Week 4 Match-Ups Player Ranks with Uncertainty Levels

Week 4 Match-Ups Player Ranks with Uncertainty Levels

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Week 4 Match-Ups. The following figures represent each remaining week 4 games. Please scan and then listen to my full video lesson (above). Additionally, these are what I use to “loosely” frame out each game as to major questions that I have about that game.

Questions:
  • Which team is favored and by how much (Vegas Spread)?
  • How many TDs are expected?
  • What is the nature of the overall team defenses each team will face? 
  • What positions are favored in the game from each team?

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Match-UP Figure Explanations

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Each Figure contains 3 segments.

First segment is the favored team and their predicted score followed by the underdog team and their predicted score.
Second Segment contains the Vegas information of the two teams, predicted scores, the point spread, over/under points expected and level of scoring expected (High 49 up , Above Average (46 to 49), Below Average 43 to 46, Low being below 43)
Third Segment Reveals the 2 teams with their Home/Away Status, Their Opponents and Defense overall rating by colorization  (Dark green – Very Easy,  Light Green-Above Average Easy, Light Red-Tough Defense, and Dark Red being the Toughest in the League). I also then present the team’s opponent defense against the positions (DAPs- 100 to 0- Green Easy to Red Hard) for RB, QB, TE, WR, Kickers, and Defense.

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Match-Up Video Lesson. Listen to Link!

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HIGH Scoring Games

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Above Average Scoring Games

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Below Average Scoring Games

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Low Scoring Games

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PPR Rankings With Uncertainity-Sortable Table

