Fantasy Football: Paul Worrilow Headlines the Week 3 IDP Match-up Analysis

Hopefully your waivers have processed with your top targets and injuries haven’t ravaged your squad too bad. Football goes and I offer my thoughts on the IDP Week 3 IDP Match-ups of the week. The Thursday match-up kicks things off with IDP stud Paul Worrilow headlining the contest. With Week 3 on the horizon, we can only the Fantasy Gods have had enough fun and can ease up on the injuries. When it comes to your IDPs this week, exploit the match-ups to set the best possible lineup. I hope my facts and analysis help you make the right decisions this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Paul Worrilow headline Week 3 IDP Match-ups

Paul Worrilow has lived up to his pre-season hype and faces a great matchup this week

Dashon Goldson has been productive heading into the third week of the season, and finds himself with a nice match-up. In the first two games of the season, he’s recorded 9+ tackles and double-digit fantasy points, posting a solid 4:1 solo-to-assist ratio and 15.5 percent tackle rate. He should be lining up all over the field, especially the run, where he’s spending over 30 percent of his run snaps near the line of scrimmage. I look at him as a decent DB2 match-up play this week; especially if you’re an Eric Berry owner looking for a replacement.

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Clinton McDonald could be an injury fill-in for Gerald McCoy this week. McCoy suffered a broken hand but is considered a game-time decision. McDonald has appeared in 116 defensive snaps, recording a sack and seven tackles (which came in Week 2). If you’re looking for a spot start in a defensive tackle league, McDonald recorded six tackles in his last match-up with the Falcons.

-After seeing 100 percent of the snaps in Week 1, Mason Foster left Week 2 with a dislocated shoulder, which is a tough blow to an already injury ravaged defense. Foster has struggled, grading out negative overall and missing two tackles in run defense (three overall). Dane Fletcher is his replacement at MIKE and saw 37 snaps, recording three solo tackles and forcing a fumble. Fletcher should be considered in only the deepest of leagues if the LB cupboard is bare.

William Gholston was out in Week 1, but injuries forced him into action Week 2. He responded with a six-tackle (one for loss) and one-sack effort. In 45 snaps, he posted a 13.3 percent tackle rate, which is huge for defensive linemen. With Adrian Clayborn out for the year, Gholston is going to get a look at long look at DL. Gholston is an intriguing match-up play against Lamar Holmes, while he hasn’t given up a sack, has been responsible for seven total QB pressures on Matt Ryan.

Desmond Trufant is getting off to a slow start for those that own him in CB leagues. Through two weeks, Trufant has seen just 9 targets thrown his way. He’s recorded four solo tackles and two defended passes. Last season, Trufant recorded 11 tackles, forced a fumble and defended a pass. Trufant looks to be a CB2 in CB-required leagues.

-I know Paul Worrilow is a stud, but it’s hard to ignore the numbers. He’s posted his third straight game of 10+ tackles dating back to last season and now has seven games of 11+ tackles in his career. He’s also posted three straight games of 20+ fantasy points, making him a solid LB1. I’d like to see more solos, but it’s a small complaint.

Prince Shembo saw a big increase in snaps from Week 1 to Week 2 (10 to 31), which resulted in a decrease of snaps for Joplu Bartu (After seeing 54 in Week 1). It will be something to watch for the remainder of the year. Shembo’s snap count is still too inconsistent to trust him this week. Bartu owners should be on notice, as well. He looks to be a low-end LB2 this week if the snaps continue to decrease.

-Keep an eye on Paul Soliai in defensive tackle leagues this week. The Tampa Bay offensive line has already given up 4 sacks and 20 total hits/hurries on the QB. Soliai posted 6 tackles (2 for loss) and could make for a tough match-up for the Bucs’ offensive line.

-If Dwight Lowery can post another 6+ tackle line in Week 3, he’d be a strong consideration for a waiver wire add. Health has been a concern, so I need to see him string a few solid games together. He’ll have a chance to produce in a good match-up against the Bucs.

The remainder of match-ups will be available Friday/Saturday



Mike Woellert is an IDP Contributor for FakePigskin. Follow him on Twitter @Mike_Woellert and here for his IDP analysis throughout the season.

Target, grading and rush snap data courtesy of Pro Football Focus
Image Credit: CBS Sports




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