolina Panthers, Baltimore Ravens, Miami Dolphins, and the Tennessee Titans.


Dwayne Bowe – WR – After under performing in Kansas City, wide receiver Dwayne Bowe was cut this off season. The only team he appears to be connected to so far is the Cleveland Browns. While signing Bowe will make the Browns better, dynasty owners could not end up with a worse situation. Bowe will go from a team with a halfway decent quarterback and a good running game in the Kansas City Chiefs, to a half way decent running game and no quarterback to speak of in the Cleveland Browns. While Cleveland had more pass attempts last year than Kansas City, don’t expect Bowe to see any production spike and he is likely to see a decrease. Cleveland was throwing the ball a ton at the end of the season, while the Chiefs under Andy Reid take a more run oriented and balanced approach.


Jermaine Gresham – TE – After Charles Clay signs with a team the next best option on the market is tight end Jermaine Gresham. Early in the free agent process Gresham was heavily linked to the Oakland Raiders, but talks have stalled at this point. The most likely reason for talks to be stalled appears to be a “back injury” that Gresham will undergo surgery to have corrected. The back is a very touchy thing to have surgery on and I find it unlikely that teams will take a chance and sign him before he is medically cleared. This could be awhile as recovering from surgery is not a quick process. Look for Gresham news to pop back up over the summer but for right now in dynasty leagues he is essentially worthless. Even after he is able to sign most teams will know what they plan to do next year at tight end and he will probably have to prove he can still play.


Image from sports.cbsimg.net

Image from sports.cbsimg.net

Greg Jennings – WR – The market for former Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Greg Jennings has also been eerily silent. Like Jermaine Gresham Jennings is recovering from surgery, but his has been a lot less serious. Jennings underwent minor elbow surgery and is reported to be fine going forward. After exploding playing with Aaron Rodgers, Jennings did the exact opposite playing with a quarterback carousel in Minnesota. On the wrong side of 30, I don’t expect teams to beat the door down to sign Jennings and I would say the usual wide receiver teams will come calling: Oakland RaidersCarolina Panthers, Baltimore Ravens, and the Tennessee Titans. If I had to make a prediction I would say Jennings goes to the Oakland Raiders, because that just seems like an Oakland Raiders move.

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