RKPLAYER NAMETEAMPOSFSPRUNC
16Detroit LionsDETDST45.5HIGH
31Houston TexansHOUDST3HIGH
3Tennessee TitansTENDST90.9HIGH
23Las Vegas RaidersLVDST30.3HIGH
30New York JetsNYJDST9.1HIGH
7Green Bay PackersGBDST57.6HIGH
24Atlanta FalconsATLDST30.3HIGH
26Minnesota VikingsMINDST21.2HIGH
22San Francisco 49ersSFDST33.3HIGH
19Los Angeles ChargersLACDST39.4HIGH
25Seattle SeahawksSEADST30.3HIGH
13Cleveland BrownsCLEDST48.5HIGH
18Kansas City ChiefsKCDST42.4AVG
29New England PatriotsNEDST12.1AVG
17Dallas CowboysDALDST42.4AVG
14Baltimore RavensBALDST45.5AVG
4Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBDST90.9AVG
5Washington Football TeamWASDST60.6AVG
10Chicago BearsCHIDST51.5AVG
12Denver BroncosDENDST48.5AVG
15New York GiantsNYGDST45.5AVG
32Philadelphia EaglesPHIDST0AVG
28Pittsburgh SteelersPITDST15.2AVG
20Carolina PanthersCARDST39.4LOW
9Indianapolis ColtsINDDST51.5LOW
21Arizona CardinalsARIDST39.4LOW
1Buffalo BillsBUFDST100LOW
11Los Angeles RamsLARDST51.5LOW
2New Orleans SaintsNODST97LOW
8Miami DolphinsMIADST54.5LOW
30Matt AmmendolaNYJK25.8HIGH
27Jake ElliottPHIK32.3HIGH
15Mason CrosbyGBK48.4HIGH
20Robbie GouldSFK41.9HIGH
16Chase McLaughlinCLEK48.4HIGH
22Zane GonzalezCARK38.7HIGH
28Aldrick RosasNOK29HIGH
31Ryan SantosoDETK12.9HIGH
9Harrison ButkerKCK71HIGH
12Matt PraterARIK58.1HIGH
26Chris BoswellPITK32.3AVG
33Austin SeibertDETK0AVG
6Randy BullockTENK74.2AVG
29Joey SlyeFAK25.8AVG
19Jason MyersSEAK45.2AVG
32Ka'imi FairbairnHOUK12.9AVG
5Justin TuckerBALK80.6AVG
18Ryan SuccopTBK45.2AVG
7Rodrigo BlankenshipINDK74.2AVG
14Cairo SantosCHIK51.6LOW
25Graham GanoNYGK35.5LOW
17Nick FolkNEK45.2LOW
24Tristan VizcainoLACK38.7LOW
13Younghoe KooATLK51.6LOW
21Dustin HopkinsWASK38.7LOW
3Matt GayLARK80.6LOW
8Greg ZuerleinDALK71LOW
2Daniel CarlsonLVK90.3LOW
1Tyler BassBUFK100LOW
23Jason SandersMIAK38.7LOW
4Brandon McManusDENK80.6LOW
10Greg JosephMINK67.7LOW
31Zach WilsonNYJQB19.6HIGH
22Jimmy GaroppoloSFQB46.4HIGH
30Mac JonesNEQB26.8HIGH
32Davis MillsHOUQB8.7HIGH
20Matt RyanATLQB52.2HIGH
24Justin FieldsCHIQB42.8HIGH
5Russell WilsonSEAQB88.4HIGH
35Andy DaltonCHIQB0HIGH
27Jared GoffDETQB39.1HIGH
28Ben RoethlisbergerPITQB37.7HIGH
3Patrick Mahomes IIKCQB100HIGH
10Dak PrescottDALQB69.6AVG
21Daniel JonesNYGQB49.3AVG
36Jacob EasonINDQB0AVG
7Matthew StaffordLARQB79.7AVG
25Jameis WinstonNOQB41.3AVG
18Teddy BridgewaterDENQB56.5AVG
29Carson WentzINDQB33.3AVG
15Sam DarnoldCARQB60.1AVG
19Baker MayfieldCLEQB54.3AVG
33Trey LanceSFQB0AVG
9Lamar JacksonBALQB72.5AVG
2Kyler MurrayARIQB110LOW
13Derek CarrLVQB63LOW
26Jacoby BrissettMIAQB39.9LOW
6Jalen HurtsPHIQB83.3LOW
1Josh AllenBUFQB115LOW
12Aaron RodgersGBQB65.2LOW
4Justin HerbertLACQB94.2LOW
16Ryan TannehillTENQB59.4LOW
8Tom BradyTBQB76.1LOW
34Taysom HillNOQB0LOW
11Kirk CousinsMINQB67.4LOW
17Taylor HeinickeWASQB58LOW
76Rhamondre StevensonNERB6HIGH
2Austin EkelerLACRB97HIGH
97Jacques PatrickSFRB0HIGH
15Saquon BarkleyNYGRB66.5HIGH
67Tevin ColemanNYJRB10.5HIGH
