The Indianapolis Colts face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week Three and it is the juiciest matchup this week. There is a growing trend as we have seen through the first couple of weeks that defenses are putting up very good fantasy numbers against the poor Jaguars offense. This dates back even to last year, where the highly recommended defensive streamers were facing Jacksonville in a given week. Even though the Indianapolis Colts had a tough second half against the Eagles on Monday Night, I like them a lot this week.
Quickly looking back to last week, the Miami Dolphins had zero sacks, zero interceptions, zero forced fumbles and gave up 29 points – not exactly the best week. Buffalo played a great game at home and held off that strong pass rush of the Dolphins. The New Orleans Saints had one sack, zero interceptions and fumbles and gave up 20 points (Cleveland had an interception returned for a touchdown). Houston had a nice game with two interceptions and two fumble recoveries, with surprisingly zero sacks. Tampa Bay, my number one pick from Week Two, had two sacks and a fumble recovery while giving up 19 points to the St. Louis Rams at home. Chalk it up to a bad week, this week will be better.
Indianapolis Colts (Available in 66% of Yahoo! leagues)
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This week starts my “start a defense against Jacksonville” experiment. We all thought Washington has a terrible defense, but apparently it doesn’t matter – Jacksonville is that bad on offense. The Indianapolis Colts did play solid defense against the Eagles last week, giving up just six points in the first half. The second half was a little different, but let’s be real here for a minute; Jacksonville’s offense is not even close to Philadelphia’s offense. The Washingon Redskins defense had TEN sacks last week against the Jaguars. The Indianapolis Colts could easily put up half that number. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF) through two weeks, the Jaguars have the 6th worst pass blocking grade. Indianapolis doesn’t have a fantastic pass rush, but I’m betting on them to eat up that terrible Jaguars offensive line. The Indianapolis Colts defense are my top defense this week and I think it is smart to target Jacksonville for streaming purposes going forward.
Cleveland Browns (Available in 81% of Yahoo! leagues)
Last week against the Saints at home, the Cleveland Browns offense had two sacks, a interception for a touchdown and a fumble recovery, while giving up 24 points. The Browns have Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens coming to town this week and I’m betting that the Ravens offense is not the same as the Saints offense that this team more or less held its own against. Don’t be scared that the Ravens put up 26 points on Pittsburgh – they are the worst defense looking at overall grades according to PFF. This one is a bit of a hunch after the Browns slowed the Saints defense and caused a couple of turnovers. They have a solid pass rush and the pass catchers of Baltimore don’t scare me very much and they probably don’t scare the Browns defense either.
Buffalo Bills (Available in 44% of Yahoo! leagues)
The Buffalo Bills had four sacks last week against a decent Miami offensive line to go with an interception and fumble recovery. They also only gave up 10 points to a solid Miami offense. The Bills have Philip Rivers and his San Diego Chargers coming across the country and across three time zones to play on Sunday. The Bills disrupted Ryan Tannehill last week 18 times on 49 dropbacks (four sacks, four hits and ten hurries). With San Diego having the 4th worst pass blocking grade through two weeks according to PFF, there could be a lot of pressure on Philip Rivers, which could lead to mistakes, rushed throws and turnovers. This is the risky play of the week as San Diego has been playing great on offense to start the season. Keep in mind, both of those games were on the West Coast in the Pacific Time Zone and this game will be at 1 EST, which is 10 AM to the San Diego players. It may be a small detail, but sometimes the small things can make all the difference.
If you’re in a deeper league or just like to punish yourself, the New Orleans Saints have a great matchup this week finally at home and playing the Minnestoa Vikings without their star running back. Matt Cassel looked terrible last week against New England and he will have to deal with the crowd noise in New Orleans. A couple of nice plays that are higher owned defenses – Houston plays the turnover prone New York Giants and New England plays at home against the Oakland Raiders.
Good luck this week!
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