18Clyde Edwards-HelaireKCRB64HIGH
60Damien WilliamsCHIRB14.5HIGH
9Ezekiel ElliottDALRB74HIGH
56Tony Jones Jr.NORB20.5HIGH
24Mike DavisATLRB53.5HIGH
65Larry Rountree IIILACRB12HIGH
28Javonte WilliamsDENRB47HIGH
44James ConnerARIRB28.5HIGH
75Jerick McKinnonKCRB6.5HIGH
49Mark Ingram IIHOURB24.5HIGH
17Miles SandersPHIRB65HIGH
70Devonta FreemanBALRB8.5HIGH
88Trenton CannonSFRB2HIGH
31Devin SingletaryBUFRB46HIGH
34Trey SermonSFRB42.5HIGH
68Jake FunkLARRB9.5HIGH
59J.J. TaylorNERB17HIGH
84Gary BrightwellNYGRB3HIGH
95Matt BreidaBUFRB0.5HIGH
96Jaret PattersonWASRB0HIGH
8Najee HarrisPITRB75.5HIGH
74Ty MontgomeryNORB7HIGH
26Darrell Henderson Jr.LARRB49.5HIGH
33Ty'Son WilliamsBALRB42.5HIGH
85Marlon MackINDRB3HIGH
42Josh JacobsLVRB35HIGH
43Sony MichelLARRB32.5HIGH
32Damien HarrisNERB44.5AVG
48Ronald Jones IITBRB24.5AVG
58Phillip LindsayHOURB17.5AVG
13Chris CarsonSEARB70AVG
52Malcolm BrownMIARB21.5AVG
27Leonard FournetteTBRB47.5AVG
41Michael CarterNYJRB37AVG
83Patrick RicardBALRB3.5AVG
54Royce FreemanCARRB20.5AVG
90D'Ernest JohnsonCLERB1.5AVG
5Aaron JonesGBRB85AVG
87Kylin HillGBRB2AVG
89Boston ScottPHIRB2AVG
94Jordan WilkinsINDRB0.5AVG
93Kerryon JohnsonSFRB0.5AVG
3Alvin KamaraNORB93AVG
64Justin JacksonLACRB13AVG
91Devontae BookerNYGRB1.5AVG
20Kareem HuntCLERB58AVG
81Benny Snell Jr.PITRB4AVG
80Alec IngoldLVRB4.5AVG
55Darrel WilliamsKCRB20.5AVG
14Antonio GibsonWASRB70AVG
39Alexander MattisonMINRB39AVG
51Ty JohnsonNYJRB21.5AVG
66Travis HomerSEARB11AVG
69Brandon BoldenNERB8.5AVG
37Kenyan DrakeLVRB41AVG
79Rex BurkheadHOURB4.5AVG
82C.J. HamMINRB3.5AVG
50David JohnsonHOURB24.5LOW
86DeeJay DallasSEARB2.5LOW
53AJ DillonGBRB21LOW
77Ameer AbdullahMINRB5.5LOW
10Jonathan TaylorINDRB72.5LOW
21Chase EdmondsARIRB58LOW
23Melvin Gordon IIIDENRB54LOW
46Peyton BarberLVRB27LOW
62Jeremy McNicholsTENRB13.5LOW
92Kalen BallagePITRB1LOW
73Alex CollinsSEARB8LOW
19Chuba HubbardCARRB60LOW
7Nick ChubbCLERB77.5LOW
30Jamaal WilliamsDETRB46LOW
22Myles GaskinMIARB57.5LOW
29Nyheim HinesINDRB46LOW
45Latavius MurrayBALRB28LOW
40J.D. McKissicWASRB38.5LOW
63Salvon AhmedMIARB13LOW
25Zack MossBUFRB50LOW
57Kyle JuszczykSFRB19LOW
11David MontgomeryCHIRB71.5LOW
47Kenneth GainwellPHIRB25LOW
6D'Andre SwiftDETRB80.5LOW
35Tony PollardDALRB42LOW
12Dalvin CookMINRB70.5LOW
1Derrick HenryTENRB100LOW
38Elijah MitchellSFRB39LOW
36Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB41.5HIGH
61Demetric FeltonCLERB13.5HIGH
8Kyle PittsATLTE76.9HIGH
22Zach ErtzPHITE49.3HIGH
5Mark AndrewsBALTE97.8HIGH
20Jonnu SmithNETE50HIGH
80Giovanni RicciCARTE9HIGH
39Jordan AkinsHOUTE29.9HIGH
7Noah FantDENTE82.8HIGH
15Hunter HenryNETE58.2HIGH
95John BatesWASTE3HIGH
78Hunter LongMIATE9.7HIGH
99Brycen HopkinsLARTE2.2HIGH
46Mo Alie-CoxINDTE24.6HIGH
26Blake JarwinDALTE43.3HIGH
81Demetrius HarrisARITE8.2HIGH
82Noah GrayKCTE7.5HIGH
86Garrett GriffinNOTE6HIGH
19Evan EngramNYGTE53.7HIGH
51Ian ThomasCARTE20.1HIGH
24David NjokuCLETE46.3HIGH
31Adam TrautmanNOTE38.8HIGH
45Hayden HurstATLTE24.6HIGH
63Kaden SmithNYGTE14.9HIGH
67Tommy HudsonTENTE13.4HIGH
89Andrew BeckDENTE5.2HIGH
58MyCole PruittTENTE16.4HIGH
103Jesse JamesCHITE0.7HIGH
34Eric EbronPITTE35.8HIGH
50Ryan GriffinNYJTE20.1HIGH
66Colby ParkinsonSEATE14.9HIGH
91Eric TomlinsonBALTE3.7HIGH
97Brevin JordanHOUTE2.2HIGH
100Hunter BryantDETTE1.5HIGH
4T.J. HockensonDETTE100AVG
44Tyler KroftNYJTE25.4AVG
49Kyle RudolphNYGTE20.1AVG
62Tommy SweeneyBUFTE15.7AVG
76Derek CarrierLVTE10.4AVG
87Jeremy SprinkleDALTE5.2AVG
9Tyler HigbeeLARTE74.6AVG
12Jared CookLACTE62.7AVG
68Kylen GransonINDTE13.4AVG
3George KittleSFTE120AVG
10Dallas GoedertPHITE73.1AVG
43Harrison BryantCLETE26.1AVG
65Eric SaubertDENTE14.9AVG
70Josh OliverBALTE11.9AVG
71Marcedes LewisGBTE11.9AVG
72Ben EllefsonMINTE11.2AVG
88Josiah DeguaraGBTE6AVG
90Charlie WoernerSFTE4.5AVG
92J.P. HoltzCHITE3.7AVG
53Chris Herndon IVMINTE18.7AVG
74Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE11.2AVG
21Cole KmetCHITE50AVG
30Anthony FirkserTENTE39.6AVG
54Foster MoreauLVTE18.7AVG
57Darren FellsDETTE17.2AVG
75Tyler MabrySEATE10.4AVG
85Johnny MundtLARTE6.7AVG
101Jack StollPHITE1.5AVG
59Lee SmithATLTE16.4AVG
61Blake BellKCTE16.4AVG
96Tre' McKittyLACTE2.2AVG
98Nick BowersLVTE2.2AVG
102Devin AsiasiNETE1.5AVG
105Cethan CarterMIATE0.7AVG
104Sammis ReyesWASTE0.7AVG
77Colin ThompsonCARTE9.7AVG
107Jordan FranksCLETE0LOW
48Donald Parham Jr.LACTE23.1LOW
56Ross DwelleySFTE17.9LOW
14Mike GesickiMIATE59.7LOW
55Jimmy GrahamCHITE17.9LOW
84Darrell DanielsARITE7.5LOW
29Jack DoyleINDTE39.6LOW
38Will DisslySEATE32.8LOW
47Geoff SwaimTENTE23.1LOW
73Adam ShaheenMIATE11.2LOW
94Tanner HudsonSFTE3LOW
11Robert TonyanGBTE63.4LOW
17Austin HooperCLETE56.7LOW
41O.J. HowardTBTE26.9LOW
2Darren WallerLVTE140LOW
25Maxx WilliamsARITE44LOW
60Durham SmytheMIATE16.4LOW
28Gerald EverettSEATE40.3LOW
52Pharaoh BrownHOUTE19.4LOW
33Cameron BrateTBTE37.3LOW
13Tyler ConklinMINTE61.9LOW
35Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE34.3LOW
37Juwan JohnsonNOTE34.3LOW
6Logan ThomasWASTE87.3LOW
16Dawson KnoxBUFTE58.2LOW
18Dalton SchultzDALTE56LOW
36Tommy TrembleCARTE34.3LOW
1Travis KelceKCTE160LOW
23Pat FreiermuthPITTE48.5LOW
93Parker HesseATLTE3HIGH
106Charlie TaumoepeauDETTE0.7HIGH
84Parris CampbellINDWR30.8HIGH
95Amon-Ra St. BrownDETWR24.9HIGH
83Dyami BrownWASWR30.8HIGH
32Kenny GolladayNYGWR67.2HIGH
41Robby AndersonCARWR55.7HIGH
155Phillip Dorsett IISEAWR1.5HIGH
36DeVonta SmithPHIWR64.7HIGH
16DeAndre HopkinsARIWR81.6HIGH
81Allen LazardGBWR30.8HIGH
8Calvin RidleyATLWR89.6HIGH
146Andy IsabellaARIWR3.5HIGH
179Daurice FountainKCWR0HIGH
45DeVante ParkerMIAWR53.2HIGH
144N'Keal HarryNEWR4HIGH
120Albert WilsonMIAWR12.9HIGH
26Robert WoodsLARWR71.1HIGH
73Adam HumphriesWASWR35.8HIGH
119Denzel MimsNYJWR13.9HIGH
99Kenny StillsNOWR21.9HIGH
142D'Wayne EskridgeSEAWR5HIGH
28Allen Robinson IICHIWR69.2HIGH
70Kalif RaymondDETWR36.8HIGH
53Terrace Marshall Jr.CARWR48.3HIGH
63Sammy WatkinsBALWR39.8HIGH
74Anthony MillerHOUWR35.8HIGH
11Terry McLaurinWASWR87.6HIGH
107Trinity BensonDETWR19.4HIGH
148Tutu AtwellLARWR3HIGH
122Chris HoganNOWR11.9HIGH
20Courtland SuttonDENWR79.1HIGH
9Keenan AllenLACWR89.6HIGH
117Damiere ByrdCHIWR14.4HIGH
124Racey McMathTENWR9.5HIGH
164Kendall HintonDENWR1.5HIGH
167Christian BlakeATLWR1HIGH
7D.K. MetcalfSEAWR90HIGH
12Tyler LockettSEAWR85.6HIGH
17Amari CooperDALWR81.1HIGH
33Michael Pittman Jr.INDWR67.2HIGH
64A.J. GreenARIWR39.8HIGH
76Cedrick Wilson Jr.DALWR33.3HIGH
97Anthony SchwartzCLEWR22.9HIGH
185Andre RobertsHOUWR0HIGH
82Kadarius ToneyNYGWR30.8HIGH
106Devin DuvernayBALWR19.4HIGH
133Simi FehokoDALWR6HIGH
137Mike StrachanINDWR5.5HIGH
29Odell Beckham Jr.CLEWR69.2AVG
110Tajae SharpeATLWR17.9AVG
114Cameron BatsonTENWR15.9AVG
131Tylan WallaceBALWR6.5AVG
130C.J. BoardNYGWR6.5AVG
46Jalen ReagorPHIWR52.7AVG
51Hunter RenfrowLVWR50.2AVG
55Marquez CallawayNOWR47.3AVG
65Van JeffersonLARWR38.8AVG
103Keelan Cole Sr.NYJWR20.9AVG
116Amari RodgersGBWR14.9AVG
135K.J. Hill Jr.LACWR5.5AVG
147Ashton DulinINDWR3.5AVG
184Justin WatsonTBWR0AVG
48Henry Ruggs IIILVWR51.2AVG
80Chris ConleyHOUWR31.3AVG
89Randall CobbGBWR29.4AVG
102Tre'Quan SmithNOWR20.9AVG
134Alex EricksonCARWR6AVG
149KhaDarel HodgeDETWR3AVG
165Tom KennedyDETWR1AVG
181Stanley Morgan Jr.CINWR0AVG
177Dax MilneWASWR0AVG
90Donovan Peoples-JonesCLEWR27.4AVG
169Jakeem Grant Sr.MIAWR1AVG
171DeAndre CarterWASWR0.5AVG
186Matthew SlaterNEWR0AVG
39JuJu Smith-SchusterPITWR56.7AVG
98James WashingtonPITWR22.4AVG
108Joshua PalmerLACWR18.9AVG
151Dede WestbrookMINWR2.5AVG
157Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR1.5AVG
2Cooper KuppLARWR100AVG
14Deebo SamuelSFWR82.6AVG
58Mecole HardmanKCWR46.3AVG
88Deonte HarrisNOWR29.4AVG
104Marquise GoodwinCHIWR19.9AVG
121Zay JonesLVWR11.9AVG
166Mack HollinsMIAWR1AVG
78Freddie SwainSEAWR32.8AVG
109Josh ReynoldsTENWR17.9AVG
163Frank DarbyATLWR1.5AVG
160Miles BoykinBALWR1.5AVG
161Marcus KempKCWR1.5AVG
156Dan ChisenaMINWR1.5AVG
170Antoine WesleyARIWR1AVG
168Nsimba WebsterCHIWR1AVG
172Malik TurnerDALWR0.5AVG
173Ben SkowronekLARWR0.5AVG
178DeMichael Harris- DUPFAWR0AVG
175Jaydon MickensTBWR0AVG
25Jakobi MeyersNEWR73.1AVG
72Olamide ZaccheausATLWR35.8AVG
86Mohamed Sanu Sr.SFWR29.4AVG
111Trent SherfieldSFWR17.9AVG
118John RossNYGWR14.4AVG
125Noah BrownDALWR9.5AVG
129Ray-Ray McCloudPITWR7.5AVG
162James Proche IIBALWR1.5AVG
176Marcus JohnsonTENWR0AVG
93Jalen GuytonLACWR25.9AVG
143Willie Snead IVLVWR4AVG
113Diontae SpencerDENWR15.9AVG
150Gunner OlszewskiNEWR3AVG
154Penny HartSEAWR1.5AVG
4Stefon DiggsBUFWR95LOW
62Bryan EdwardsLVWR40.8LOW
67Nick Westbrook-IkhineTENWR37.8LOW
71Braxton BerriosNYJWR35.8LOW
139Breshad PerrimanCHIWR5.5LOW
136Malik TaylorGBWR5.5LOW
37Marquise BrownBALWR57.2LOW
50Darnell MooneyCHIWR50.2LOW
60Jamison CrowderNYJWR45.8LOW
105Greg WardPHIWR19.9LOW
159Jake KumerowBUFWR1.5LOW
152Jaelon DardenTBWR1.5LOW
5D.J. MooreCARWR93.5LOW
115Brandon ZylstraCARWR15.4LOW
23Mike EvansTBWR74.6LOW
27Corey DavisNYJWR69.7LOW
153J.J. Arcega-WhitesidePHIWR1.5LOW
31Diontae JohnsonPITWR67.7LOW
126Cam SimsWASWR9LOW
19Adam ThielenMINWR80.1LOW
101Tyler JohnsonTBWR21.4LOW
68Quintez CephusDETWR37.3LOW
132David MooreDENWR6.5LOW
92Demarcus RobinsonKCWR26.4LOW
91Gabriel DavisBUFWR26.4LOW
13CeeDee LambDALWR85.6LOW
15Chris GodwinTBWR82.6LOW
43Emmanuel SandersBUFWR54.2LOW
123Preston WilliamsMIAWR10LOW
6Justin JeffersonMINWR91LOW
34Chase ClaypoolPITWR66.7LOW
44Tim PatrickDENWR53.7LOW
56Zach PascalINDWR47.3LOW
61Kendrick BourneNEWR41.8LOW
30Cole BeasleyBUFWR69.2LOW
38Jaylen WaddleMIAWR56.7LOW
127Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR8LOW
42Brandon AiyukSFWR54.7LOW
52Christian KirkARIWR49.3LOW
66Collin JohnsonNYGWR37.8LOW
85Byron PringleKCWR29.9LOW
87DeSean JacksonLARWR29.4LOW
158Jauan JenningsSFWR1.5LOW
3Tyreek HillKCWR99.5LOW
1Davante AdamsGBWR115LOW
10Mike WilliamsLACWR88.6LOW
79Quez WatkinsPHIWR31.8LOW
35Antonio BrownTBWR66.2LOW
94Rashard HigginsCLEWR25.4LOW
47Nelson AgholorNEWR51.7LOW
59Rondale MooreARIWR45.8LOW
54Will Fuller VMIAWR48.3LOW
21Brandin CooksHOUWR76.1LOW
57Chester RogersTENWR47.3LOW
100Curtis SamuelWASWR21.4LOW
69K.J. OsbornMINWR36.8LOW
75Cordarrelle PattersonATLWR35.3HIGH
112Rashod BatemanBALWR16.9HIGH
128Jody FortsonKCWR7.5HIGH
140D.J. MontgomeryNYJWR5HIGH
180Shi SmithCARWR0HIGH
182T.J. VasherDALWR0HIGH
183Cody WhitePITWR0HIGH

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Focused Match-UP Tables



Week 4 Team UNC Levels

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The table below presents:
  • Team 
  • Counts of players with expected High/AVG/or Low Uncertainty.
  • Total of all Players from that Team Ranked.
  • Ratio of UNC Levels within the Team (Low/(H A) (Higher Numbers Lower TEAM UNC vs Lower Number indicated High TEAM UNC)
  • BUF is the lowest UNC team Week 4 vs ATL as the Highest UNC team

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Slide1

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Slide2

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Week 4 Power Rankings High to Low Table and Graph

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Slide3

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Combination Team Power and UNC Levels Week 4

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Slide4

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LINKs

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https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/10/02/target-and-attempts-report-week-3/
https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/09/30/week-3-snaps-report-3/
https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/09/29/science-of-fantasy-podcast-episode-6/
http://Professor’s Fantasy Football Classroom – FakePigskin.com
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